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AltLineDemon
@AltLineDemon
Iโm just here to build bankroll๐ฐ| NBA/MLB/NFL/NCAAF Props
โฌ๏ธALL LINKS CAN BE FOUND HERE
Joined April 2025
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4.9K Followers
5.2K Posts
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The SWEEP is complete!๐ฐ
Run it up, itโs giveaway time!
1. Jaden Mcdaniels O2.5 Assistsโ
#WolvesBackย
2. Franz Wagner O7.5 RAโ
#MakeItMagic ๐ซ
3. Karl-Anthony Towns 20+ Pointsโ
#AlwaysKnicksย
4. Jalen Suggs O13.5 Pointsโ
#MakeItMagic ๐ซ
5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O6.5 Assistsโ
#ThunderUp
NBA Betting card๐ (April 25th)
Sending $25 to a random โค๏ธโ๐ฅ if we go 5-0!
1. Jaden Mcdaniels O2.5 Assists (-116)
#WolvesBack
2. Franz Wagner O7.5 RA (-120)
#MakeItMagic ๐ซ
3. Karl-Anthony Towns 20+ Points (-125)
#AlwaysKnicks
4. Jalen Suggs O13.5 Points (-136)
#MakeItMagic ๐ซ
5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O6.5 Assists (-149)
#ThunderUp
NBA POTD #1๐ (Oct. 24th)
Collab w/@PropKitchen, @SC_FFB ๐ฅ
1. Jalen Green U8.5 RA (-139)
Greenโs role in Phoenix is still built much more around scoring than creating for others or crashing the glass. He averaged just 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists last season and has stayed under this line in 8 of his last 12 games while averaging only 7.0 R+A. In the season opener, Green finished with just 2 rebounds and 3 assists despite remaining involved offensively and attempting 12 shots.
Since joining Phoenix, Green is averaging only 5.5 potential assists and 6.2 rebound chances per game when sharing the floor with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks. Those opportunity numbers already make it difficult for a score first guard to consistently reach 9 combined rebounds and assists, and Phoenix has added even more competition for those stats. Miles Bridges gives them another versatile wing who can handle, rebound and create, while their active 7โ2 rookie center adds another strong presence on the glass.
Greenโs play style fits the under as well. He is naturally a score first guard who tends to finish possessions rather than consistently create them for teammates. Booker remains the primary offensive initiator, while Green is often attacking closeouts, getting downhill or looking for his own shot. He can have a productive scoring game without coming close to this number in the peripheral categories.
Golden State has played at a bottom 10 pace through its first two games after finishing 11th slowest in pace last season. Green has stayed under this line in 10 of 15 games against teams in the bottom half of the league in pace, and a slower game naturally reduces the total number of possessions available for rebounds and assists.
Golden Stateโs smaller lineups create some risk for extra guard rebounds, but Green still needs 9 combined rebounds and assists to beat us. He only had 5 RA in the season opener against Portland & With Booker controlling most of the creation, Bridges and Brooks competing for secondary opportunities and Phoenix adding more size around him, we donโt see enough rebound or assist volume for a score first player like Green to consistently get there. We like him to stay under this line against Golden State.
FADE HIM AGAIN ๐
๐ PK Dish #3 (10/24)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ง ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐ + ๐๐ฌ๐ญ
Cooked w/ @SC_FFB ๐ค @AltLineDemon
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Greenโs role in Phoenix is still built much more around scoring than creating for others or crashing the glass. He averaged just 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists last season and has stayed under this line in 8 of his last 12 games while averaging only 7.0 R+A. In the season opener, Green finished with just 2 rebounds and 3 assists despite remaining involved offensively and attempting 12 shots.
- Since joining Phoenix, Green is averaging only 5.5 potential assists and 6.2 rebound chances per game when sharing the floor with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks. Those opportunity numbers already make it difficult for a score-first guard to consistently reach 9 combined rebounds and assists, and Phoenix has added even more competition for those stats. Miles Bridges gives them another versatile wing who can handle, rebound and create, while their active 7โ2 rookie center adds another strong presence on the glass.
