Hopefully, this goes through... I can see the light in the end of the tunnel.
Remember: it's always darkest just before dawn! ๐ก
$RKLB $ASTS $FLY $AVAV $OKLO
@TheDark_ViKing@davegreenidge57 I have no comment on his personality, Iโve never met the guy. I also donโt own an electric car or shares in any of his companies. My comments were purely about his physical appearance, and that has been very entertaining so far ๐
I put together some multiple estimates for the cruise sector and ranked the companies from cheapest to richest:
1) $NCLH - Fwd P/S ~ 0.7, Fwd P/E ~ 11-12x. Cheapest, Discount is the point: slower growth, highest leverage, weakest EBT conversion.
2) $CCL - Fwd P/S ~1.1x, Fwd P/E ~10x, Fwd EV/EBITDA high-7s. Best value/quality mix in the group if FY26 EBITDA holds above ~$7B. ๐ฅ
3) $RCL - Fwd P/S ~3.4x, Fwd P/E ~14x. Premium is earned (margins, ROIC, brand). Not cheap, not bubble-like versus VIK. ๐ฅ
4) $LIND - Fwd P/S ~1.9x; Fwd P/E 60xโ100x+ on tiny EPS. Growth is real; earnings power is not in the price yet.
5) $VIK - Fwd P/S ~4.7x, Fwd P/E ~23โ24x. Richest. Market is paying for 15โ20%+ growth and premium yields.
-> Forward rank by cheapest: NCLH>CCL>LIND>VIK
-> Forward rank by quality-adjusted setup: CCL (value) and RCL (compounder) sit in the middle; VIK is priced for continued outgrowth, NCLH is a leverage/mean-reversion bet.
Scorecard:
- Best business: RCL
- Best growth: VIK, then LIND
- Best Value: NCLH on paper, $CCL in practice ๐ฅ
- Most expensive: VIK
- Highest risk/least proven earnings: LIND (GAAP) and NCLH (B/S)
Not financial advice, always DYOR! ๐
@TheDark_ViKing@davegreenidge57 The left picture is for dramatic purposes, bro ๐ He has a bad diet, minimal physical activity, and bad posture; all easily fixed. On the other hand, none of us peasants will ever be trillionaires unless we measure in Zimbabwean dollars or some other third-world currencies ๐ ๐คฃ๐