Dominic Besner

Following the news

[Dominic Besner @Bezanator]

A great piece by a contributor I just discovered to help get some perspective on the pause of Permanent Joint Board on Defense between Canada and the US.
https://t.co/OVI0Y8Z3Nw

[Prime Minister of Canada @CanadianPM]

The members of our Canadian Armed Forces stand on guard to defend our nation’s sovereignty. As many spend the holiday season away from home, we extend our deepest gratitude for their continued courage, service, and sacrifice.

[Summa Strategies @SummaStrategies]

The 2025 Budget will be presented on Tuesday. Ottawa is buzzing with speculation on the minority parliament's future. The fiscal update is a milestone moment for PM Carney, who has signalled both generational investment and austerity. Read More Here: https://t.co/9p0sdlfM58

[Summa Strategies @SummaStrategies]

Budget 2025 is coming on Tuesday. We're ready to give you the main takeaways night-of to help you make sense of the first Carney/ Champagne budget. Make sure you're signed up to get the scoop right to your inbox. https://t.co/iluf705uk0 #Budget2025 #cdnpoli

[Theo Moudakis @TheoMoudakis]

Please enjoy my cartoon for Wednesday's @TorontoStar

[Dominic Besner @Bezanator]

@HLHkyAllStar Sorry, but you at least need Maurice Richard. He literally started a revolution.

[Summa Strategies @SummaStrategies]

As NATO members pledge 5% of GDP for defence, Canada faces big questions about funding this $150B annual commitment. Summa’s @KatlynHarrison joined @globalnews to unpack what it could mean for Canada’s security—and the economic choices ahead. Watch the discussion👇#cdnpoli #NATO

[alexandra szacka @szackaa]

Une explication du phénomène MAGA pleine de bon sens!

[Dominic Leroux @DoLeroux]

Puissant et touchant discours d'Antoine Bertrand composé de paroles de chansons Québécoises à la Fête Nationale du Québec.
À écouter!
#polqc

[Duane Bratt🇨🇦 @DuaneBratt]

This is a pretty good summary of the campaign.

[Jonathan Kalles @jkalles]

This is what democracy looks like.
This is what's supposed to happen when the debate is over.
This is what makes Canada great.
🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦

[Summa Strategies @SummaStrategies]

It's #NationalPetDay—the purrfect opportunity to introduce some of Summa's furry friends! 🐾 They may not join all our meetings, but they always keep us company behind the scenes.

[chantal hébert @ChantalHbert]

La vague conservatrice que cachent… les conservateurs | L’actualité https://t.co/P8zV88sxPH

[Sigurdur Nordal @essenviews]

This is nuts.

[guyfelicella🇨🇦🍁 @guyfelicella]

He's sooooooo back ‼️🇨🇦 @SeanFraserMP

[Mark Carney @MarkJCarney]

Canada is everything.

[Mark Carney @MarkJCarney]

Elbows up, Canada.

[Justin Trudeau @JustinTrudeau]

You can’t take our country — and you can’t take our game.

[La Presse @LP_LaPresse]

Antonine Maillet, 1929-2025 | La plus grande voix de l’Acadie s’éteint https://t.co/lQPFtUpq6V

[Dominic Besner @Bezanator]

Great insightful analysis.

[David Coletto @DavidColetto]

My thoughts on the latest @abacusdataca poll:

There is clear evidence in our polling that the opinion environment in Canada is shifting. While the cost of living remains in focus for most people, Donald Trump has become the second more cited top issue and has come to define so much of what people are talking about. With Justin Trudeau’s exit only a few weeks away and the spectre of more tariffs possibility coming, Canadians are increasingly asking themselves which political choice is best able to deal with the impact and consequence of Trump’s threatening posture towards Canada.

However, we do not see a competitive political environment. The Conservatives continue to have a large lead in vote intention and while Pierre Poilievre’s negatives have risen, far more people have a positive impression of him than any other leader. When we ask Canadians about their views towards Mark Carney, he is viewed more favourably than negatively with 34% saying they have a positive view and 17% with a negative one. However, he also remains largely undefined in people’s minds and so there is still a lot we don’t know about how people will react to him once they get to know him better.

But it is clear that the mindset of much of the public has shifted. Older Canadians, especially Baby Boomers, are fully engaged in the drama being created by Donald Trump. Boomers, and those with higher levels of education seem to be shifting their political preferences more than other Canadians at this point. Whether it is because they are paying closer attention to the news, or whether because they feel more threatened by Trump, they are ripe for persuasion by the Liberals.

Perhaps the biggest takeaway from this poll is the weakness of the NDP and Jagmeet Singh. We have consistently measured the NDP in a narrow band between 17% and 20% for the past three years. But only in the last two weeks have we seen their vote share drop to its lowest level in our tracking. And when we include Carney’s name into the mix, their vote drops even further to 12%.

Overall, our read of the opinion landscape still favours the Conservatives and Pierre Poilievre. They have managed to hold onto most of their past supporters while still converting a sizeable portion of Liberal and NDP voters. Unless their voter coalition splinters, it will be hard of their opponents to make significant gains beyond what we have measured thus far