Plasma generated $9 in revenue yesterday, while its FDV is $887,000,000.
$XPL is down 95% from its peak, which means $10,000 invested 8 months ago is worth only $500 today.
BTC confirmed a TBO open short on Saturday, adding another bearish signal after the prior TBT bearish divergences and TBO closed long. I am watching $71,866 on the long-term support fan and $70,466 as the next short-term support target if the current pivot low gives way. ETH still looks bearish as well, even though RSI has started to put in higher lows.
The broader market is giving mixed signals. Total crypto excluding stablecoins already confirmed a TBO open short, while combined stablecoin dominance remains macro bullish and still suggests another capitulation dump could be ahead. BTC dominance has dropped hard, others dominance is getting very overbought, and the strongest alt action is showing up in the 11 to 100 market cap range.
Today's watchlist covers BTC, ETH, stablecoin dominance, BTC dominance, OTHERS, DXY, ES, VIX, oil, gold, silver, uranium, and a big batch of altcoin and stock setups. XLM, NIGHT, FET, INJ, MYX, H, HYPE, VVV, BNB, HBAR, BIANRENSHENG, ID, MU, PLTR, CRM, SNOW, WDAY, MOD, and ROKU all had notable moves or setups, while LINK, SUI, VET, XTZ, WAL, TON, QNT, TIA, APT, CRV, and several others still need caution.
Chapters:
00:00 BTC confirms TBO open short
04:19 ETH still bearish
05:41 Total crypto market cap excluding stables
06:26 Stablecoin dominance warning
07:15 BTC dominance drops hard
07:46 OTHERS dominance gets overbought
09:09 TOTALE100 and alt rotation
09:39 DXY and TradFi check
10:13 VIX, oil, gold, silver, uranium
12:40 Better Traders, TBO, Toobit, Kraken
14:25 XLM, NIGHT, FET, INJ breakouts
16:46 MYX and H huge pumps
17:45 SHIB and CAKE reversal alerts
18:30 HYPE, ZEC, RENDER, DEXE, VVV
20:33 LINK, SUI, VET, XTZ, WAL bearish setups
22:15 TON, QNT, TIA, BNB, HBAR, ASTER
23:48 ALGO, MORPHO, BIANRENSHENG
25:22 Viewer picks: APT, CRV, PENDLE, GRASS
27:35 WLD, NEAR, ID
28:53 Stocks: MU, PLTR, CRM, SNOW, WDAY
30:55 VRT, MOD, HIMS, ROKU
33:09 Solana deep dive follow-up
BTC is still leaning bearish after Friday's red doji failed to close a TBO open short, even with a possible bullish RSI reset and a fast-line bounce signal still on the table. The big warning is how closely this setup resembles January: BTC chopped under the cloud, tagged the fast line, then dropped hard. ETH is also showing a potential bear flag retest near lost support, but the larger read still points lower unless the market proves otherwise.
At the same time, OTHERS and OTHERS.D are not acting scared. Stablecoin dominance already confirmed strength, BTC.D is weakening, and alts are showing weekend euphoria even while BTC looks heavy. Tradfi is mixed, with DXY still weak, ES and DJI showing strength, VIX cooling off, NVDA still in bearish consolidation, uranium finally hitting its fast-line target, and silver looking weaker inside bearish consolidation.
Watchlist highlights include ALGO as a possible short into resistance, INJ and DEXE pushing strongly higher, IOTA tagging the weekly fast line after a huge weekly move, XRP and TRX as bearish breakdown or pullback-to-short setups, ZEC and TAO still in bearish consolidation, BIANRENSHENG and XMR acting strangely strong near resistance, HBAR trying to improve, and stock picks like HPE, DELL, NOW, SAP, SNOW, AXON, and ZETA showing big earnings-gap or reversal structures that need careful handling.
