Axonopus Compressus

Jack of all trades and master of none. Views expressed r not buy/sell recommendations. Please consult ur financial advisor before following it.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Rising job loss correlates with stronger returns: MKT r fwd-looking, bad jobs data signals rate cuts → cheaper money → higher multiples. (Bad news can be good for MKT when it prompts easing!)

IT pain = headwinds for jobs-heavy sectors, tailwinds for market ecosystem stocks.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

If the much-anticipated IT sector slowdown hits hard, its cascading effect will pull down real estate, NBFC, consumption and broader financial stocks

But it could actually benefit capital market players like brokerages, AMCs, exchanges.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Airtel broke and close below 200 DMA after three years but this correction is event based. If stock sustain below 1950 for next few session then stock may correct till 1740.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Amid the MKT dip, influencers & experts r flooding feeds wid preferred stock/sector picks. But let's be real—most r likely bag-holding those themselves or just churning copy-paste content for engagement. IMO, cash is king: Stay patient, wait for a clear reversal before jumping in

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

3. Ultimately, the govt seems to have realized: few will seriously ques these moves. Ppl will buy into whatever narrative or product is sold—be it stocks, schemes, or "growth stories." Already max influencers are appreciating & MKT is falling.

Accountability feels optional now.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

3 Budget Highlights:

1. Govt is running short of easy revenue sources. Due to jobs scarce many turn to F&O driven by greed for quick money. Govt is now systematically tapping this via higher STT on derivatives—exploiting retail participation since investors have few other option

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

2. By pushing liquidity (and encouraging more market activity), it creates an illusion of better earnings. But this fuels inflation risks. With credible media scrutiny limited, inflation can be managed/manipulated via selective data—masking the real erosion of purchasing power.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Coforge has corrected sharply lately due to equity dilution & acquisition.

Now below 200-DMA. In the past, it often bounced quickly after such breaches, but this time feels different with heavy overhangs.

Further slide to 1400- 1440 look eminent before any meaningful rebound.

[Grok @grok]

RBI pumping in huge money (₹2.9 lakh crore) means more cash in the system, like printing money. This can weaken the rupee (now ~₹90 per USD), making imports costlier and reducing what your money buys (inflation). Stocks and assets might boom, but it's often benefiting the rich more, creating bubbles that could burst. For you, it might feel like growth, but watch for higher prices on everyday stuff.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

RBI's massive liquidity push (2.9 lakh crore) fuels the fire—more money printing → Rupee depreciation (near ₹90/USD) → eroding purchasing power → inflated asset bubbles.

Feels like wealth in hand, but it's a false security. This bull run is wealth concentration at the top.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

In Q3, Hospital & Pharma stocks faced notable corrections amid broader market pressures, while funds rotated into strong performers like IT & PSU Banks.

IMO Q4(Jan 2026+): expect renewed inflows into Hospitals, Renewables, Pharma & Textiles on improving demand & policy support.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Last time, when silver hit ATH and crashed, I called it a prime buying opportunity—and it paid off. Now at $72 amid heavy FOMO, my view stands: potential push to $75, followed by 15-20% pullback to $60-63 before resuming uptrend.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Silver's dip is a chance to buy. But, timing the best entry can be speculative as balancing risk wid bull case (supply deficits to 2027, green tech boom). On daily chart RSI-55, 50 SMA-44 that shall work as strong support. Focus on fundamentals, not noise—this isn't 2011's bubble

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

FCNR deposit yielding 5-6% tax free interest and INR depreciation 7-8% annually . NRIs & India bound FII can pocket 12-15% effective return in foreign currency terms - risk free, no hassle. In that case why anyone will chase risky equity investment in current condition

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Current market is a graveyard for active traders. Technicals dead, broad market bleeding fundamentally, only index giants propped up. Zero new money—FIIs gone, MFs playing rotation game & feasting on retail inflows. Painful phase. 😓
That’s why posting less frequently now.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Bullish chorus from the rest: Macquarie (Outperform, 7,700), JP Morgan (Overweight, 7,550), Axis (Buy, 6,446), Nomura (Buy, 5,455). Kotak's the outlier.

History rhymes—could this be Kaynes Launched.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Kotak Securities is at it again—issuing multiple 'reduce/sell' calls on Kaynes Technology in just days, flagging accounting inconsistencies and cutting targets to 4,150 from 6180. Sound familiar?

[Snehi Shah @SnehiShah11]

Kotak on Kaynes:

Maintain REDUCE rating with a revised FV of Rs 4,150 (Rs 6,180 earlier).

Certain aspects with respect to intangible accounting and elevated working capital still remain unclear.

Believe generation of positive OCF in FY2026, improvement in internal controls and timely execution of PCB and OSAT expansion will be crucial.

Cut EPS estimates by 0.2-6.9% for FY2026-28.

Capture execution risk in light of recent events.

Cash generation remains most crucial.

#KaynesTech #KAYNESTECHNOLOGY #kotak

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

They pulled the same playbook on Laurus Labs back in 2022-23 with repeated downgrades to 'sell' at 300-350. Laurus tanked to 52-week lows... then doubled (2x+) in 12-15 months!

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

The company that brought down gov on knees is not easy to bring that down. that’s why correction in Indigo is calibrated instead of free fall. From here stock shall consolidate and recover. However, Further cosmetic correction till 4750 can’t be ruled out in coming days.

[Learner Ashish @Ashish22639076]

@AxonopusC
Dear sir
Your views on Indigo are most welcome.

Pls advise support
Will govt action invite more downfall?

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

Unfortunately, retail investors have dug their own graves by blindly chasing mutual fund holdings and refusing to think independently. As matter of fact max MF return are mediocre and 90% fund manager have very poor understanding of market. They are surviving on market rotation.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

I had clearly stated that Kaynes Tech would eventually stabilize around 3800-4000. Looking at today move, it now appears that the sharp correction in stock was systematically orchestrated by large brokers & institutions to shake out retail investors & accumulate at lower levels.

[Axonopus Compressus @AxonopusC]

First, Motilal Oswal downgraded and offloaded holdings, followed by a negative Kotak report amplified by coordinated media coverage. Now, at the bottom, several marquee brokerages have suddenly started issuing significantly higher target prices.