Bob

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@macrocephalopod @PAClearning @TheOneLanceB When you say not that hard, what do you mean? Wouldn’t the vast majority need to be taught from inside a decent trading firm?

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@macrocephalopod @ScottPh77711570 @Dan_Trend @RarelyMinted @0xaporia the slop hater using — is a rather interesting turn of events

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@therobotjames Calm down egg head

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@macrocephalopod I’m sure this genius arb will persist on these markets as well

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@macrocephalopod @Crypt0mer

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@sdav1986 @stevehou I’m doing mostly stats and ML apart from the mandatory micro/macro for my econ masters. I think macro taught at uni is very useless and micro a little less so

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@systematicls

[sysls @systematicls]

There are signals that just "makes sense", and when you find them, you need to do almost no kind of backtesting and fitting.

This is one such example. Once you understand this signal, you will go, "That totally makes sense, why didn't I think of that?!"

Most people don't understand what it means to be "creative". Every signal must be momentum or mean reversion or *shudders* pairs trading. I hope to share with everyone that good signals can be found by thinking deeply about behavioral effects and existing algorithmic signals.

Random comments and retweets will get this article for free.

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@SiGallagher @curtdoolittle @sama How are you not the modern version of a Luddite?
Sure inequality might increase as we have seen with past technological improvements, but will the poor become poorer? Where’s the evidence that suggests unemployment will find a new higher level than before?

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@macrocephalopod @typedfemale Yeah, I think most sensible people would agree. Nothing screams “I’m shallow” and/or “going through an unwise teenage phase” like that. Ironically, I think most of us miss lots of meaningful interactions and friendships judging the books we encounter by their covers these days.

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@macrocephalopod @typedfemale This nouveau riche style of flaunting is always something I notice more of in England. Like a lot of people wearing clothes with large high end brand logos/text. Surely it’s not just Russian oligarch offspring running around. The spread in taste seems much wider than elsewhere.

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@systematicls 🤞

[sysls @systematicls]

You've read it somewhere, run PCA for "statistical factor analysis"; but material on this is either so shallow that it's meaningless (run pca and the eigenvectors are factors), or so dense that you'll need a PhD in Statistics to parse it.

This is the most information dense article on why PCA can actually extract factors, and how to reason about it.

Happy to share the article with some people who comment and retweets!

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@TheFlowHorse Also, you know very well that one year of training is likely to make you go for techniques that’ll somehow make you end up on the bottom against a panicking opponent that suddenly gets a mega dose of retard strength

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@TheFlowHorse BJJ would largely be a waste of time. They wanna get someone down to the ground with less damaging judo throws and then hold them down by being heavy/control the right bodyparts with certain BJJ techniques. Wrestling would kill people and they don’t need most submissions.

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@0xjustblaze @sdav1986 @Merridew__ It feels like they are incentivized to hate UBI because their nannies and cleaners would be more expensive. It is a possibility that the people willing to accept UBI as their entire income source would’ve been unable to contribute meaningfully anyway.

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@0xjustblaze @sdav1986 It always leaves me baffled when smart people, far removed from these struggles, have strong opinions on this. It’s a fact that people are more willing to share when they have little, because it’s a present issue or feeling. UBI as @Merridew__ suggests to avoid wasted taxes.

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@youngyoda2009 @TerryLennox_ @Merridew__ Lily Francus

[Bob @BAYES_RULER]

@larpcapitalwc Also, having to get worked up for sparring is the ultimate sign of a larp in fighting