Crypto Advisor

Disclaimer: All of my Tweets are for informational purposes only and are not intended to provide legal, financial or accounting advice.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

Entering support price zone, weekly chart.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@thealyog After 5 months btcusd moves back above weekly kama, we should see higher prices up to 88-90k$

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

Moment of truth: will it break the KAMA average? If so, the next target is the first band around $88–90K.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@HnlRiddler96334 $75394 using bitstamp data.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@0x_joker_ape It has many params, i've to be sure it is not fitting the data, one day i'll publish it and explain it better on my blog.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

BTCUSD Daily Chart: third attempt to break the second KAMA level has failed. The red dots are a new indicator I’m testing about market tension near tops and bottoms.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

Same template but monthly chart with red dots indicating market high stress/tension

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@GrowWithPassive No leverage, it's too risky with bitcoin IMO. I’d rather not share the exchange I use for privacy, sorry guys.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

It looks instead a new retest of the weekly KAMA around $75k, but I’ll probably increase my long position in the coming months if there is a retest within the weekly support bands.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@ecb GOFY

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

Still bearish and next month there's a chance we'll test our important support around $50K.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

Tried to kill my own power law for weeks. Tested hashrate, difficulty,Metcalfe,KAMA,Kalman.All worse. Every onchain metric lags price,causality is backwards. Time is the only exogenous variable.The two-phase power law model survives because everything else is worse. Data decides.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

Question Marks...

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

2nd test, failed again. Flat as hell.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

BTCUSD is not yet bullish on daily chart, it failed to break daily kama 2nd resistance level and now back to the average.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@TheBTCTherapist 100%, the secular trend is up since 2009.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@ph3l I’ve been long since 2023. If you measure Bitcoin in gold ounces it’s a buy but not yet in USD based on my KAMA levels.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

BTCUSD/GOLD is inside the monthly KAMA bands, and my new market tension indicator is flagging the last two bars as a bottom.
Time for Bitcoin to go up or for gold to go down.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@SBartender Sure, that chart is a ratio.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

@WhaleCryptoPro KAMA levels don’t lie. I already identified my support for this year: yearly forecast at $54k, first KAMA price band at $51k, second level at $30k. The second monthly KAMA band has never been tested in Bitcoin’s entire history, so it's hard to reach 30k$ this year.

[Crypto Advisor @Bitcoin_Trading]

I'm replacing my bitcoin's power law model with a 2 state Kalman filter. My prev model needs a sigmoid patch to handle regime changes, instead Kalman adapts continuously with no breakpoints, no artificial shifts. The model bends to the market, not the other way around.Stay tuned.