Chapters:
00:00 BTC doji, fast-line bounce risk and January comparison
01:31 ETH bear flag retest and bearish structure
03:03 TOTALES, stablecoin dominance, BTC.D and OTHERS
04:35 Altcoin euphoria while BTC stays heavy
06:11 Tradfi, DXY, ES, DJI, VIX, NVDA and Shanghai
07:43 Silver, uranium target hit and TBT resources
09:15 Kraken, Toobit and today’s watchlist setup
10:46 ALGO, INJ and DEXE
12:25 IOTA, XRP and TRX
13:57 ZEC, TAO and bearish consolidation reads
15:32 BIANRENSHENG, XMR and HBAR
17:06 RIF, HPE and DELL
18:42 NOW, SAP, SNOW, AXON and ZETA
20:15 Closing notes and Solana deep dive preview
BTC dropped to $74,289 on Saturday but closed up 1.7% and continued higher Sunday, leaving zero new CME gaps. The good news ends there. We pierced short-term support and the support fan, momentum is still pointing down, and the lower weekend wick looks like a prediction wick signaling we're headed lower. BTC closed back inside the cloud so we're technically in bullish consolidation, but the slow line is still pointing down and I'm expecting a close below the cloud. ETH put in a lower low with RSI confirming it, no bullish engulfing candle, and I still think it tests previously lost support before heading to $1,000.
TOTALES closed below the cloud Friday confirming strong bearish, and I'm still net bearish on the space. Stablecoin dominance printed a TBO close long but stayed strong bullish above the cloud, so I'm expecting it to push higher. BTC.D reclaimed the top of the cloud but there's an increasing chance it drops toward 60%, giving a false sense of safety to OTHERS.D right before a drop. TOTAL100.D confirmed its first-ever TBO close long, and that entire segment is only 0.31% of the market cap. TradFi: DXY gapped down and should snap back to close the gap at 99.172, euro gapped up, S&P futures back to overbought but strong bullish, Nikkei up 2.79% breaking out again. Oil dropped below support on news with a gap fill target at $68. Gold still strong bearish, silver bouncing to the fast line, uranium waiting on a bounce to $66.16.
My picks: $NEAR printed a three-in-a-row TBO breakout on a 30% pump plus a weekly TBO close short, but we wait for the fast line pullback at $162. $HYPE strong bullish but RSI lower high signals a possible reversal. $VVV super strong bullish with all four lines in agreement. $SOL TBO open short, still bearish. $ADA three-in-a-row TBO breakdown. $LTC TBO breakdowns. $PEPE TBO open short, bot signal already up 6%. $QNT won't close above resistance at $81.75. $ATOM TBT bearish divergence cluster. $APT open short confirmed. $ARB open short, down 10% since my warning. $VET TBO breakdown at support. $BONK TBO open short. $MON wicking below the cloud. $2Z heading to fast line at $0.09895. $ZEC two TBO close longs but still going lower. $TON TBO close long. $CHZ late open short toward $0.03197. $TAO second TBO close long, bearish. $ASTER weird bullish jump. $MORPHO pushed to resistance at $2.25 with RSI lower high, still bearish. Viewer picks: Gitcoin, Bio, ATS, Epic, Zebec, Bloom Energy, DRAM, Amazon, Tesla, Solaris Energy.
CHAPTER MARKERS
0:00 BTC - Surprise Drop & No New CME Gaps
4:30 ETH - Lower Low & Bear Flag
8:00 TOTALES & Strong Bearish Confirmation
10:30 Stablecoin Dominance, BTC.D & OTHERS.D
13:00 TOTAL100.D - First-Ever Close Long
13:30 TradFi - DXY, Euro, Yen, S&P, Nikkei
16:00 Oil, Gold, Silver, Uranium
17:30 Sponsor Break
19:30 My Picks
30:30 Your Picks
35:00 Altrady Interview Plug & Wrap-Up
BTC IS REPEATING SAME RSI TRENDLINE BOTTOM STRUCTURE!
Every cycle bottom in BTC history landed exactly on this RSI trendline.
2012, 2015, 2019, 2023 -> all four lows were lying on the same trendline.
Right now, we are sitting above that line.
That means no cycle bottom has formed yet.
So BTC must keep dumping until hitting this RSI trendline.
Skipping the RSI confirmation is the same mistake bulls made in 2022.
Turn on notifs, I'll call exact bottom.
Bitcoin rejected from 5-year macro resistance for a reason.
History is repeating again almost perfectly.
$BTC is now following the exact structure I warned about months ago:
Bull Trap to $83K → Rejection → Dump to $74K
Next key levels to watch:
→ $68,000
→ $61,000
→ $48,000
Most traders are still trapped in bull market optimism.
But smart money is already preparing for the next leg down.
