Balkan Devlen

Co-founder and Principal @Pendulumgroupca Geopolitical Advisory. Also @MLInstitute @CNAPS_ @CU_NPSIA @superforecaster. Banned by 🇷🇺

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

War brings clarity, not only regarding friend-enemy distinction but also for others as it reveals our moral circles, their extend, direction, and who is in & out. That determines the price we are willing to pay and the risks we are willing to take. Human, all too human.

[Yaroslav 🇺🇦 🇨🇦 @YaroslavB]

My latest piece: on Belarus becoming Europe’s most dangerous geopolitical blind spot as Putin seeks to shift tactics. In Inside Policy | @MLInstitute #Ukraine https://t.co/u0pIghOcPJ

[Kyle Matthews @kylecmatthews]

Ironic that this “senator” criticizes our latest report on the same day the Government of Canada and its 5 Eyes partners issue warning about Chinese influence operations on @LinkedIn

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

https://t.co/OgYK2s6lzO

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

@PopovaProf Or to see what Kremlin wants us to believe they think.

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

@rmohamed_yow Build the muscles?

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

@kolga @UofT Oh she is poster child of everything that is wrong with academia today. A midwit leech on the public purse

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

#DoubleTrouble @MLInstitute is back. In this episode I talked with @AaronGBurnett @DSI_Strategy on how to #MakeRussiaPay. ~$20 billion CAD of the aggressor #Russia’s money that #Canada can confiscate is sitting there. Why the Liberal government is not taking the lead in #G7?

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

As I argued in a piece published in early 2021, #DoubleTrouble is here and they are at war with us, whether we want it or not. @MLInstitute

[Nick Schifrin @nickschifrin]

“We have frankly all collectively perhaps underestimated the magnitude of this emerging axis and the strategic impact it’s having… These growing webs of sanctions evasion, tech sharing, disinformation, collusion, coordination, potentially in the area of sabotage across that spectrum of hybrid warfare, there was more going on than we were attuned to.”

“Putin is in the process of regaining the momentum in [Ukraine], thanks in part to the infusion of North Korean troops.”

“We won’t take the disruptive deterring types of measures that we need to pick apart this axis as we need to, until we shift our mindsets… and become more assertive… If we don’t face up to the reality that Putin is only still in the war in Ukraine today because of China’s economic and dual use support, we’re not going to fashion effective strategies for countering China’s strategic ambitions.”

“I think driving wedges between them is pretty fanciful”

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

The new episode of #DoubleTrouble is out! In this episode I talked with @EHunterChristie on why West's obsession with escalation management is the wrong framework to understand and deal with #Russia and what needs to replace it. @MLInstitute

https://t.co/iGZPW9KGGT

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

#DoubleTrouble is back with @UCerenkova - a leading expert on 🇨🇳 in Europe - just in time for the #RigaConf2024. We talked about how #China was and is seen in the #Baltics. @MLInstitute @LATO_LV @KAS_Canada

*I know, I keep nodding but she is right!

https://t.co/DXLfQHOEf5

[Remy Levin @RemyLevin]

Sure, the bros using it can be annoying, but I actually think it’s good to use “prior” for “belief”. It implies that belief is inherently dynamic, & it adopts the language of Bayesianism, our best model of optimal belief change

There’s some value to being reflexively open-minded

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

The latest episode of #DoubleTrouble is out! I talked with @bctallis on #NeoIdealism, a grand strategy for the Free World to defend and secure our societies. Check it out below or wherever you get your podcasts. @MLInstitute @KAS_Canada

https://t.co/0GB7zyrBce

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

Our new foreign policy podcast series #DoubleTrouble now has its own page. Make sure to check it out and watch/listen the previous episodes. New episodes coming every other Thursday. @MLInstitute @KAS_Canada

https://t.co/i5oCMY5oH6

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

Check out the latest episode of #DoubleTrouble with @jbmllr and @ALanoszka in which we discuss our recent report on #NATO in/with the #IndoPacific. Just the reading you need before #NATOSummit.

@MLInstitute @KAS_Canada @ConGeostrategy

https://t.co/7LNGIWKFbo

[Balkan Devlen @BalkanDevlen]

It is #DoubleTrouble time again. In this episode, I talked with @MLInstitute Senior Fellow and National Security project lead Alex Dalziel about his recent paper exploring #Russia - #China geopolitics in the Eurasian #Arctic. @KAS_Canada @NAADSN_RDSNAA

https://t.co/5uFIbl7iMy