Long note + Thread: the scale of the Iranian victory, US loss & the betrayal of Israel
𝗣𝗥𝗢𝗦
🇮🇷
• Full sovereignty over Hormuz
• keeps its nuclear, missile & drone programmes
• retains its right to master the entire nuclear fuel cycle, only existing stocks of enriched uranium to be down blended
• retains right to support sub-state actors- Hizbollah, Hamas, Houthis (HHH+)
• legal protection for Hizbollah & Houthis
• attack on HHH+ home bases will be considered a violation of terms.
• 100 billion unfrozen, 300 billion to be invested
• All sanctions (incl non-nuclear, terror related) to be lifted
• all above actions to be passed at UNSC removing any chance of unilateralism by the US (like Trump cancelling the nuclear deal)
• full recognition of Iran’s government & no interference in internal affairs
• full reintegration into the global order
🇺🇸
• blockade of Hormuz ends
• oil prices can recede & stabilise
• status quo ante 8 May 2018 (re:JCPOA)
• JCPOA had a 2031 sunset clause, when restrictions on enrichment would be lifted. The new deal does not have a sunset, the ban on enriched stockpiles is permanent
• Can disengage significant military forces from the gulf - permanently
• reduction in threat environment for gulf allies.
🇮🇱
• JCPOA had a 2031 sunset clause, when restrictions on enrichment would be lifted. The new deal does not have a sunset, the ban on enriched stockpiles is permanent
• oil prices reduce
• Given US abandonment of gulf allies, Israel’s position as a security provider to gulf states could possibly increase
𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗦
🇮🇷
• permanent loss of enriched stockpiles
• permanent commitment to not develop nukes
🇺🇸
• Iran free to resume full scale terrorism across region under the guise of resistance (implications of Bahrain & Iraq), but this time any retaliation will be seen as breach of the treaty
• significant loss of trust in both gulf & israel
🇮🇱
• catastrophic geopolitical disaster
• all gains of last 3 years nixed
• right to retaliate in Lebanon nixed
• all coercive tools against Iran - military, economic, proxy - nixed
• bound by US promise to not carry out military action against Iran
• if Iran retaliates, most probably, no US shield
• Iran can purse terrorism as a tool against israel + retains full rights to build/use ballistic missiles & drones.
To every NEET candidate and parent - please watch this. A few minutes that could save you serious money and stress this week.
Scammers on Telegram were running two rackets targeting you:
1️⃣ Channels demanding ₹14,000 to ₹25,000 - some even ₹10 lakh - claiming they'll send you the re-exam paper. They won't. There is no leaked paper for the re-exam. The money is gone the moment you transfer it. Your admit card and WhatsApp number, if you sent them, become the tools they use to scam the next student.
2️⃣ Fake "proof" videos showing chats from before the exam. The trick: on Telegram, whoever runs a channel can edit any old message AND change what's inside it, while the date on the message stays the same. So a message edited on the 4th can be made to look exactly like it was sent on the 1st.
The full explanation is in the video below — please watch and share with anyone you know who's preparing 👇
🎥 https://t.co/cSDUkcBo2P
The same trick will be tried again after 21st June. Don't fall for it. Don't forward it. Don't pay anyone.
✅ Focus on your prep - you've earned this
✅ Trust only https://t.co/qjlxb2Ujgs and verified NTA handles
✅ Tell your friends - especially anyone anxious enough to be tempted
📞 Report any scam: National Cyber-Crime Helpline 1930 or https://t.co/Xpc003RQzi
Your hard work is what will get you through this exam. Not a Telegram channel. We're on your side. 💪
🎥 Prof. V. Kamakoti, Director, IIT Madras, also explains the technical side clearly - his videos are in the replies below.