A thread of some of my best public calls of 2025:
$FUBO $1.45➡️$6.45 300%+ gain plus many more trades in and out for another 150%. 2026 will bring the stock back above $4
@kalshi_business Can you do this for the price of onions since it’s the only vegetable that futures trading is banned on? I know a lot of farmers would be happy to have a hedge
The FED is making a MAJOR mistake hiking rates in December, let alone by 50bps…
Here’s why:
1. Oil just crashed -20%
2. Stock market just collapsed -10% at record pace
3. Inflation is mild at 40 year averages
4. CPI/PPI is beginning to peak
5. Gold/Copper broke major uptrend cycles
6. Hiking rates into a supply shock leads to disastrous results
The Federal Reserve themselves are ironically going to drive a 2008 housing market collapse to happen in 2027.
Be wary of what’s coming…
Reasons not to hike rates at all, let alone 50bps:
1. Oil just crashed 20%
2. CPI is backward-looking
3. Inflation is at the average of the last 40 years
4. Stocks crashed last week
5. It's one print. An ugly print, but one print, and the Fed shouldn't be making decisions based on one data point
6. Inflation was a lot higher in 2021 and there was no urgency then, why, I wonder, does everyone have religion about this all of a sudden?
7. You never hike into a supply shock
8. Everyone knows this is about politics
9. Everyone knows Warsh is strongly disliked
10. And Warsh is a proxy for Trump
11. Copper just broke the uptrend
12. A 50bp move is for emergencies. Nothing here constitutes an emergency.
13. See my previous tweet
@Kalshi How about we fucking ban Diwali? The pieces of shit who were celebrating it set off fireworks well after midnight and trashed the city. On top of that, no one wants to smell their nasty ass slop they call food