- Greenโs play style fits the under as well. He is naturally a score-first guard who tends to finish possessions rather than consistently create them for teammates. Booker remains the primary offensive initiator, while Green is often attacking closeouts, getting downhill or looking for his own shot. He can have a productive scoring game without coming close to this number in the peripheral categories.
- Golden State has played at a bottom-10 pace through its first two games after finishing 11th-slowest in pace last season. Green has stayed under this line in 10 of 15 games against teams in the bottom half of the league in pace, and a slower game naturally reduces the total number of possessions available for rebounds and assists.
- Golden Stateโs smaller lineups create some risk for extra guard rebounds, but Green still needs 9 combined rebounds and assists to beat us. He only had 5 RA in the season opener against Portland, and with Booker controlling most of the creation, Bridges and Brooks competing for secondary opportunities and Phoenix adding more size around him, we donโt see enough rebound or assist volume for a score-first player like Green to consistently get there. We like him to stay under this line against Golden State.
Best Odds: -139 DraftKings
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
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#NBA #NBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
Samโs Club Collab with @AltLineDemon ๐ค@PropKitchen ๐
Jalen Green Under 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (-139, DraftKings) ๐
NBA POTD #1๐ (Oct. 23rd)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. Dejounte Murray O5.5 Assists (-135)
#Pelicans
He opened the season with 7 assists, and now gets a matchup against one of the more favorable defenses for opposing playmakers.
Utah allowed a league-high 30.7 assists per game last season and their defensive struggles have consistently created opportunities for opposing guards.
Murray has taken full advantage of this matchup, clearing 5.5 assists in all 5 of his last 5 meetings against the Jazz, averaging 9.2 assists per game. His results in those matchups were 11, 9, 6, 11, and 9 assists.
The minutes trend makes this play even stronger. When Murray plays at least 25 minutes against teams ranked 20thโ30th defensively, heโs cleared this line in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 8.4 assists. Heโs also gone over in 19 of his last 20 games (95%) under those same conditions.
His role as a primary ball handler gives him plenty of opportunities to create shots for his teammates. Against an Utah defense that has consistently struggled to limit ball movement and assists, we expect him to have another productive night distributing the basketball.
NBA POTD #1๐ (Oct. 23rd)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. Dejounte Murray O5.5 Assists (-135)
#Pelicans
He opened the season with 7 assists, and now gets a matchup against one of the more favorable defenses for opposing playmakers.
Utah allowed a league-high 30.7 assists per game last season and their defensive struggles have consistently created opportunities for opposing guards.
Murray has taken full advantage of this matchup, clearing 5.5 assists in all 5 of his last 5 meetings against the Jazz, averaging 9.2 assists per game. His results in those matchups were 11, 9, 6, 11, and 9 assists.
The minutes trend makes this play even stronger. When Murray plays at least 25 minutes against teams ranked 20thโ30th defensively, heโs cleared this line in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 8.4 assists. Heโs also gone over in 19 of his last 20 games (95%) under those same conditions.
His role as a primary ball handler gives him plenty of opportunities to create shots for his teammates. Against an Utah defense that has consistently struggled to limit ball movement and assists, we expect him to have another productive night distributing the basketball.
NBA POTD #1๐ (Oct. 23rd)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. Dejounte Murray O5.5 Assists (-135)
#Pelicans
He opened the season with 7 assists, and now gets a matchup against one of the more favorable defenses for opposing playmakers.
Utah allowed a league-high 30.7 assists per game last season and their defensive struggles have consistently created opportunities for opposing guards.
Murray has taken full advantage of this matchup, clearing 5.5 assists in all 5 of his last 5 meetings against the Jazz, averaging 9.2 assists per game. His results in those matchups were 11, 9, 6, 11, and 9 assists.
The minutes trend makes this play even stronger. When Murray plays at least 25 minutes against teams ranked 20thโ30th defensively, heโs cleared this line in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 8.4 assists. Heโs also gone over in 19 of his last 20 games (95%) under those same conditions.
His role as a primary ball handler gives him plenty of opportunities to create shots for his teammates. Against an Utah defense that has consistently struggled to limit ball movement and assists, we expect him to have another productive night distributing the basketball.
