The Astral Model:
Most fantasy models ask you to trust the output.
We’re publishing the assumptions.
Our Regression Model projects next-season volume, efficiency, touchdowns, and fantasy points. And compares those outcomes with current draft cost.
Our first case studies: CeeDee Lamb and Jonathan Taylor.
Methodology, results, and code ↓
JUST A REMINDER ‼️
Every single team that was Top-5 in passing attempts last year has a WR or TE priced Top-5 at their position this year.
Except for DEN – who was 4th in passing attempts last year…
In dynasty, aggressively target Nabers owners. See if managers will accept a healthy but lower-ceiling WR plus a future second. At 22 years old, the elite target-earning profile matters far more than a potentially slow start to 2026.
Drop one dynasty player your league cannot agree on.
I’ll give you:
• My positional rank
• Model value
• Buy, hold or sell
• The price I’d actually move him for
One player per reply.
ASTRAL INSIGHT #05
Tank dell currently sits as the WR83. Not many people are taking him.
Is Tank Dell worth a late draft pick or in terms of Dynasty a long term stash?
The case:
ASTRAL INSIGHT #001
The dynasty market values Carnell Tate nearly 20% above Makai Lemon.
That gap is too wide.
Lemon:
• 90th-percentile college production
• Biletnikoff Award winner
• No. 20 overall pick
• A.J. Brown’s role now vacant
ASTRAL INSIGHT #00
The journey begins.
Finding the signal before the market adjusts.
Fantasy football is full of opinions. We are built on evidence.
Every projection.
Backed by data—not narratives.
Welcome to the lab.