Michael Baney

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

I can understand why the electoral systems of other countries think that displaying results to the thousandth of a percentage point is good enough, but in Peru it's really negligent.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@silver52770 No one knows since the number of votes per acta can vary so greatly. Some of the actas from abroad always have very few votes because there simply aren't a lot of Peruvians living in, for example, Accra, Ghana (one ballot in the first round, probably from the consul himself).

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

I don't use betting apps but I genuinely cannot understand why Polymarket gives Keiko Fujimori 76% odds of winning the presidency. She is up 50.02% to 49.98% and it appears that a disproportionate number of outstanding results are from areas she should lose.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@silver52770 Earlier this morning, there were many outstanding ballots from Ayacucho, Apurimac, and Huancavelica, which is why Sanchez rapidly overtook her. But now the outstanding ballots are very largely from areas she will easily win.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@spinierjoyfully It is now. Earlier this morning, there were many outstanding ballots from Ayacucho, Apurimac, and Huancavelica, which is why Sanchez rapidly overtook her. But now the outstanding ballots are very largely from areas she will easily win.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

I think the vote in Peru is now significantly clearer than it was this morning. Sanchez is up by a slight amount, but a substantial percentage of the outstanding votes are from Lima, Loreto, and abroad, and those are very fujimorista. Keiko will likely start gaining on him soon.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

July 24, 2026: ONPE declares that Fujimori and Sanchez are exactly tied. The two candidates agree to a coin flip, which at Sanchez’s insistence is in Chota. Keiko wins and is so overjoyed she has a stroke and falls into a coma. Congress declares the presidency to be vacant.

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

STOP THE COUNT!

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@Riderfan456 Yeah, I get all that, and that is a great link, but I'm still skeptical that Fujimori is so overwhelmingly favored to win. I think she might once the JEE clears all the Lima actas weeks from now, but I'm not 76% sure of it.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

Roberto Sanchez takes the lead over Keiko Fujimori.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

It's happening again.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

it sounds jarring to hear people bring this topic up as if it's notable. Keiko probably occasionally drinks wine, a much more destructive drug, and no one mentions that. I think Humala sucks but not because he occasionally consumes THC, and to the American ear, it just sounds odd

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

One interesting thing about Peruvian politics is how often Antauro Humala's admission that he occasionally smokes weed comes up even among those on the left. Peru is where the US was on this issue about 30 years ago. As someone from a state where weed was legalized years ago...

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@THMizell @medeabenjamin You said it was "not assault." That is manifestly incorrect. You said I was "completely wrong" that DC does not have a law against battery. That is also manifestly incorrect. You are unable to understand this because you are a dim bulb. Goodnight.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@THMizell @medeabenjamin THE INCIDENT OCCURRED IN DC. THAT IS WHERE THE CAPITOL BUILDING IS. Jesus Christ.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@THMizell @medeabenjamin "That is battery, not assault.... I am aware. It qualifies as Simple Assault."

Okay, counselor.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@THMizell @medeabenjamin "I said it was battery and not an assault but I meant it WOULD be battery and not an assault if the US capital was Boise, Idaho instead of DC (although even then it'd still be an assault)."

Okay, then no one gives a shit.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@THMizell @medeabenjamin Thank you for acknowledging that your original post saying this is battery and not assault was wrong and that I was correct in saying that there is no battery law in DC.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@THMizell @medeabenjamin "Many jurisdictions merge assault and battery into the single offense of assault." DC is one of them.

[Michael Baney @BaneyMike]

@THMizell @medeabenjamin Simple assault is covered under § 22–404(a)(1) of the DC Code. What is the citation of the DC Code for battery? This is where you stop replying because there is none. You've completely misread the Cornell webpage (which is not the DC Code) which actually even says...