Ant

My opinions only.

[Ant @AntonyU]

@Hashtagkangas On the one hand, West Coast were unlucky to lose.

On the other hand, we played 3.5 quarters and posted a score that had a chance to be defendable. Putting aside the last ten minutes there are still many positives to take away from the game.

We need another key defender!

[Ant @AntonyU]

@AflGlicko 1. I love what you’re doing.
2. Most people don’t understand probabilities.
3. Make sure you recite “The Man In The Arena” every day!!!!!!

[Ant @AntonyU]

@AflGlicko It’s awesome when people interpret probabilities as sure things.

[Ant @AntonyU]

@salonium There is so much inconclusive or “not statistically significant” data that can and should be used to generate further hypotheses. This isn’t “data dredging” if you are truthful about this secondary purpose and could sharpen future focus brilliantly.

[Ant @AntonyU]

@salonium @salonium I love this post.

In particular your line

“That doesn't mean the science is settled or predictable. What doesn't fit now might help us uncover new layers of understanding and refine those theories further.”

[Ant @AntonyU]

@fried_egg_golf You asked for shots (most people giving you scores on holes - multiple shots). As an Aussie, Cabrera’s bludgeoning a 4 Iron tee shot on the 10th (second playoff hole) going further than Adam Scott’s drive made my eyes pop.

[Ant @AntonyU]

@MatterOfStats @lucasgarth Wow….this is a layer of change management that may not occur in our corporate lifetimes. The faith that is often assigned to the point estimate without regard for random variance is troublesome….but I worry that it may be used only when it suits a particular narrative.

[Ant @AntonyU]

@MatterOfStats @lucasgarth Thinking through my own experience….actually….I can’t explain ALL of my own defections so actually may not be deterministic. (eg Gradual preference for David Jones over Myer….or gradual switch from Herald Sun to The Age….I can’t explain these).

[Ant @AntonyU]

@MatterOfStats Nothing comes close to the WB vs Sydney Grand Final IMO…. and I’m a Kangaroos supporter

[Ant @AntonyU]

@MatterOfStats Love it

[Ant @AntonyU]

@MatterOfStats Wonderful picture and message Tony. I hope you are ok.

[Ant @AntonyU]

@robertkufersin @Thomo_Grant +1

[Ant @AntonyU]

Heya @AFLxScore … any Final Score updates for the North vs Brisbane game available? ( Love your stuff BTW)

[Ant @AntonyU]

@BenPhillips_ANU @insightlane What a rush!

[Ant @AntonyU]

@MatterOfStats Gotcha. I once tried to work out the exact distributions for these problems back when my math was strong but the permutations killed me.

[Ant @AntonyU]

@SSV8001 @VicTraffic Motorbike down