Alan Novaes Tump

Researcher at the Center for Adaptive Rationality in Berlin and interested in collective intelligence and decision-making in groups.

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

1/5 Excited about our publication in @ScienceAdvances 🤩🥳🍾. With @tpleskac @Kurvers we introduce the social DDM. The model describes and captures the process of how human groups integrate personal and social information dynamically over time. https://t.co/Z4mRZU1Pu3

[Mubashir @Abdulshir]

Very happy to share that our work is now published in PNAS (@PNASNews)! 🎉 It's a systematic look into how demographic and psychological factors are associated with misinformation susceptibility. @arc_mpib

Thread below and can be read in full here: https://t.co/lf8GRrhw74

[Veronika Zilker @VZilker]

Join our diverse team for a 3-year Post-Doc in Cognitive Psychology at KU Eichstätt! 100% position (Verbeamtung auf Zeit/TV-L), focused on decision science & computational modeling. No denominational requirements. Apply by 2024-03-31.

Details: https://t.co/BvSBOGKDWq

Please RT!

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

@lukasdaubner @rmanthe1 I 100% agree with your point but why is hydro not categorised as renewable?
They even state below the graphic that hydro is elsewhere categorised as renewable.

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

🎉New paper in PoPS. Illustrated with DDMs and RL models, we show how cognitive modeling in combination with interactive group experiments, helps understanding complex collective dynamics. With @dominik_deffner , @PRomanczuk, @tpleskac & @RalfKurvers.
https://t.co/wkr9zFctfb

[Mubashir @Abdulshir]

Such a nice way to end the year! Our paper on fast-paced news consumption and false news just got published at @SciReports 🎉 🥳 🎉.

You can read it in full here: https://t.co/1smOj9Qo3k

And see quoted tweet for a thread :)
@arc_mpib @mpib_berlin

[Richard Mann @richardpmann]

Nice to see this work is now published in the new journal Collective Intelligence as of yesterday: https://t.co/xdziOxDneP

The published version is better (less wrong on the effect of non-identical preferences) and Open Access.

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

Together with @dominik_deffner, @tpleskac, @PRomanczuk and @RalfKurvers. Supported by @arc_mpib and @scioi_cluster.

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

How do cognitive processes shape collective dynamics? We illustrate how cognitive modeling can link cognitive processes and collective dynamics, allowing a better understanding of the principles underlying adaptive dynamics and collective intelligence: https://t.co/XvhgKa1RhJ

[Berlin Bayesians ([email protected]) @BBayesians]

We‘re excited to announce that @twiecki, CEO of @pymc_labs and co-creator of @pymc_devs, will give a talk on solving business problems with Bayesian modeling on Tuesday, November 15 @ 7PM! Details and RSVP: https://t.co/CwqNR3hiBv

[Solomon Kurz @SolomonKurz]

I have an N=1300 data set with 9 variables. All have some missingness. Some are roughly Gaussian, but others are best described as ordinal. If I want to accommodate--but not fret over--their distributions, would *pedictive mean matching* multiple imputation be the way to go?

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

We show how cooperative and selfish individuals should tune their strategies to different error costs. The results reveal how the implemented strategies of individuals in high-stakes social contexts (e.g., panicking crowds) could jeopardize or boost the collective. (3/3)

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

New publication out in @PLOSCompBiol with Max Wolf, @PRomanczuk and @RalfKurvers. We show the importance of adjusting individual response biases to the social context. (1/3)
https://t.co/Cfp2n5arsa

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

When options are associated with different costs, individuals develop a response bias to avoid the more costly error. But they also tend to pick the option with the lower cost faster. In groups, observable fast choices can lead to bias amplification and maladaptive herding. (2/3)

[Charley Wu (@thecharleywu.bsky.social) @TheCharleyWu]

The fine folks attending #COSMOSKonstanz The code notebooks me and @WataruToyokawa made are online
https://t.co/8k2rixmsxq with talk recordings to follow, feat. @icouzin
@StePalminteri @natvelali @Mark_Ho_ @DrElenaMiu @RalfKurvers @ariSPeshkin

[Max Planck Institute for Human Development @mpib_berlin]

Abkühlung @LNDWBerlin! ❄️😅 Der 1. Vortrag #LNDWMPIB #LNDW22 von @AlexSchakowski @arc_mpib führt uns nach Finnland. Wir lernen was wir von erfolgreichen Eisfischer*innen über soziales Verhalten lernen können!

[Mubashir @Abdulshir]

Join us at @arc_mpib! :) Ralf is an excellent supervisor, you won’t be disappointed :)

[Mubashir @Abdulshir]

Very excited to share my first first-author pre-print :) 🎉 🥳 🎉 It’s been a pleasure working with my lovely co-authors (@AlanTump, @michael_geers_, @philipplenz6, @stefanmherzog, @RalfKurvers) on this, more in the 🧵 below. (1/9).

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

@dominik_deffner @RachKendal @ESLRSociety Yes Trinidad is going awsome. This is Ralf and me at our current workplace:

[Alan Novaes Tump @AlanTump]

@dominik_deffner @RachKendal @ESLRSociety This reminded me about the social DDM where we can partially distinguish between waiting for social information and using this information by incorporating it into the evidence accumulation process. This simulation paper describes it. https://t.co/ecwJia0zuZ