Nandy Seat Projections

I do seat projections for polls.

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

General Election Nowcast - July 2022

LAB: 299 (+97) - 39.1%
CON: 249 (-116) - 32.8%
SNP: 55 (+7) - 46.2% (Scotland only)
LDM: 22 (+11) - 12%
PLC: 5 (+1) - 13.3% (Wales only)
GRN: 1 (=) - 5.9%
RFM: 0 (=) - 3.7%

Changes +/- 2019 general election

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

In this scenario the Tories would only win seats in Scotland

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Making a return for this one…
Seat projection:
LAB: 565 (+363)
SNP: 51 (+3)
LDM: 7 (-4)
CON: 3 (-362)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Britain Elects @BritainElects]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 54% (+9)
CON: 21% (-7)
LDEM: 7% (-2)
GRN: 6% (-1)

via @YouGov, 28 - 29 Sep
Chgs. w/ 25 Sep
https://t.co/QFziTkP77K

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

@BritainElects @YouGov https://t.co/AFW4UQHI7c

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Making a return for this one…
Seat projection:
LAB: 565 (+363)
SNP: 51 (+3)
LDM: 7 (-4)
CON: 3 (-362)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

@IainDale @LBC I hear Legoland is very good

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 342 (+140)
CON: 232 (-133)
SNP: 32 (-16)
LDM: 20 (+9)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Savanta UK @Savanta_UK]

🚨New Westminster Voting Intention for the @Daily_Express

📈11pt Labour lead

🌳Con 33 (+3)
🌹Lab 44 (+1)
🔶LD 9 (-2)
🎗️SNP 3 (-1)
🌍Gre 3 (-1)
⬜️Other 8 (=)

2,109 UK adults, 21 July

(chg from 15-17 Jul)

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 322 (+120)
CON: 226 (-139)
SNP: 51 (+3)
LDM: 27 (+16)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Techne UK @techneUK]

NEW >> Labour remain 9 ahead in this week’s Westminster voting intention tracker:

Lab 41% (+1)
Con 32% (+1)
LibDem 12% (-1)
Green 6% (nc)
SNP 4% (nc)

1,629 questioned 20-21 July. Changes with 14 July.

Details & Data: https://t.co/KHeGBCcKNZ

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 338 (+136)
CON: 207 (-158)
SNP: 52 (+4)
LDM: 28 (+17)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Savanta UK @Savanta_UK]

🚨New Westminster Voting Intention🚨

📈13pt Labour lead

🌳Con 30 (+2)
🌹Lab 43 (=)
🔶LD 11 (-1)
🎗️SNP 4 (=)
🌍Gre 4 (=)
⬜️Other 8 (=)

1,980 UK adults, 15-17 Jul

(chg from 8-10 Jul)

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 332 (+130)
CON: 246 (-119)
SNP: 32 (-16)
LDM: 17 (+6)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Redfield & Wilton Strategies @RedfieldWilton]

Labour leads by 9%.

Westminster Voting Intention (20-21 July):

Labour 44% (+2)
Conservative 35% (+3)
Liberal Democrat 9% (-3)
Green 5% (-2)
Scottish National Party 3% (-1)
Reform UK 3% (-)
Other 1% (-1)

Changes +/- 17 July

https://t.co/OCRz62ALG6

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 297 (+95)
CON: 247 (-118)
SNP: 50 (+2)
LDM: 31 (+20)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Opros Politics 🇺🇦 @OprosUK]

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 37% (+1)
CON: 33% (-1)
LDM: 13% (=)
GRN: 7% (+2)
REF: 4% (=)

via @KantarPublic, 14-18 Jul

(Changes with 20 Jun)

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

@Trystanian Very strange indeed!

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 349 (+147)
CON: 150 (-215)
LDM: 70 (+59)
SNP: 53 (+5)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Opros Politics 🇺🇦 @OprosUK]

Westminster Voting Intention:

*Sunak as Conservative Leader*

LAB: 37% (+4)
CON: 25% (-20)
LDM: 15% (+3)
GRN: 10% (+7)
REF: 4% (+2)

via @FindoutnowUK, 18-19 Jul

(Changes with 2019 Election)

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

@Ben_Symak Labour majority 48*!

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 349 (+147)
CON: 147 (-218)
LDM: 73 (+62)
SNP: 53 (+5)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Opros Politics 🇺🇦 @OprosUK]

Westminster Voting Intention:

*Truss as Conservative Leader*

LAB: 37% (+4)
CON: 25% (-20)
LDM: 16% (+4)
GRN: 9% (+6)
REF: 3% (+1)

via @FindoutnowUK, 18-19 Jul

(Changes with 2019 Election)

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 325 (+123)
CON: 184 (-181)
LDM: 60 (+49)
SNP: 53 (+5)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Opros Politics 🇺🇦 @OprosUK]

Westminster Voting Intention:

*Mordaunt as Conservative Leader*

LAB: 36% (+3)
CON: 27% (-18)
LDM: 15% (+3)
GRN: 9% (+6)
REF: 3% (+1)

via @FindoutnowUK, 18-19 Jul

(Changes with 2019 Election)

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 324 (+122)
CON: 224 (-141)
SNP: 51 (+3)
LDM: 27 (+16)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Redfield & Wilton Strategies @RedfieldWilton]

Labour leads by 10%.

Westminster Voting Intention (17 July):

Labour 42% (–)
Conservative 32% (+1)
Liberal Democrat 12% (–)
Green 5% (–)
Scottish National Party 4% (–)
Reform UK 3% (-2)
Other 2% (+1)

Changes +/- 10 July

https://t.co/gk5SesdhCE

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

@areYouYesYet 59, my seat projections will be based on current boundaries until the new ones are confirmed

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 333 (+131)
CON: 197 (-168)
SNP: 52 (+4)
LDM: 42 (+31)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Patrick Maguire @patrickkmaguire]

Labour 11 points ahead for a second consecutive week in this week's YouGov poll for The Times

CON 29 (=)
LAB 40 (=)
LD 13 (-2)
GREEN 7 (+1)
REFUK 4 (+1)

More in @timesredbox

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Aggregate results of council by-elections since Local Elections 2022:
LAB: 21 (+4)
LDM: 8 (+6)
CON: 6 (-11)
GRN: 3 (+3)
IND: 2 (-1)
LOC: 1 (-1)

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 322 (+120)
CON: 218 (-147)
SNP: 50 (+2)
LDM: 35 (+24)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Techne UK @techneUK]

NEW: Labour lead by 9 in this week's voting intention tracker.

Our polling, carried out yesterday, finds:

Lab 40% (-1)
Con 31% (+2)
LibDem 13% (-1)
Green 6% (nc)
SNP 4% (nc)

1,645 questioned on Thursday 14 July. Changes with 7 July.

Details & Data: https://t.co/KHeGBCulFx

[Nandy Seat Projections @AlexNandyMBE]

Seat projection:

LAB: 328 (+126)
CON: 215 (-150)
SNP: 52 (+4)
LDM: 31 (+20)

Changes +/- 2019 general election.

[Redfield & Wilton Strategies @RedfieldWilton]

Westminster Voting Intention (10 July):

Labour 42% (-1)
Conservative 31% (–)
Liberal Democrat 12% (–)
Green 5% (-2)
Scottish National Party 4% (+1)
Reform UK 5% (+3)
Other 1% (-2)

Changes +/- 7 July

https://t.co/qcXXrTvWSA