Astral Labs Fantasy Football

Dynasty, redraft, and deep stats. Finding the signal before the market.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

ASTRAL INSIGHT #00

The journey begins.

Finding the signal before the market adjusts.

Fantasy football is full of opinions. We are built on evidence.

Every projection.
Backed by data—not narratives.

Welcome to the lab.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@mart_1202 spideeer mannn

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@mart_1202 Wondering the same thing

[Mart @mart_1202]

What are key tools that solo founders use every single day to increase product visibility? Would love some recommendations.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@MBFantasyLife The mahomes disrespect is getting ridiculous.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@PprRouteRunner @drayknowball Yep, don't sleep on JG

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@BallCentralized @drayknowball Yes, buy floors not cielings.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

Amon Ra and it's not even close. Surrounded by a superior QB, offense, play caller, and O-line. Yes Kyler murray is an improvement, but ra's situation is set for him to succeed. Taking consistency over potential here.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

The explosive profile is real:

6.0 yards per carry 3.92 yards after contact per attempt 45% breakaway-yard rate 19% of carries gained 10+ yards
PFF also found Price averaged 6.9 YPC in zone concepts, an ideal fit for a Seattle rushing attack expected to lean heavily on zone blocking.
But the workload projection contains more uncertainty than his price suggests. Price never exceeded 15 carries in a college game and caught only 15 passes across his Notre Dame career. He is already being drafted around pick 65 as RB26, meaning managers are paying for immediate lead-back volume before he has proven he can handle it.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

ASTRAL INSIGHT #07

Jadarian Price just inherited the cleanest rookie-RB runway in football. The market may already be charging for the breakout.

Seattle placed Zach Charbonnet on the PUP list as he recovers from January ACL surgery. If he remains there through roster cuts, he must miss at least four regular-season games, leaving Price to compete primarily with Emanuel Wilson and George Holani for early-season touches.

ASTRAL TAKE: Price is a strong dynasty asset, but a redraft sell at his current sixth-round cost. Draft him only after pick 75; above that, the market is pricing the opportunity while ignoring the workload and receiving-risk tails.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@mart_1202 Interesting take, although I do agree marketing is a very important piece right now.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

The explosive profile is real:

6.0 yards per carry 3.92 yards after contact per attempt 45% breakaway-yard rate 19% of carries gained 10+ yards
PFF also found Price averaged 6.9 YPC in zone concepts, an ideal fit for a Seattle rushing attack expected to lean heavily on zone blocking.
But the workload projection contains more uncertainty than his price suggests. Price never exceeded 15 carries in a college game and caught only 15 passes across his Notre Dame career. He is already being drafted around pick 65 as RB26, meaning managers are paying for immediate lead-back volume before he has proven he can handle it.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

ASTRAL INSIGHT #07

Jadarian Price just inherited the cleanest rookie-RB runway in football. The market may already be charging for the breakout.

Seattle placed Zach Charbonnet on the PUP list as he recovers from January ACL surgery. If he remains there through roster cuts, he must miss at least four regular-season games, leaving Price to compete primarily with Emanuel Wilson and George Holani for early-season touches.

ASTRAL TAKE: Price is a strong dynasty asset, but a redraft sell at his current sixth-round cost. Draft him only after pick 75; above that, the market is pricing the opportunity while ignoring the workload and receiving-risk tails.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@mart_1202 Good luck man, excited to follow.

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@GuruFantasyWrld hehe

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@Night_timeEntry Will showcase as we build the model

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

https://t.co/wbJZcNzJXy

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

Check out our first steps in creating our analysis and how the model is broken down:
https://t.co/DSEMySUNbM

CeeDee and JT analysis through our model coming soon!

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

https://t.co/wbJZcNzJXy

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

The Astral Model:
Most fantasy models ask you to trust the output.
We’re publishing the assumptions.

Our Regression Model projects next-season volume, efficiency, touchdowns, and fantasy points. And compares those outcomes with current draft cost.

Our first case studies: CeeDee Lamb and Jonathan Taylor.

Methodology, results, and code ↓

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

https://t.co/wbJZcNzJXy

[Astral Labs Fantasy Football @AstraLabsFF]

@GuruFantasyWrld Jaylen waddle is going to shock a lot of people this season guaranteed.