AdrianCInvests

Corp by day. Long-term stock picker. Main Holdings: $ANET $AXON $HOOD $RDDT $CRDO

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

Themes over tickers. Long-term over quick trades.

Thesis/thematic investor here, with a bias toward long-term compounders. Names I am super bullish on: $ANET, $HOOD, $RDDT, $AXON, $CRDO.

26, full-time corporate, full-time obsessed with building generational wealth one thesis at a time.

Follow along my investing journey.

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@crypt_shprd Agree with you that $IONQ is the best quantum stock but $GOOGL might be the safest pick to get exposure to quantum

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@cutehorse999 Solid names, $SOFI and $NFLX would be my picks

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

Most people think $AXON is just selling tasers and body cams.

But its Dedrone counter drone business just passed $100M in a single quarter and the AI software side grew almost 700% year over year.

The drone defense story isn't just $ONDS and small caps. One of the best compounders in the market is building it too.

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@VJNCapital Thinking of call options instead of buying shares

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@AlphaOwlTrading $ONDS and $KTOS are my favs too, i think $KTOS is super undervalued

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@TheETFTracker Great list of companies in this ETF! I own quite a few of these companies but surprising to see $SPCX at such a large position when it is already priced for perfection

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@WealthInMotion_ 100% need to own assets

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

Howard Marks has a rule I agree with completely and still break all the time:

There is no such thing as a good investment at any price, and almost nothing is a bad investment at a low enough price.

Quality tells you what a business is. Price tells you what you will earn from owning it.

Case in point: $CSCO was the best company in the world in 2000. Buyers at the top still waited 25 years to break even.

Great company and great investment are not the same thing. The price you pay is what connects them.

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@outerbridgecap I have been slowly accumulating $AXON shares at these prices

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@drayinvests I prefer $CAVA these days

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@LeifInvests Great list, I own $CEG and have $VST and $BWXT on my watchlist

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@CarsonTalkMoney Ignore the haters and keep going Carson!

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@KGInvests_ Yes bro i feel you, opportunity cost is huge when capital is limited

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@KGInvests_ Growth is unmatched for sure! At current prices risk reward does look good

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

$ONDS is another position I keep going back and forth on. Average cost of $10.63 and I am currently down about 30%

$ONDS is a drone and counter drone defense company. Ukraine proved cheap drones can wreck expensive equipment and militaries are spending to catch up. Most competitors solve one piece of the problem. Ondas sells the whole stack, from detection to cyber takeover to interceptor drones. They also build strike drones for the US Army and $LMT is integrating their tech into its counter drone platform.

The numbers are real. Q2 revenue was $83.8M, about 13x a year ago. Pro forma backlog is $757M and they have about $1.1B in cash after their latest acquisitions.

Here is what bugs me though. A lot of that growth was bought. 85% organic growth is great, but most of the 13x came from acquisitions and every deal dilutes me a little more. They also lost $51M on adjusted EBITDA. Management says that should be the worst of it. But I will believe it when I see it.

Q3 guide is $140 to $155M. If they hit that and the losses start shrinking, I will have more confidence

Would you add here or wait for proof?

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

The 10 year Treasury just hit 5.1%, the highest since 2007.

The TLDR version of why growth bled first today:

A growth stock is mostly a claim on earnings years out. When yields rise, the discount rate rises, and distant earnings get marked down hardest.

Value stocks dipped a little. Growth stocks took the big hit.

That's why the Nasdaq fell 1.1% while the S&P fell 0.8%.

Are you buying this dip or waiting for yields to cool off?

[Barchart @Barchart]

JUST IN 🚨: U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield soars above 5.13%, the highest level since the run-up to the Global Financial Crisis 🤯 👀

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@TickerDUBS totally agree with you and if they are trying to growth by advertising the decreasing engagement doesnt help them too

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@TheQuietTrader1 A lot of cyber names are too expensive but I like $SAIL

[AdrianCInvests @AdrianCInvests]

@307Fool $AXON i dont think that its an expensive stock and will be buying around these prices