@alphaticaio This is not my analysis. Claudes take. Every prior instance where this ratio reached current levels, a recession was either:
Already underway, or
Within 1-3 quarters of beginning. Gives me reason to pause
@alphaticaio Claudeβs take. This time might be different because
β’A 0.84 Leading/Coincident ratio
β’A gamma cliff losing 72.6% by May 15
β’A breadth signal thatβs only fired twice in 25 years
β’A carry trade unwind beginning
β’A binary NVDA event on May 20