I called the exact Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the exact top in 2025 before anyone believed it.
If you ignored those calls, don’t ignore this one.
Follow and turn notifications on before the next panic starts.
Everything is going as I told you.
The final bull trap at $82K closed perfectly.
$74K has been hit.
BTC is now entering the stage where the cycle bottom forms.
Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including the exact $16K bottom three years ago and the $111K top in October.
Turn on notifications. When the real bottom forms, I'll call it here publicly, like I always do.
🚨 MASSIVE CRASH 🩸
₩185 trillion has been wiped out from the Korean stock market today.
It is now down 12% in just the last 4 trading sessions, erasing nearly ₩750 trillion in market cap.
No one is prepared for this Bitcoin scenario.
We're stuck in the longest and final Bull Trap right now.
The correction phase starts next week, and $BTC will dump to $51,000 in 12 days.
I called the exact Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the exact top in 2025.
Now I’m watching the same setup unfold in 2026.
Follow and turn notifications on.
Don’t miss the next move.
BTC is setting up a very bearish weekend. The daily candle is working on a second TBT bearish divergence, RSI has already undercut the recent pullback lows, and a close inside the TBO cloud would open the door for more downside. OBV and volume are still holding up, but the support fan break and wide CME gaps across BTC, ETH, and SOL keep risk skewed lower.
ETH printed its first meaningful TBO breakdown in months and is losing support across the daily structure. ETHBTC is also confirming another TBO breakdown, while stablecoin dominance is pushing above the fast line and threatening the top of the cloud. If stablecoin dominance reaches the 10.5%-10.6% zone, that would be very bearish confirmation for the broader crypto market.
Alt breadth still looks weak. BTC dominance printed a TBT bearish divergence cluster, but with stablecoin dominance rising, that points to capital leaving crypto instead of rotating into alts. TOTALES, OTHERS, TOTALE50, and TOTALE100 are all showing more weakness, with smaller caps already breaking support and OBV turning bearish in several places.
TradFi added to the pressure: DXY is moving back into its gap zone, the U.S. 10-year yield spiked, USDJPY is pressing the top of the cloud, the euro broke down on the 4H, and U.S. equities finally pulled back after overbought streaks. Oil jumped, gold dropped hard back into strong bearish mode, silver printed a major TBO close long after a huge candle, and copper confirmed the risk-off read. FF is the only bullish chart I’m watching closely today. Most other names, including ZEC, SUI, TON, XRP, ICP, ALGO, MORPHO, MON, 2Z, BNB, SOL, and TAO, still look vulnerable unless bulls can reclaim momentum fast.
00:00 Intro and BTC daily warning
00:25 BTC bearish divergence, RSI, OBV, cloud, CME gaps
02:15 ETH TBO breakdown, support fan, bear flag, ETHBTC
04:13 Stablecoin dominance and BTC dominance signals
06:43 Total market cap and alt breadth weakness
09:25 TradFi: DXY, bonds, USDJPY, euro, equities, VIX, China
13:07 Oil, gold, silver, and copper
15:20 TBT, TBO, Journal, Kraken, Toobit, and viewer requests
17:36 FF and crypto watchlist breakdown
23:15 Weekend risk, stablecoin dominance, and closing thoughts
This Bitcoin chart has perfectly predicted the current Bull Trap to $79K.
We’re exactly halfway through the bear cycle, and $BTC will dump to ~$41,000.
History is repeating itself, everything going exactly as I predicted:
$79K → $71K → $48K → $55K → $41K
Next stops:
→ $70K in days
→ $41K in June
I called the $126k top in October 2025 and $15k bottom in November 2022.
If you missed those calls, don't worry. I'll call the next one too.
Follow now. I'll update you as this dump plays out.
🚨 DON’T LET THE MARKET FOOL YOU!
The price of $BTC is not sitting still for no reason!
200 MA has always been a major resistance level during bear markets
Yes, there were moments when price briefly broke above it to trap the crowd - only to fall back lower and print new lows
BUT DON’T GET DECEIVED
Now take a close look at the Fibonacci retracement:
- 0.5 and 0.618 have always acted as key resistance zones.
