Bitcoin Beelzebub

Student of Markets, Technical Analysis, Macro Economics and History obsessed #Bitcoin fixes it.

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

Bitcoin bounces off $80K. is it just a dead cat or start of the “Santa rally”?
Domestic and global liquidity
Fed policy updates
Treasury TGA projections
Japanese Stimulus Update: A Massive Fiscal Jolt Amid Reflation Momentum
https://t.co/qsj3iHF0Lr

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@TXMCtrades I'd bet quite a bit they cut before the hike in 2026

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@ByzGeneral I think you forgot to flip it and make it look like a space ship going fast…..

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@dharmatrade Interesting stuff.
If my memory serves me (and it's been 20 years), the main debate was around a grammatical translation issue with the Greek word "Theos" in John 1:1, around a god VS almighty god.
NWT: "The Word was A God"
Standard: "The Word was God"

Tomato/tomahto 😜

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

Correct: 5 (More countries BTC strategy; SCOTUS IEEPA ruling; Powell steps down; DXY strength greater than expected; No China/Taiwan grab)

Not correct: 2 (10YR yields dropping "throughout" the year so far; DXY specific quarterly ranges)

Pending: ~9–10 (Bitcoin new ATH + GLI close; global liquidity topping; no recession; Fed rates <3.25% in H2; 10YR close >4%; Russia/Ukraine war end by Q4; Trump-Putin bromance; and some nuances on liquidity/Bitcoin metrics)

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

2026 outlook:

Bitcoin makes a new ATH by H2-2026 and closes GLI divergence. (M2 overlay bros so back)

More countries implement their versions of a Bitcoin strategy

Global liquidity trends higher in H1-2026 and tops in late H2

No recession in 2026

Dollar (DXY) strength is greater than expected (Q1=$97-99, Q2=$95-97, Q3=$93-95, Q4=$95-98)

SCOTUS strikes down IEEPA tariffs with reciprocity over refunds. IEEPA replaced with other tariffs

10YR bond yields drop throughout the year but close >4%

Powell makes it to the end of his term and steps down.

Fed fund rates hit lower than 3.25% in H2-2026

Geopolitical Wildcards: No China/Taiwan grab, Russia/Ukraine war over by Q4, Trump-Putin bromance starts.

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@HodlMagoo Okay this was wildly accurate thus far wtf

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

#Bitcoin

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

#Bitcoin #STRC $MSTR I don’t even dislike @saylor just makes sense the depeg of this cycle is DAT.

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@bitcoinjack

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@Tyler_Neville_ @fejau_inc @qthomp Agreed. All he has to do is say less, and that will be less hawkish

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@Tradermayne Let’s go

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

Just in time for the fights baby

[Kalshi Finance @Kalshi_Finance]

BREAKING: President Trump says peace deal with Iran is complete and Strait of Hormuz is now open

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@IncomeSharks @JezziiB Liz Warren makes $174k/yr and is worth $12m flying private jets.. how about stfu.. how about tax government insider trading and "book deals" at 75%. It's a cute trick to convince everyone they are not the problem, it is the most productive that are the problem.

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@fejau_inc fair, but I do remember tariffs cuz everyone is still paying a way higher ETR

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@JamesDelmore1 @LynAldenContact What if someone buys too much gold?

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

Paging Peter Shifty.. Gold lookin' pretty unhedgey here

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@MacroCRG This is not the decoupling you are looking for

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@pahueg Something tells me adding a crashing market isn't in the playbook, but we shall see

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@brian_armstrong

[Bitcoin Beelzebub @BTCbeezlebub]

@pahueg You’re forgetting how the Fed does things: Rebranding.
Warsh will likely just lean on the adjusted PCE (probably the trimmed mean), and declare inflation “under control.”
No real fix. Just a new measuring stick.
Bessent isn’t getting surprised by any of this.