Adam McDonnell

Political polling @yougov

[YouGov @YouGov]

We're delighted to be the most accurate pollster for the 2025 German federal election - successfully detailing the reality of the race. Our final call voting intention poll was within one percentage point of the results for almost all parties

A big congratulations to Frieder Schmid, Martha Posthofen, Lea Königshofen, Patrick English and everyone else who worked so hard to make this happen!

https://t.co/ZyGJTbRIro

[Adam McDonnell @AdamMcDonnell21]

My inspiration for this question was that nobody in London had heard of “Bobby knocking”.

Turns out calling it “Bobby knocking” is almost exclusively confined to Swansea, Neath Port Talbot, and curiously Barnsley!

[YouGov @YouGov]

What do you call the game where you knock on someone's door and run away?

Knock down ginger: 25%
Knock a door run: 21%
Knock and run: 13%
Ding dong ditch: 6%
Knock knock ginger: 4%
Knocking nine doors: 3%
Chap door run: 3%
Cherry knocking: 3%
Knock Knock run: 2%
Chappie: 2%

[Beth Kühnel Mann @BethKMann1]

🚨 INTERNSHIP ALERT 🚨

YouGov are looking for our next Political Intern (starting Aug '25). This a student internship and is a great opportunity to develop professional skills and contacts in polling / politics space. Pls share :)

Link to apply: https://t.co/VIH6NhtpL3

[Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab]

@YouGov #Eurotrack data shows big shifts in approval ratings across Western Europe! Denmark sees a dramatic rise and fall post-2020, while Germany’s approval remains volatile, Italy trends downward, and the UK begins to see a rise after the election of labor.

[YouGov @YouGov]

What was the news story the public remembered most about the Conservatives from the election campaign? (asked 8-9 Jul)

Top 3
Election date betting scandal: 14%
Rishi Sunak leaving D-Day commemorations early: 8%
Party policy on immigration: 6%

https://t.co/mpXf5DQ3Ms

[Tim Bale @ProfTimBale]

BREAKING: "Badenoch has double the support of Braverman among members to be next Tory leader" @SkyNews reports on our new Party Members Project (@QMUL/@SussexUni) survey of the Conservative grassroots. https://t.co/6nKryWepNs

[Adam McDonnell @AdamMcDonnell21]

Our 2024 "How Britain Voted" article is now live!

We've used a sample of 35k voters collected 5th-8th July to show how people voted across a range of demographics.

Article here:
https://t.co/B2UFLFf1Pr

Full tables here:
https://t.co/S9nYQttXTQ

[YouGov @YouGov]

How Britain voted in 2024: our study of 35,000 voters conducted since the election breaks down the election result by age, gender, education, past vote and a host of other factors 👇

https://t.co/id0HeqC8A1

[YouGov @YouGov]

We’re delighted to have called the winner of 92% of seats correctly at the 2024 general election, including calling all individual party seat tallies to within our estimated bounds

https://t.co/PeV6Zye4LE

[YouGov @YouGov]

Final YouGov MRP shows Labour on course for historic election victory

Labour: 431 (+229 from GE2019 result)
Con: 102 (-263)
Lib Dem: 72 (+61)
SNP: 18 (-30)
Reform UK: 3 (+3)
Plaid: 3 (-1)
Green: 2 (+1)

Fieldwork: 19 June - 2 July

https://t.co/qNPxq1XEqz

[YouGov @YouGov]

How many voters in England are voting negatively (to stop a party they like least from winning) rather than positively (for the party they like most)?

All voters in England: 33% voting negatively

Con voters: 31%
Labour voters: 38%
Lib Dem voters: 53%
Reform UK: 14%
Green: 16%

https://t.co/Wp98flFmnO

[YouGov @YouGov]

What news story do Britons say they heard about the most in the past week?

