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We believe that the finance-centric parts of social media contain significant untapped alpha.
@TedPillows Looks like I was right and @TedPillows was wrong. If you still don't believe that the market can continue upwards you're not alone. Ironically that in itself is a reason why rallies extend and the market scales the wall of worry.
@TedPillows I'll take the other side of this trade. Peak fear of nuclear war marked a short term bottom and will now resume sideways pattern until further QE (sooner rather than later).
Great chart from @a16z
The narrative that AI has killed software is wrong.
Think of agents as digital workers. If they need to fix a drawer, they don't reinvent the screwdriver. They pick one up and use it.
As companies scale agent usage, demand for software won't shrink - it'll grow. A business with 10k employees and 50k agents generates far more transactions, workflows, and decisions that need reliable systems underneath.
But not all software benefits equally.
Convenience layers - basic scheduling, note-taking, simple reporting - will get absorbed. Agents don't need a nice UI to take notes. The software that thrives is the kind built on hard problems: regulatory complexity, deep integrations, high cost of getting it wrong. Agents can automate workflows on top of those systems, but they can't replace the infrastructure underneath. More agents actually means more transactions, which means more compliance surface area. The moat deepens.
The other shift is pricing. If an agent logs into your CRM for two seconds to update a lead, no one's paying full seat price for that. Software companies that don't adapt how they bill - per task, per process, per agent-access - will get left behind. The ones that figure this out first win!
Lots of fear in SaaS right now.
We’re building a SaaSocalypse dashboard to help time the bottom and identify the most AI-resilient names. Stay tuned.
#SaaS#AI#TechStocks#Investing#StockMarket
$MSFT Representative Josh Gottheimer just disclosed purchasing up to $1M in Microsoft call options.
Strike: $320 Expiration: June 18, 2026
Former Microsoft executive + House Intelligence Committee member.
This is all of software today.
It's ugly, but once again it is rooted in a very programmed (literally, algorithmically programmed) belief that the markets have about software in the age of AI.
Once again, if the market believes Claude will destroy every software company, then the amount of compute we need should be 1000x what it is today. $NVDA, $AMD, $AVGO, and other chip names should not be trading at the multiples they are at.
If the market doesn't actually believe AI will completely ruin software, then the discounts on the software are probably too extreme. Not to say that they need to return to the highs from years ago because there obviously has been a shift, but to ruthlessly take down all of software seems to be aggressive.
I wouldn't be long $IGV but I would try to identify the best software names that are being unnecessarily treated as legacy IT with no future. Obviously, I don't think $PLTR deserves this type of treatment given how it has differentiated itself from every other software company. I also don't think $CRWD or $PANW deserve to get wrecked when AI will only create a deeper need for cybersecurity.
I also don't think $ORCL, which has $300B in RPO from OpenAI, just did 30K layoffs, and down more than 50% from the highs deserves to be getting hit this hard, especially when other neoclouds (one could argue that Oracle is the ultimate neocloud) are being seen positively from the market. But because Oracle has a software part to the business...it gets sold off.
It's a stock pickers market in software but you just have to be able to try to find the names that aren't destroyed because of AI but rather only will accelerate earnings growth because of AI.