Dems have had a lot of very good polls from Iowa, Mich & Ohio.
But are polls underestimating the GOP again? In all 3 states, GOP did better by 5+ pt in 2024 than polls had at this point.
Same thing in Trump's 1st midterm.
Same happens in 2026? GOP probably holds the Senate.
.@ossoff ad is blasting during the half time game ๐ป #collegefootball. Keisha is nowhere to be found!!โฆbesides Rick Jacksonโs attack ad on her. ๐
Iโm still anxious regardless of strong polls for Democrats. My heart seems to break every 2 years when it comes to U.S. Senate elections since 2016. ๐ฅฒ
9/20 Forecast Update
Democrats continue to gain ground, reaching new highs in both chambers. They are now favored to control both the House and Senate, though the race for Senate control remains essentially a toss-up.
๐ต U.S. Senate: 55.4% (+4.3% in last week)
๐ต U.S. House: 83.7% (+2.6% in last week)
1) Texas hasnโt gone blue in over 30 years. Itโs an all-hands-on-deck effort.
2) Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow are actively backing Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan.
Francesca Hong is actively backing David Crowley in Wisconsin.
Angie Craig is actively backing Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota.
Alex Vindman is actively backing Angie Nixon in Florida.
Zach Wahls is actively backing Josh Turek in Iowa.
Troy Jacksonโs (short-lived) rivals are actively backing him in Maine.
Jasmine Crockett stands alone.
NEW AD: Smokejumpers have a saying, โask for a stronger back, not a lighter load.โ And thatโs what Montanans do.
Early starts, late nights, stretching every dollar til it breaks.
.@SamForstag is a former smokejumper running to represent Montana in Congress.
He says it's a "compliment" that he doesn't look like the typical Democrat.
"It's a rare thing to see a working person in the halls of power. It's going to take all the help that we can possibly get to make that happen!"
He acknowledges that Montana hasn't supported many Democrats as of late and he hopes to modernize the party going forward by focusing on pocket book issues.
"There are a lot of people, working people, union members, young folks who felt like the Democratic Party left us behind..."
Via @cnnthestoryis
Folks.
@AbdulElSayed needs Haley voters to win.
Keep your snark to your group chats.
Hold the bravado and victory laps until December.
Build the campaign that welcomes to build a winning margin.
Union nurses enthusiastically support Dr. Abdul El-Sayed for Senate because of his commitment to:
โ Passing #MedicareForAll,
โ Abolishing ICE, and
โ Getting corporations out of politics and health care!
Vote Abdul by August 4! โ
Dr. Abdul El-Sayed earned his PhD from Oxford, then an MD from Columbia. He was a Rhodes scholar, and the youngest person ever to be appointed as the head of a major health department at age 30.
He's saved lives.
Stevens does not even come close to his accomplishments.
Working people are sick and tired of getting left behind by corporate elites and Washington insiders like Susan Collins. Together, we can defeat her.
I'm Troy Jackson. I'm a Mainer, a dad, a fifth-generation logger from Allagash, and Iโm running for the United States Senate. I ask for your support so we can finally build the progressive future Mainers and Americans deserve.
Join us at https://t.co/F0jLccV4w8.