Jalen Williams Over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists โ
Never a doubt
๐ https://t.co/DtoRydlKqz
NBA POTD #1๐ (Oct. 20th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. Jalen Williams O8.5 RA (-135)
We really like this spot for Jalen Williams against San Antonio, especially when looking at his production in games where he gets his normal minutes.
Last season, Williams cleared 8.5 RA in 15/22 games (68.2%) when playing 25+ minutes, averaging 10.3 rebounds + assists.
The road split is even better, clearing this line in all 9 qualifying road games (100%). That consistency is encouraging considering OKC travels to San Antonio for this matchup.
The head-to-head numbers also support this play. Williams has cleared this line in 80% of his matchups against the Spurs when playing at least 25 minutes. Looking at his last 10 meetings with San Antonio, heโs averaging 10.9 RA, with several games finishing comfortably above this number.
The biggest factor here is playing time. When Williams gets 25+ minutes, his combination of rebounding opportunities and playmaking gives him multiple ways to clear this line.
He doesnโt need an exceptional game in either category, just his usual involvement on both ends.
With strong road splits, consistent production against San Antonio, and a line sitting below his qualifying averages, we like Williams to get to 9+ RA again.
NBA POTD #1๐ (Oct. 20th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. Jalen Williams O8.5 RA (-135)
We really like this spot for Jalen Williams against San Antonio, especially when looking at his production in games where he gets his normal minutes.
Last season, Williams cleared 8.5 RA in 15/22 games (68.2%) when playing 25+ minutes, averaging 10.3 rebounds + assists.
The road split is even better, clearing this line in all 9 qualifying road games (100%). That consistency is encouraging considering OKC travels to San Antonio for this matchup.
The head-to-head numbers also support this play. Williams has cleared this line in 80% of his matchups against the Spurs when playing at least 25 minutes. Looking at his last 10 meetings with San Antonio, heโs averaging 10.9 RA, with several games finishing comfortably above this number.
The biggest factor here is playing time. When Williams gets 25+ minutes, his combination of rebounding opportunities and playmaking gives him multiple ways to clear this line.
He doesnโt need an exceptional game in either category, just his usual involvement on both ends.
With strong road splits, consistent production against San Antonio, and a line sitting below his qualifying averages, we like Williams to get to 9+ RA again.
Chalkboard 50% Boost๐
7x๐ฐ
1. Jaylen Brown O19.5 Points๐
2. Josh Hart O11.5 RA๐
3. Dylan Harper O21.5 PRA๐
4. Jalen Williams O7.5 RA๐
5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O5.5 Assists๐
Paul George is FRYING the Pistons๐ญ
Samโs Club Collab with @AltLineDemon ๐ค
Jalen Williams Over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (-135, bet365)
Full Card ๐
๐ https://t.co/DtoRydlKqz
NBA POTD #1๐ (Oct. 20th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. Jalen Williams O8.5 RA (-135)
We really like this spot for Jalen Williams against San Antonio, especially when looking at his production in games where he gets his normal minutes.
Last season, Williams cleared 8.5 RA in 15/22 games (68.2%) when playing 25+ minutes, averaging 10.3 rebounds + assists.
The road split is even better, clearing this line in all 9 qualifying road games (100%). That consistency is encouraging considering OKC travels to San Antonio for this matchup.
The head-to-head numbers also support this play. Williams has cleared this line in 80% of his matchups against the Spurs when playing at least 25 minutes. Looking at his last 10 meetings with San Antonio, heโs averaging 10.9 RA, with several games finishing comfortably above this number.
The biggest factor here is playing time. When Williams gets 25+ minutes, his combination of rebounding opportunities and playmaking gives him multiple ways to clear this line.
He doesnโt need an exceptional game in either category, just his usual involvement on both ends.
With strong road splits, consistent production against San Antonio, and a line sitting below his qualifying averages, we like Williams to get to 9+ RA again.
