This is a FANTASTIC article! One of the most well-researched and rationally-argued pieces of writing on the crypto's market cycles I've come across. Anyone who's currently involved in crypto needs to read this. NOW.
https://t.co/H2iHxehnvs
The guy that used to bully me in school, and I secretly hate, asked me for trading advice. I wanted him to lose money, so told him to do the exact opposite of me and short support last week. He made 9k profit and I got liquidated.
In 2019, a lot of memecoins flooded the market. It sucked out the little liquidity the altcoin market had left.
Just a few weeks later, those memecoins investors became bag holders.
A majority of those memecoins went to zero and are now completely forgotten.
I’m not dressed in a Biden Snuggie, wearing a Biden cowboy hat, Biden chaps or using a Biden beer koozie. I’m not waving a California King-sized Biden flag, and I do not have Biden’s face painted anywhere on myself or on my car.
And I am not spending my Saturday morning waiting out in the middle of some freezing cold Texas field on the anniversary of a deadly cult compound siege in order to hear Biden tell me (again) about how the 2020 election was stolen from him.
I’m not doing any of that shit, because I’m not a fucking idiot and I’m not in a cult.
WARNING: the Money Supply is officially contracting. 📉
This has only happened 4 previous times in last 150 years.
Each time a Depression with double-digit unemployment rates followed. 😬
Elon is being cunty as per usual. What's news. And there appears to be grounds for a criminal lawsuit. Yet another one. This bloke just
can't fucking help himself can he?
@Somaus3@ToTall4Yall@Darinstrauss @omar92canada @iamharaldur@elonmusk Do you see the number of likes your replies are getting vs those you're getting? Just stop already mate you've already embarrassed yourself now you're just making us all second-hand embarrassed for you.
Why AI Won't Cause Unemployment
"In retrospect, I wish I had known more about the hazards and difficulties of [running] a business." -- George McGovern
Fears about new technology replacing human labor and causing overall unemployment have raged across industrialized societies for hundreds of years, despite a nearly continual rise in both jobs and wages in capitalist economies. The job apocalypse is always right around the corner; just ask the Luddites.
We had two such anti-technology jobs moral panics in the last 20 years — “outsourcing” enabled by the Internet in the 2000’s, and “robots” in the 2010’s. The result was the best national and global economy in human history in pre-COVID 2019, with the most jobs at the highest wages ever.
Now we’re heading into the third such panic of the new century with AI, coupled with a continuous drumbeat of demand for Communist-inspired Universal Basic Income. “This time is different; AI is different,” they say, but is it?
Normally I would make the standard arguments against technologically-driven unemployment. And I will come back and make those arguments soon. But I don’t even think the standand arguments are needed, since another problem will block the progress of AI across most of the economy first.
Which is: AI is already illegal for most of the economy, and will be for virtually all of the economy.
How do I know that? Because technology is already illegal in most of the economy, and that is becoming steadily more true over time.
How do I know that? Because, see the chart.
This chart shows price changes, adjusted for inflation, across a dozen major sectors of the economy.
As you can see, we actually live in two different economies.
The lines in blue are the sectors where technological innovation is allowed to push down prices while increasing quality. The lines in red are the sectors where technological innovation is not permitted to push down prices; in fact, the prices of education, health care, and housing as well as anything provided or controlled by the government are going to the moon, even as those sectors are technologically stagnant.
We are heading into a world where a flat screen TV that covers your entire wall costs $100, and a four year college degree costs $1 million, and nobody has anything even resembling a proposal on how to fix this.
Why? The sectors in red are heavily regulated and controlled and bottlenecked by the government and by those industries themselves. Those industries are monopolies, oligopolies, and cartels, with extensive formal government regulation as well as regulatory capture, price fixing, Soviet style price setting, occupational licensing, and every other barrier to improvement and change you can possibly imagine. Technological innovation in those sectors is virtually forbidden now.
Whereas the sectors in blue are less regulated, technology whips through them, pushing down prices and raising quality every year.
Note the emotional loading of the interplay of production and consumption here. What do we get mad about? With our consumer hat on, we get mad about price increases — the red sectors. With our producer hat on, we get mad about technological disruption — the blue sectors. Well, pick one; as this chart shows, you can’t have your cake and eat it too.
Now think about what happens over time. The prices of regulated, non-technological products rise; the prices of less regulated, technologically-powered products fall. Which eats the economy? The regulated sectors continuously grow as a percentage of GDP; the less regulated sectors shrink. At the limit, 99% of the economy will be the regulated, non-technological sectors, which is precisely where we are headed.
Therefore AI cannot cause overall unemployment to rise, even if the Luddite arguments are right this time. AI is simply already illegal across most of the economy, soon to be virtually all of the economy.