@markymarkxbt@HayastanPapist Russian public opinion was overwhelmingly on the side of defending Serbia. Even at the end the Brest Litovsk treaty was something that caused the Bolshseviks unease. I suppose no one in 1914 coulda known what the war would end up as but short of July resolution they were entering
@Phoenix4517 Yea I mean a guy who’d been out of Iran for 16 years flying in and organizing an unprecedented system of government and paramilitary organizations with ISIS like devotion to him AND managing to stamp out both remnants of the prior regime and other ideological opponents?
@Toractivist@DustyRust79 He’d actually be a great guy to have around at a time like this to just launch a ground war for the hell of it. But overall his is one of the few regimes that might actually exceed the IR in evil. Not mourning that in any way
@suri_washere@hpmcd1 1 It’s over 5000
2 They supported protests and attacked IRGC bases in January
3 Are those Iranians an army? Do they have a chain of command? Administration? I don’t mean airdropping AKs the IRGC even degraded has drones, missiles, etc. It would take more than civilians with guns
@nevernotjack@bonchieredstate I’m not so confident as to say they will collapse in the next few years but I do think the “Iran has won and is now a superpower” takes will be some of the funniest to look back on
@CristianoR93953 I’m sympathetic to Iranians and don’t think today’s crop should pay for the sins of ancestors but no the Shah was unpopular by 1979 and Khomeini had a big fanbase tho largely to deception in being evasive about his goals. Even as it shrunk it was fanatic/militarized like today
@DanTalks1 Solid methodology but I don’t think the military damage is fully maximized. Concentrating strikes on a certain region ahead of said takeover on the ground would be a must I don’t think their coercive capacity anywhere is so degraded that they aren’t better armed than opposition
@EmpireEnjoyer3 Generally civil wars start when parts of the army/state itself defect upon believing the system as exists is no longer salvageable even not fearing consequences for defection. Could that have been done? I think yes with Artesh. Still could be. But not as easy as arming protesters
@BillTheKid1603 Really one of the best predictors of someone’s vote is if they’re married. Married men vote like 20 points right of unmarried men and married women more like 30. Those gaps have shrunk a bit as with Obama/Romney it was more like 40 points (but % of unmarried has risen)
@ReubenR80027912 The first time Russia threatened Europe was under the (Orthodox) cross, the second time was under the hammer and sickle, the third time is under republican revanchism, the fourth will be under the banner of jihad
@ABorlandFan88@wil_da_beast630 I actually took ballroom dance lessons last year! Even got good at rumba, samba and bachata. Ofc turned out I was the only one there sans instructors under 45. The women were nice but yea. I put it on my app profile and rly no one cared. It may be a multiplier if already hot tho
@FrenlyOfficer I don’t think a huge % will react in a go to security/destroy your life/video and post way but that % will be large enough to get a few if you approach in high volume. And to get a yes if approaching women who have dropped no hints you’re gonna have to approach in high volume
@thisissavvy1 Or Miami. Or Charleston. Or Nashville. Just in the south. 4 completely different cuisines (food and beverage) and music scenes and architecture/city layout and in Miami’s case even language (would be cool if New Orleans retained more French language tho
@TheLastNeocon It used to be this way and still is for old heads. But no nowadays market has adjusted. Almost everyone my age I know met by apps or in college or high school. I imagine that trend accelerating further