THE NBA IS BACK!๐
MNF POTD๐ (Oct. 19th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. George Kittle 15+ Rec Yards each half (-130)
โข 53.5 receiving yards per game, averaging 4.2 receptions on 5.6 targets, trailing only Mike Evans (23.9% target share, 31.5% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (19.7%) and first read target share (24.7%)
โข 58.7 receiving yards per game playing at least 50% of the teamโs offensive snaps, and/or running more than 15 routes, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.3 targets, still trailing only Evans (27.9% target share, 36.2% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (22.1%) and first read target share (25.9%)
โข Evans is questionable, currently leading the 49ers with a 23.9% target share and 31.5% first read target share
โข Deebo Samuel is out, vacating a 14.1% target share and 13.5% first read target share
โข 74.5 receiving yards per game in 2 career meetings against the Commanders with Brock Purdy under center, averaging 4.5 receptions on 6.0 targets, trailing only Brandon Aiyuk (31.3% target share, 33.3% first read target share), who is out, for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (25.0%) and first read target share (28.2%)
โข The Commanders are 23rd in EPA per pass (0.05), 26th in DVOA against the pass (20.0%), and 31st in DVOA against tight ends (40.9%), allowing the 11th-most targets (8.2), the 7th-most receptions (6.4), and the 5th-most receiving yards (74.4) per game to the position
George Kittle 15+ Receiving Yards in Each Half โ
โ
๐ https://t.co/DtoRydmig7
Samโs Club Collab with @AltLineDemon ๐ค
George Kittle 15+ Receiving Yards in Each Half (-130, DraftKings)
30% off all our plays with promo code NFL ๐
๐ https://t.co/DtoRydlKqz
MNF POTD๐ (Oct. 19th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. George Kittle 15+ Rec Yards each half (-130)
โข 53.5 receiving yards per game, averaging 4.2 receptions on 5.6 targets, trailing only Mike Evans (23.9% target share, 31.5% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (19.7%) and first read target share (24.7%)
โข 58.7 receiving yards per game playing at least 50% of the teamโs offensive snaps, and/or running more than 15 routes, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.3 targets, still trailing only Evans (27.9% target share, 36.2% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (22.1%) and first read target share (25.9%)
โข Evans is questionable, currently leading the 49ers with a 23.9% target share and 31.5% first read target share
โข Deebo Samuel is out, vacating a 14.1% target share and 13.5% first read target share
โข 74.5 receiving yards per game in 2 career meetings against the Commanders with Brock Purdy under center, averaging 4.5 receptions on 6.0 targets, trailing only Brandon Aiyuk (31.3% target share, 33.3% first read target share), who is out, for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (25.0%) and first read target share (28.2%)
โข The Commanders are 23rd in EPA per pass (0.05), 26th in DVOA against the pass (20.0%), and 31st in DVOA against tight ends (40.9%), allowing the 11th-most targets (8.2), the 7th-most receptions (6.4), and the 5th-most receiving yards (74.4) per game to the position
MNF POTD๐ (Oct. 19th)
Collab w/@SC_FFB ๐
1. George Kittle 15+ Rec Yards each half (-130)
โข 53.5 receiving yards per game, averaging 4.2 receptions on 5.6 targets, trailing only Mike Evans (23.9% target share, 31.5% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (19.7%) and first read target share (24.7%)
โข 58.7 receiving yards per game playing at least 50% of the teamโs offensive snaps, and/or running more than 15 routes, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.3 targets, still trailing only Evans (27.9% target share, 36.2% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (22.1%) and first read target share (25.9%)
โข Evans is questionable, currently leading the 49ers with a 23.9% target share and 31.5% first read target share
โข Deebo Samuel is out, vacating a 14.1% target share and 13.5% first read target share
โข 74.5 receiving yards per game in 2 career meetings against the Commanders with Brock Purdy under center, averaging 4.5 receptions on 6.0 targets, trailing only Brandon Aiyuk (31.3% target share, 33.3% first read target share), who is out, for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (25.0%) and first read target share (28.2%)
โข The Commanders are 23rd in EPA per pass (0.05), 26th in DVOA against the pass (20.0%), and 31st in DVOA against tight ends (40.9%), allowing the 11th-most targets (8.2), the 7th-most receptions (6.4), and the 5th-most receiving yards (74.4) per game to the position
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