Asta Reshet

Seeking edge through process, not prediction.
AI • Options • Process.
Soft spot for bears. Respect for marine wildlife.

[NoLimit @NoLimitGains]

Elon Musk’s latest predictions:

1: University degrees worthless within 36 months

2: AI takes over financial and legal work

3: Robots outperform the best surgeons by 2030

4: Saving for retirement “won’t matter”

Thoughts?

[Asta Reshet @AstaReshet]

@PalmBeachDave8 Nice capture on the morning bounce. What delta were those short strikes sitting at when you entered? Trying to dial in my size on these 0DTEs but the risk/reward chain looks a lot tighter on my end today.

[Asta Reshet @AstaReshet]

@KobeissiLetter Someone please send the memo to Singapore government to inform the gas retailers. There’s only one direction when it comes to petrol prices in Singapore.

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

My dear followers.
Get READY for July, SURVIVE September, and ride the October-November move for 2026.

Here's how every sector PERFORMS month by month during MID-TERMS and what it means heading into July.

July:
- the BROADEST strength of the entire back half
- every single sector finishes POSITIVE
- tech, energy, and consumer discretionary lead with +4% moves

August:
- the rally STALLS
- half the sectors turn NEGATIVE
- biotech $XBI is the standout at +4.52% while energy $XLE and materials $XLB fade

September:
- this is the month to be CAREFUL
- nearly every sector DIPS
- utilities $XLU and real estate $XLRE get hit hardest
- if you're adding exposure, this is where you WAIT

October:
- the TURN
- STRENGTH comes back almost everywhere
- staples $XLP LEAD at +3.91%, but even the LAGGARDS catch a bid.
- this is historically where the midterm LOW gets put in.

November:
- CONTINUATION
- materials $XLB rip +4.57%. industrials $XLI +3.79%. the cyclicals take over

December:
- profit-taking
- almost every sector gives BACK
- tech DROPS -3.45%, energy -3.01%
- the back half rally takes a BREATHER before the post-midterm year kicks in

A lot of traders have setups. But they do NOT know the timing cycles.
I will always make sure you're STEPS ahead of everyone else.

[Asta Reshet @AstaReshet]

@stockdatamarket Looks rather stable, just grinding sideways

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

HORMUZ TRAFFIC SLOWS AS SHIPPERS STAY CAUTIOUS

Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz slowed Friday as shipowners remained wary despite a US-Iran deal to ease a dual blockade. Some vessels resumed movement, but safety concerns, including possible mines and uncertain Iranian controls, kept many ships waiting. Around 40 VLCCs carrying nearly 80 million barrels of crude remain ready to sail if secure passage resumes.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: Iran announces a full shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz following US strikes on Southern Iran.

[The Straits Times @straits_times]

Why the world is bracing itself for a rare ‘super’ El Nino https://t.co/4okjTGTLla

[Asta Reshet @AstaReshet]

@Steven_2376 I sold puts too. Though all turn out well in the end, stressful to see market kept falling.

[Natx Wang 🇸🇬🍟 @natxwang]

Even the Singapore Zoo is hiring an AI Specialist to build agentic solutions.

It seems like every company is trending towards hiring someone to build stuff that can help each department in the organization to work more efficiently.

Vibe coding experience with working solutions to showcase will come in handy.

[Marhelm @MarhelmData]

Mercuria head of freight says 10% of global ships could be forced to stop next month due to fuel shortages

[Asta Reshet @AstaReshet]

@0x_ZHUANG Well said

[Dry Bulk Edge @DryBulkEdge]

China’s urban renewal 15th FYP sparks a rally in A-share real estate stocks. Urban renewal generally means higher steel-to-cement ratios psm than greenfield builds ie bullish for iron ore demand if it scales. $BDI #DryBulk #IronOre

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Food is set to become even more expensive:

World fertilizer prices have surged +44% since the start of the Iran War, to the highest since 2022.

This comes as ~33% of globally traded fertilizers pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which remains effectively closed.

This includes 23% of global ammonia, 34% of urea, the world's most widely used nitrogen fertilizer, and nearly 20% of global phosphate supply.

Furthermore, the Bloomberg Agriculture Subindex has increased ~9% since the Iran war.

The index tracks the futures prices of key agricultural commodities, including wheat, corn, soybeans, sugar, coffee, and cotton.

In the past, world fertilizer prices have acted as a leading indicator for agricultural output prices, as rising production costs eventually force farmers to reduce supply, pushing crop prices higher.

A new wave of global food inflation is imminent.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: Newly released Fed meeting minutes show that the "majority" of officials thought rate hikes may be needed if inflation persists.

In a sudden turn of events, it appears that the market and the Fed are bracing for potential rate hikes.

[MarineTraffic @MarineTraffic]

Capesize bulkers collide in Singapore Strait

Two capesize bulk carriers have collided in the Singapore Strait, according to media reports. The Marshall Islands-flagged Cape XL, a 181,500-dwt bulker departing Singapore Anchorage for Qingdao, China, reportedly came into contact with the Panama-flagged Huge Kumano, a 208,800-dwt bulker on a voyage from Porto Sudeste, Brazil.

According to #MarineTraffic data, Cape XL departed Singapore Anchorage at 21:35 UTC on 19 May and later updated her AIS status to Not Under Command at 00:19 UTC on 20 May. Huge Kumano also updated her AIS status to Not Under Command at 22:57 UTC on 19 May. Both vessels were later shown stopped or drifting in the Singapore Area, with the anchor handling vessel, Boka Sweeper, operating nearby.

▶️ Watch the playback of the vessels’ movements.

[Jim Cramer @jimcramer]

President gives hint of war being over soon, oil goes down a little, rates go down a little, S&P up a little. Notice, each move much less than earlier in the war. When the inevitable Rumor of War comes, these could reverse hard

[Asta Reshet @AstaReshet]

@assface_private Wise decision. 👍

[Asta Reshet @AstaReshet]

@JohnLoc18 Amen. God bless you too

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Talk about a turn of events:

President Trump just announced that the US itself will now begin blocking the Strait of Hormuz.

Effectively immediately, the US Navy has begun the process of "blockading" the Strait of Hormuz.

In other words, the US and Iran will now be competing on blocking this crucial waterway.

It appears that Trump's long-term plan is to blockade Hormuz, gain control, then begin letting traffic flow freely.

However, if this is possible to fully obtain, it will be a long process that would further restrict the flow of traffic for at least another 2 months, according to our analysis.

As diplomacy appears to have failed, the US' top priority in the Iran War now appears to be reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

We expect a volatile week ahead.