Long $SNDK $MU $DRAM $EWY. I think low likely in for Korea, now some hedging/derisking flows ahead of the FOMC and major ER. GOOGL said they are increasing there CAPEX for next year and SK Hynix ER was fine. Think pretty probbale spot for bounce once all these risk events done
Long $SNDK $MU $DRAM $EWY. I think low likely in for Korea, now some hedging/derisking flows ahead of the FOMC and major ER. GOOGL said they are increasing there CAPEX for next year and SK Hynix ER was fine. Think pretty probbale spot for bounce once all these risk events done
@TheShortBear How are you managing your ETH postion? Hedging with puts, shorting calls, stopping out then re trying it or just straight holding? Ive been buying with you since you first posted about it last year and its starting to get unbearable lol
This is the type of person you have to be to get hired at Citadel
Ken Griffin once asked a Harvard graduate with a Citadel offer letter what he would do if he had $10 million in his bank account
The young man replied that he would quit his job to travel and climb the highest peaks around the world
Ken Griffin responded by saying that Citadel was not the right fit for him
@TheShortBear Hey Short Bear. Was wondering what your thoughts are on all this AAVE drama. Seeing alot of fear mongering saying DeFi is done, and that some spillover effects can cause short term pressure on crypto markets (ETH in general). WOuld be great to hear your take. Thanks
Pretty interesting take here. All of major tech is going through massive innovation right now, making it pretty obvious thats whats going to happen in the financial sector. Its kind of a must. And how to speculate? $ETH the potential infrastructure for the new age of finance
Food for thought.
Wall Street still thinks AI is a productivity story. It just became a fragility and trust story, and that shift ties Anthropic’s Mythos, the Clarity Act, and Bitcoin together in a way investors are badly underpricing.
Anthropic’s Mythos model did more than showcase clever capabilities. It forced policymakers to acknowledge, in public, that the core software of the financial system is now one well‑aimed AI exploit away from systemic risk. When Scott Bessent and Jerome Powell are in emergency meetings with the heads of Wall Street banks to discuss AI‑driven cyber threats, the conversation has moved beyond sandbox innovation and into the realm of financial stability. The implicit message is clear: the incumbent architecture is not built for an adversarial, model‑driven world.
Bessent’s op‑ed arguing that the Clarity Act must pass as a matter of national security is the political counterpart of that realization. If AI can pierce legacy rails, then the United States needs clear, durable rules for digital assets and blockchain infrastructure, not so it can speculate on tokens, but so it can deliberately integrate cryptographic, verifiable, tamper‑resistant rails into the heart of its financial system. Clarity on custody, stablecoins, and blockchain‑based settlement is no longer a regulatory luxury; it is a defence priority.
Put together, Mythos, the Bessent–Powell Wall Street meetings, and the Clarity Act op‑ed point in the same direction: the centre of gravity is shifting from “AI will boost earnings” to “AI will test the integrity of our money pipes.” In that world, open, auditable, cryptographic infrastructure stops being a fringe experiment and starts looking like the logical upgrade path. Public blockchains, and Bitcoin in particular, offer precisely the properties an AI‑exposed system now needs: transparent rules, global replication, adversarial testing at scale, and settlement that does not depend on a single compromised database or trusted intermediary.
The connection investors are missing is that the AI shock and the regulatory turn are not separate stories. Mythos revealed how fragile the old code base is; Bessent’s call to pass the Clarity Act is an attempt to give the US a legal framework to adopt stronger, blockchain‑based rails; and the emergency meetings between Fed, Treasury, and Wall Street are the first visible signs that the establishment knows it cannot patch its way through this era with 1980s technology. When AI flips from a productivity narrative to a fragility and trust narrative, Bitcoin and blockchains stop competing with Wall Street, and start becoming the architecture Wall Street is forced to build on.
Really will be watching for IV compression to start unfolding for real confirmation for swing short. I think dealer hedging here supporting price. And IV probably at its highs now,(FED meeting yesterday, Iran war headlines, de dollarization etc).
All this volume on $GLD and $SLV is very interesting. Maybe funds/instutions hedging or rebalancing there dollar exposure and have to chase whatever price, mixed with retail frenzy
METAL MANIA: $GLD has traded $25b worth of shares today, which is an all-time daily record, and it's ONLY 1pm. $SLV is at about $20b and has now traded more this week than it does in most years.. These are radical numbers.