We've used our brand new AI language model to track what story the public say they noticed most over the course of the last week

As of our most recent poll on 10-11 June...
1. Michael Mosley death: 30%
2. Rishi Sunak leaving D-Day commemorations early: 26%
3. General election & campaigning: 10%
4. D-Day anniversary in general: 5%
5. Conflict in Gaza: 4%

You can explore the results further on our website, and also read more about our new model: https://t.co/3a03lzhhLu

[YouGov @YouGov]

Our first MRP of the 2024 general election shows Labour winning a majority of 194, larger than even Tony Blair's landslides

Labour: 422 (+220 from GE2019)
Conservative: 140 (-225)
Lib Dem: 48 (+37)
SNP: 17 (-31)
Green: 2 (+1)
PC: 2 (-2)
Reform UK: 0 (=)

https://t.co/P20M6KsS4p

[Adam McDonnell @AdamMcDonnell21]

Very pleased to have launched our interactive VI tracker page.

It has been a lot of hard work particularly from @BethKMann1 along with our website/tech teams.

[YouGov @YouGov]

We're also delighted to launch our voting intention tracker in our interactive format - now you can easily explore demographic breakdowns like past vote, age and gender. Take a look on the YouGov website: https://t.co/w6g5bmbt8K

[YouGov @YouGov]

New YouGov MRP – Labour set to win more than 400 seats

Labour: 403 (+201 since GE2019)
Conservatives: 155 (-210)
Lib Dems: 49 (+38)
SNP: 19 (-29)
Plaid: 4 (=)
Greens: 1 (=)
Reform UK: 0 (=)

https://t.co/OsyOEUzb0L

[Adam McDonnell @AdamMcDonnell21]

Tories are holding on to just a third (33%) of their 2019 voters when looking at the full VI breakdown, the same as under Truss:

[YouGov @YouGov]

The Tory vote share has now fallen to the same level as lowest point under Liz Truss, while Reform UK reach their highest score to date

Con: 19% (-1 from 12-13 Mar)
Lab: 44% (=)
Reform UK: 15% (+1)
Lib Dem: 9% (=)
Green: 8% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

https://t.co/ttUyRxRZND

[Steven Swinford @Steven_Swinford]

Voters are more pessimisitic about economy than they were last year despite Budget tax cuts, Yougov poll for Times finds

Polling shows broad support for main measures but suggests widespread scepticism that they are affordable or will leave people better off

Just 10% said budget changes would improve personal circumstances, 58% no difference and 21% said they would be worse off

Just over a quarter - 28% - said plans were affordable

No evidence of budget bounce yet, although it is early

https://t.co/m5gSdZjFE8

[Patrick English @PME_Politics]

Here it is! An awesome new partnership between @YouGovQual and @SkyNews live-tracking dozens of voters from a key group ahead of the next general election: 2019 Conservative voters.

They’ll be providing key insights into the *why* behind our polling numbers for the next 14 days.

[Matt Chorley @MattChorley]

NEW: Exclusive @YouGov polling for Times Radio Breakfast...

Charging VAT on private schools supported by 62% of voters, including 4 in 10 who went to private school, and 3 in 10 parents who send their kids to private school now

More on @timesradio

[Adam McDonnell @AdamMcDonnell21]

Applications for the 24/25 placement role close this Sunday so make sure you apply before then!
(side note: its now 13 years since I applied!)
https://t.co/FXOMOO0PqC

[Patrick English @PME_Politics]

Are *YOU* a second year undergraduate with an interest in political research and public opinion? Or do *YOU* know of such a student? If so, we've got a super exciting opportunity for a one-year placement here in the YouGov political team!

https://t.co/2Fp11lxSN2

[Adam McDonnell @AdamMcDonnell21]

The sub-plot of these results is "Not sure" is at its highest since June 2019 (following the EP elections!)

[YouGov @YouGov]

This week's 'best PM' score for Rishi Sunak is his lowest to date

Rishi Sunak: 18% (-3 from 29-30 Nov)
Keir Starmer: 31% (-3)
Neither: 47% (+6)

https://t.co/8Qse7lwsbw