Avoid buying breakouts. Instead, wait for prices to retest major structural support levels 50 dma or 200dma.. or previous major breakout zones where buyers are likely to defend the stock. #stockmarketindia
Many stocks that were trading at or near their all-time highs over the last 2โ3 months have now cooled off significantly, with trading volumes drying up and price action becoming extremely muted. Are you observing the same trend across the market?
@microcp2mltibgr Yes ..Sever FII outflows and now Boj rate hike...Friday fooled us ๐...Worry is what if the unstable peace talk collapses?and again back to the hormuz thing ...Baapre i am becoming 'professional overthinker' now:)
@CaVivekkhatri When external pressures change rapidly, adapting the policy stance...even if it contradicts earlier message is generally preferred by markets over stubbornly sticking to outdated assumptions.
@RijhwaniSheetal Tracking down her first love takes immense bravery. Many people prefer to keep their youthful romances frozen in a perfect fantasy. She chose to face reality.
I was here from 2010.
Life was cool when I was not known, or when I had less than 500 followers.
I started posting more after quitting my job three years back, and even more after my knee ACL surgery.
I did every mistake a new investor does.
You name it, I might have done it.
Bought stocks from Moneycontrol discussion boards 20 years ago without understanding the business or risks.
After some initial success, got false confidence, took a โน2 lakh personal loan, invested it, and burned almost everything.
Averaged down thinking price has to come back.
Bought penny stocks and low market-cap names thinking they will rise fast.
Followed TV recommendations.
Every stupid mistake a beginner investor makes, I have done it.
In Telugu there is a line:
โBhogi kaanivaadu Yogi kaaledu.โ
One who has not gone through indulgence, mistakes, burns and temptations cannot become wise like a yogi.
So when I say something today, it is not theory.
It is burn marks speaking.
--------
Other mistakes I did as a new investor:
Buying just because the stock had fallen 50%, thinking it had become cheap.
Confusing low price with cheap valuation โน10 stock looked cheaper than โน1,000 stock.
Looking only at profits, not cash flow, debt, pledging, dilution or promoter quality.
Selling winners too early and holding losers forever.
Thinking every operator-driven move is โsmart money accumulation.โ
Believing every turnaround story without checking whether the balance sheet can survive.
Buying because some big investor entered, without understanding their time horizon or position size.
Taking allocation too big in stocks I did not understand properly.
Not respecting liquidity โ easy to enter, impossible to exit.
Getting emotionally attached to stocks and defending them like family members.
Mistaking bull market luck for personal skill.
Thinking more information means better decision-making.
Watching price every day but not watching business progress.
Ignoring opportunity cost holding dead stocks while better stocks kept moving.
Learning risk only after losing money.
@SureshKBN Thank you for sharing this sir. Most people only post their green portfolios and multi-baggers, but the real value is always in the mistakes made and more than that learning from the mistake and not doing the same again.
Tomorrow, the four business units carved out of Vedanta Ltd will make their official stock market debut.
Vedanta Aluminium holds the highest operational growth expectations. #vedl
@microcp2mltibgr ๐๐๐
Re-accumulation Darvasbox
Strictly look forward only for Quality stocks and as always stay away from operator driven stocks
NIFTY SMALLCAP 100
DOLLAR chart without rupee depreciation.
This chart shows that last bull run time cycle was 2005 to 2023 and there is a fresh new darvas box developing now for next time cycle.
Last time from 2005 it went from 27$ to 154$ which is almost 6X and now its only gone from 155$ to 234$, so imagine where is 6X in last cycle and 1.5X in this cycle.
This is just the start, I believe a new commodity cycle will form and completely develop this next darvas box here. There is No point in talking about a correction or crash right now when the rally or bubble has not even formed. If anyone is telling you we will crash or we are expensive then please show them this chart, they might be in their own world of Rupee and might not be realising big picture.
Not a buy sell recommendation.
@Prayaan25@microcp2mltibgr I dont think they will fall but may be time correct to move in sideways... but i am not an expert only Vishal bro can answer this well