Alfie

U.S. Stocks and Options Trader || #Crypto investor || Globe trotter

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

I've been saying this since 2017 and I'll say it again. The best crypto exchange for liquidity, execution, rewards and safety is #Binance.

Binance dwarfs all other exchanges by volume while launchpools and #bnb staking keeps your investments growing!

https://t.co/MQwbwNUlvN

[Frank Curzio @FrankCurzio]

Google just lost $175 BILLION on purpose.

Four of their top AI people quit, and Google could have stopped it.

But they didn't... because of WHERE those four are going.

And it's the smartest thing I've seen a big company do in years: (1/11)

[Rekt Fencer @rektfencer]

⚠️ WARNING

Every global crash starts with South Korea.

It sounds ridiculous.

Until you look at the history.

1997:
- The Korean won collapsed
- KOSPI crashed
- Foreign exchange reserves nearly ran out
- Then the Asian Financial Crisis spread across the world

2000:
- South Korean semiconductor stocks topped first
- Months later, Nasdaq dumped 78%
- The Dot Com Bubble popped

2008:
- Korean stocks started breaking down
- Just over a month later, Lehman Brothers collapsed
- The global financial system went with it

2021:
- Bill Hwang used extreme leverage through Archegos
- The fund exploded
- Global banks lost more than $10 billion
- Credit Suisse alone lost $5.5 billion

2022:
- Do Kwon launched LUNA and UST
- More than $40 billion vanished almost overnight
- Then came Three Arrows Capital, Celsius, and FTX

Now the warning is coming from KOSPI again.

Samsung and SK Hynix dominate the index.

More than $30 billion flowed into leveraged products tied to the two companies.

These products rebalance every day.

When prices rise, they buy more.

When prices fall, they are forced to sell.

The deeper the market falls, the more selling the products create.

KOSPI has already fallen 25% in just a month.

The leverage that created the boom is now creating the crash.

Forced selling is feeding more forced selling.

South Korea has warned the world before.

It's warning us again.

Pay attention.

[WOLF @WOLF_Financial]

KEN GRIFFIN DESCRIBED THE PORTFOLIO THAT ENDS INVESTING CAREERS. HIS FIRM JUST BOUGHT ONE

In the clip, Griffin lays out why portfolio managers derail. Some are "just not good risk takers," running books that are "extraordinarily highly concentrated" with no clear competitive advantage behind the big positions. Some, he says, "with full information, are unable to help themselves."

This week Citadel bought the bulk of Situational Awareness's stock portfolio, the $20 billion AI fund that fell 67% in July on concentrated, leveraged AI bets and raced to meet margin calls. Citadel took specifically the positions financed with borrowed money.

Griffin's last point in the clip explains which side of that trade his firm was on. Decades of "very bitter lessons," he says, produce "the price paid in losses and pain that converts into wisdom."

The fund paying tuition this week was two years old. The buyer has been collecting forced sellers' books for decades.

[amit @amitisinvesting]

OH. MY. GOODNESS.

CITADEL HAS BOUGHT A MAJORITY OF THE PUBLIC ASSETS FROM LEOPOLD'S SITUATIONAL AWARENESS FUND.

So...Citadel scares everyone on Tuesday about a surprise rate hike during FOMC that WE ALL KNEW was not going to happen...

On Wednesday, the entire market freaks out about the rate hike which causes the selling to compound on itself creating 50-70% drawdowns across the board in high beta semicondcutor names...

Which means Leopold who we now know had $45B of assets and was 400% LEVERED ends up being the sacrifice as he gets liquidated at what theoretically could be the bottom due to not having the margin requirements to keep solvent...

AND THE PERSON WHO CAUSED THE SELLOFF WITH THE RATE HIKE FEARS ENDS UP COMING IN TO BUY HIS ASSETS FOR 40 TO 50 CENTS ON THE DOLLAR.

By the way, Leopold is getting married this weekend. I think he wanted to make sure he wasn't getting margin called during his wedding.

A vet on wall street in Ken Griffin takes out the young new kid.

ABSOLUTE. CINEMA.

[st1ne @SolSt1ne]

The CEO of Palantir sat across from Larry Fink - the man who runs BlackRock and its $11.5 TRILLION in assets - and told Davos the AI race is already lost by everyone pricing it wrong.

- he says the firms selling AI by the token have "completely broken" how it works

32-min from the Davos main stage on how AI redefines war, power and who actually controls capital

bookmark & watch - it's the most direct AI + power talk of the year

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

Omg, permabear Jeremy Grantham and Joe Kernen went AT IT on CNBC today.

Must watch TV.

Even got Jeremy to say bullshit on live tv lol.

But good on Joe for calling him out.

[Jacob King @JacobKinge]

Let’s take a walk down memory lane and see where all those bold 2025 Bitcoin targets ended up.

• JPMorgan: 170,000
• VanEck: 180,000
• SChartered: 250,000
• Tom Lee: 250,000
• Robert Kiyosaki: 350,000
• BlackRock: 700,000
• Chamath: 500,000
• Michael Saylor: 1,000,000
• ARK Invest: 650,000
• Galaxy Digital: 400,000
• Pompliano: 500,000
• Max Keiser: 220,000
• Cathie Wood: 2,000,000

Bitcoin sits weakly at 88K with 24 days left in the year. Every one of these so-called “experts” and “gurus” missed the mark by a mile.

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

The offering, completed around July 15, 2025, involved a substantial discount to UMAC's market price at the time of announcement, leading to an initial stock dip. This capital infusion strengthens UMAC's financial position for U.S. manufacturing expansion.

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

Unusual Machines (UMAC) successfully closed its $48.5M registered direct offering, selling 5M shares at $9.70 each. Gross proceeds reached $48.5M, with funds earmarked for drone motor manufacturing equipment, working capital, and general corporate purposes.

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

@MAGAVoice We have a supreme leader just like North Korea

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

@DefiantLs High IQ

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

@BradleyKellard Depressed because he should have sold for higher

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

@KobeissiLetter Tim cook just wasted speed shipment of 5 airplanes of iphones

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

@amitisinvesting Who bends first

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

@Ashcryptoreal Wrong pic or fake engagement post

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

@realestatedude0 Shocking how cheap you get your cars

[CryptoCon @CryptoCon_]

We're now about 1 month out from the projected First Cycle Top date of the Fibonacci Halvings which have been hyper-accurate for both the first and final tops of the cycle.

Can Bitcoin really make that big of a turnaround in just 30 days? It will be interesting to see.

If we've learned anything about this cycle, it's that it loves to make us wait!

It's also interesting to have had such a poor-performing February which is an almost unanimously bullish month even during the Bear Market.

I don't think that's a bad thing though, the cycles need to keep enough quirks to make sure people stay scared that everything is different.

Time and time again, this cycle mimics cycle 2 (2015 - 2018) which was much more smooth and methodical.

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

Strategy $mstr would you be buying here?

[Alfie @Alfietrade]

👀

[Reza Chowdhury @RezaC1]

@EndWokeness Violent crime in Manhattan on pace to hit levels not seen since 2002.