One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
He'll Be Back Soon": Update on VDH's Cancer Fight and Post-Op Recovery!
"There were serious post-op issues," and Hanson is receiving ongoing care and monitoring.
Victor Davis Hanson, the renowned historian, author, and Martin and Illie Anderson Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, underwent major surgery shortly before Christmas to remove a portion of his lung affected by cancer.
The procedure, described as successful in targeting the cancerous growth, took place at Stanford Medical Center, where Hanson is currently recovering amid significant post-operative challenges.
Co-host Jack Fowler of the podcast "Victor Davis Hanson: In His Own Words" provided an update, noting that while the surgery achieved its objective, "there were serious post-op issues," and Hanson is receiving ongoing care and monitoring.
Fowler emphasized the widespread support Hanson has received, stating that he is "deeply appreciative" of the "millions of people [who] were praying for Victor" and the numerous priests offering masses on his behalf. Hanson, who has been sidelined from his regular audio and video appearances, is expected to return to his platform soon, while his recovery continues to progress steadily.
WE, IN REAL MAGA, REAL AMERICAN PATRIOTS, STAND WITH YOU, MR. PRESIDENT, OUR MILITARY, AND OUR ISRAELI ALLIES!
Whatever is happening, we should strongly support our president and our troops, pray for them, speak out for them, and condemn any of the fake MAGA grifters, Marxists, Islamists, and the rest who seek to undermine our country especially at a time like this. President Trump has made clear that he wants peace, and that the Iranian regime with nuclear weapons is not about peace but genocide. For the vast majority of Americans, nothing could be clearer.
Fight fight fight..we are winning! A message to everyone. It is time! My fight and where I have dug in my heels is in the courts, we represent ourselves in court and are kicking ass... No fear.. No pearl clutchers wanted ,move along and make your excuses. I'm a Delco chick who loves her Country! ..#MAGAMOVEMENT
Latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 02 February 2024.
Find out more about Defence Intelligence's use of language: https://t.co/J67zk0ezE3
#StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦
Are you white? Have you been illegally denied a job because of the color of your skin?
We want to hear from you. 🫵🏼
1-877-AFL-5454
https://t.co/9pPoAam6Ba
Shocking video. Little black boy takes toy from little white boy who then tries to get it back. That’s kids being kids. But watch what the adult supervisors then do to the little white boy. Identify and sack them.