- But the strongest resistance levels are 0.786 and 0.86 ( if you want, I’ll make a full video explaining why later)
As I said before, I still expect lower Bitcoin prices
EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN. DON’T WORRY
TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS, FOLLOW ME, AND BOOKMARK THIS
$BTC FOLLOW THE SAME SCRIPT EVERY CYCLE
Every. Single. Time.
- Minimum 350 days of pain
- Bottom doesn't form before MA350 gets touched
- Price always falls further than the crowd thinks possible
Here's the problem.
$BTC is still holding around $80K while the 350-day MA sits near $47K, completely untouched.
That gap doesn't stay open. It never has.
Everyone is celebrating strength too early.
The real flush comes when confidence gets too crowded, and right now the market is acting like the bottom is already in.
It's not.
When $BTC finally tags the 350-day MA, that's the moment I flip aggressively bullish. Not before.
When the next move becomes clear, I’ll post it here first.
Turn notifications on. Most people will follow me too late.
I was bullish all the way from 16k to 120k
Sold everything at 120k and shorted
Said 60k is next when BTC was at 120k
At 60k I said 79-85k is coming next
And this ladies, is the local top (80-85k)
The big crash towards 50k and lower soon
$BTC HEATMAP UPDATE (24H)
Called it again
$81,000 liquidity swept clean
Exactly as the map showed
Now price is sitting between two fresh clusters
$83,000 above, $80,000 below
One of them gets hunted next
Already know which one
Follow me - update incoming when it moves
$BTC HAS THREE RULES IN A BEAR MARKET
It's easy:
Rule 1 - Bear market lasts minimum 350 days
Rule 2 - The bottom never forms without touching MA 350
Rule 3 - Price always drops further than anyone expect
Good news: By the timeline we're already 65% through the bear cycle
But the price is still at $80,000. And the 350-day moving average is at $47,000 - completely untouched
Not worried though. There are too many things working against this bullish moment right now. The flush is coming. It always does
When MA 350 gets tagged - that's when I'll be the loudest bull in the room
FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!
I think May and June could be brutal for crypto, and in this video I walk through exactly why I still believe BTC could push all the way down to $38,555 before this bear market leg is done. The core of the argument comes from the crypto calendar and how the last real bottom years behaved, especially when you compare monthly closes with the full wick-to-wick volatility inside those candles.
I break down what those historical averages imply for BTC first, then apply the same lens to ETH and the broader market. The important point is not just that monthly closes could be red. It is that the intramonth volatility can get much uglier than the close alone suggests, which is why a move that looks manageable on paper can still feel like a bloodbath in real time.
I also zoom out to TOTALES and the smaller-cap market to show how deep the damage could go if the same kind of bear-market behavior repeats. That is where the opportunity comes in too. If this forecast is even directionally right, the next two months could create some of the best accumulation windows of the cycle, but only for people who stay patient, think probabilistically, and avoid pretending projections are guarantees.
The biggest takeaway is that this is a forecast, not a certainty. July has historically looked stronger, but I do not treat that as proof the full bottom is in. Right now I am using the best historical data we have to map the downside, prepare for volatility, and think ahead instead of reacting after the damage is already done.
Crypto Calendar:
https://t.co/iQ6IXKoKZ0
Chapters:
00:00 Bitcoin to $38,555 by June?
01:48 BTC May and June historical forecast
03:19 Bitcoin volatility and lower wick projections
06:40 June could be even worse for BTC
10:47 Why this data comes from The Better Traders Club
12:34 Ethereum May and June forecast
15:30 ETH volatility and the $1,000 target
20:02 What TOTALES shows about the whole crypto market
23:29 TOTALES May and June downside projections
27:04 TOTALES vs TOTALLY50 vs TOTALLY100 explained
31:39 TOTALLY50 forecast and mid-cap risk
34:51 TOTALLY100 forecast and smaller-cap risk
36:21 Why July could bring a bounce
37:40 These are projections, not guarantees
40:02 How traders should prepare
41:48 Trading volatility and final thoughts
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I expect #Bitcoin to continue its bounce towards $93-95K.
That's where the first rally, after the end of the bear market, goes to: the 50-Week MA.
I do think that we've peaked in December '24 and that we've finished the bear market in February '26.
I don't think we'll see a full blown #Altcoin strength, but I do expect money to rotate back into the assets that were doing great prior to the recent massive correction.
Those bets remain relatively the same: AI <> #Crypto and some outliers.