Panopticon

Concentrated Microcap. $QFIN $PNG.V.
Sweden

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@Para_Capital Master call

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@johhnyWalkerAZ Great summary. Dilution miniscule at this valuation. It’s acts, same with raises, as confirmation of value

[Marsupilami @jimmybimmi]

$KRKNF $PNG.V

AUKUS is the defence partnership between Australia, the UK and the US, focused on advanced military technology and Indo-Pacific security. Pillar 2 is about capabilities like AI, cyber, quantum, hypersonics and high-tech undersea systems.

And they just announced that AUKUS will now push deeper into advanced undersea drones / UUVs. That makes this directly relevant to Kraken Robotics, imo.

The key bridge is Covelya. Through Sonardyne, EIVA, Forcys, Voyis, Chelsea and others, Kraken is no longer just a niche subsea supplier. It becomes much closer to a full-stack maritime tech platform across sonar, imaging, navigation, comms, mission software and subsea defence.

Australia and the UK already operate Kraken-related UUV ecosystems, and AUKUS could accelerate demand for exactly the kind of mission-critical hardware and software Kraken/Covelya provide.

Kraken does not need to be the prime contractor to benefit. The real opportunity is being the picks-and-shovels supplier behind multiple UUV platforms, defence primes and allied naval programs.

Bullish, but important distinction: this is not yet a direct contract announcement. It is major market validation and a strong strategic tailwind.

https://t.co/iqNS4gB77Z

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

$qfin PE 3. Stable after policy. Set up for complete rediscovery.

Targ. 40$

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

$krknf setting up for another easy 200%.

Will take a couple of years for numbers to match

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

$krknf now on $hood.
Japan.
Aukus UUV.

Another take-off point.

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

$png.v

Overvalued as seen to profit or revenue, but people always miss the inflection-point with rapid growth companies with high gross-margin and stable fixed, unless it's SAAS.

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@BillAckman Worst CAGR of all time speaking

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@Table4Airports Incredible!

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

$png.v

counting backwards, we got expected revenue for q4 at 60m$.

Strong quarter, but as with all military contractors for those going by the reports the future’s hidden in a crystal ball.

Numbers and reason (future expected capex and contracts) are promising beyond sense. Won’t show up in estimates, but it’s investing with a rear-view mirror at this point. Easy mode.

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@JustinvestToday Indeed. We’ll have to see. Current valuation helps courage :)

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

$qfin

Same story played twice. Excessive provisions to get ahead of the cycle follow by a few rough quarters.

Outlook rough for Q4 if valuation hadn’t already been ridiculously low. PE5 for the worst case.

Long-term:
- White-listed by all partner banks, meaning entrenched position.
- Largest capital raise yet, proving open financing path to replace narrowing channels

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

$qfin

If you’ve follow Qfin for a while you know how institutional volume drives price. Uncertainty means the floor falls out.

Qfin is a future FinTech leader in China. Conservative accounting while expanding platform of services.

PE3 might fall to PE 5/6. Won’t matter long-term

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@LostGachaZ Military contracts are kept under a tight lid. Reporting’s way different from standard public cos

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@BradMunchen What do you think the actual harm is with this package?

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@BradMunchen Say what you will of Elon Musk, but wouldn’t you agree the world’s better with him incentivized?

It’s just numbers at this point.

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@VeritableDummy @SpacBobby They’ve only done 4 quarters of 0,01$ from what I know. Not a holder

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@VeritableDummy @SpacBobby 0,04$ dividend

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@VeritableDummy @SpacBobby Dividend shows. Not sure if poster missed removing, but seems quite a significant position. 5750 nvda

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@junkbondcharlie @jdmsparky Rumors on Chinese sites (https://t.co/uh8XIayNwC) talk about a potential 20% rate-change. Same rumor from 2023.

Still unclear though

[Panopticon @ArgusPanopticon]

@DefLeppardisBis Good luck with all!

Can never say too early. Wish the best 👍