Day 21π½
Another step in the $POLY trademark
$POLY trademark update: USPTO issued a Non-Final Office Action. This is NOT an approval or rejectionβit means the examiner found issues that require a response from the applicant. Common step in the trademark process. The key detail is what the Office Action actually says.
Day 20π½
Genuinely feel bad for all the people that lost money that was important to them.
If you agree with @TheGreekTrader and wanna make sure it doesn't happen again, doesn't that mean you acknowledge that the outcome was wrong?
I suggest issuing a refund to all those that traded prior to the clarifications added on the market @mustafap0ly
Show true integrity please
@TheGreekTrader@Polymarket totally agree with you, thanks for the feedback and we are changing a bunch of stuff internally to make sure this doesn't happen again.
BREAKING: The SpaceX prospectus is live ahead of $SPCX IPO! π
Total Primary Offering: 555.5 million shares (100% primary, raising new capital).
Offering Price: Set at $135.00 per share.
https://t.co/es9xLrGczU
Day 18π½
Yesterday I bought YES after the news came out about MicroStrategy selling 32 BTC during the period May 26 2026 to May 31 2026
This is 100x more crazy than the Zelenskyy suit dispute, because this is not up to interpretation.
The rules were as described in the quoted post and they then CHANGED the rules which is utterly insane.
Hoping for justice, because it's a decent swing for the portfolio.
Imagine showing this to a normie.
Makes you understand why no one wants to onboard.
Bad look for the whole industry.
There is massive chaos on Polymarket right now regarding the "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026" market (currently sitting "In Review" at ~63%).
MicroStrategy has officially filed and declared that they indeed sold Bitcoin within the specific time period specified by the market rules.
If you play your cards right, you can structure a completely risk-free delta-neutral freeroll.
Here is exactly how this works and how to position yourself for maximum EV. π
The Precedent: September's Disputed Market
To understand the play, we look back at the similar disputed market from September https://t.co/B7VHM5lsRT
In that market, Polymarket resolved the contract but added a crucial caveat:
"This market will resolve to 'Yes'. All 'No' trades prior to the initial clarification (2025-09-02 15:00:46) will be refunded."
Essentially, anyone who bet against the rules before Polymarket explicitly clarified them got their money back.
The Current Situation (May 31 Market)
Look at https://t.co/VgsSrBCiTQ
Polymarket just posted notice that a clarification is coming on June 1 at 1:00 PM ET.
Crucially, they have NOT added the specific "refund rules" to the interface yet. This leaves a massive structural loophole. If they follow the exact same playbook as September, any trades placed before the official rules are codified are eligible for a conditional refund if things go sideways.
The Ultimate +EV Strategy: Go Delta Neutral
By utilizing the following math, you can lock in a zero-risk profit loop right now before the final notice drops.
Assume the current odds are 60% YES / 40% NO (or similar, like the 63.2Β’ / 36.9Β’ split you buy an equal amount of shares on both sides:
Buy 1,000 YES shares at $0.40 (Cost: $400)
Buy 1,000 NO shares at $0.60 (Cost: $600)
Total Outlay: $1,000
The Payoff Matrix (The Ultimate Freeroll)
Case A (Normal Resolution): The market settles normally. One side wins, the other loses. You get $1,000 back. Net profit: $0 (Completely risk-free, feeless trade).
Case B (YES Resolves, NO is Refunded): You get $1,000 from your YES shares + your $600 back for the NO refund. Net profit: +$600.
Case C (NO Resolves, YES is Refunded): You get $1,000 from your NO shares + your $400 back for the YES refund. Net profit: +$400.
What's the Catch?
The only reason this market hasn't been completely arbitraged to death is that the open interest is massive (around $7.5M+). Polymarket refunding a position of this scale would cost a fortune, meaning some traders are hesitant to trust they will fully honor the September precedent.
But since Polymarket limit order trades are essentially feeless, putting a portion of capital into a delta-neutral position here is a mathematically pure freeroll.
Positions are filling up fast. Get neutral before the 1:00 PM ET clarification hits the chain! β³
@TheGreekTrader Since this information is not added yet to the May 31st market, that would mean "Yes" is a freeroll? If it resolves "No", I would assume prior trades to clarification gets refunded as well
BREAKING: The Quantinuum S-1 filing is officially live! π
β’ Offering: 26,500,000 shares of Class A common stock β’ Expected Price Range: $53.00 - $55.00/share β’ Ticker Symbol: $QNT (listing on Nasdaq)
Full S-1 registration statement details: https://t.co/gS3GMlRoV9
Day 17π½
Monthly portfolio update:
π Performance in USD (since last month): -3.14%
π Performance in BTC (since last month): 1.65%
Since ATH: -21.28%
Few bad trades, still looking for $BTC to crash and go heavy in.
Always denominating in $BTC for the long term
Day 16π½
Desire is a contract you make with yourselfΒ to be unhappy until you get what you want
Been thinking about this @naval quote and canβt find a solution to create an environment where my happiness isnβt somehow diminished without creating stress or unsatisfaction
Day 15π½
$POLY pushing dates is not making me more comfortable in regards to my https://t.co/3YyKcAXmR5 bets
Gambling economy is crazy though, dangerous to be bored in crypto because it makes you chase stupid bets
Day 14π½
Tried to long $SPCX on the Elon confirmation that lowering IPO was false, didn't react surprisingly.
Also tried to short $BTC after the trump taco news but closed for loss only to see it nuke 1 min after