Guys, do you understand how BULLISH this is for the AI Infra trade?
Barclays sellside call on Anthropic $ANT just dropped the real numbers behind the “weak Q4” narrative.
Q4’26 guide ~$19.3B (~$77B annualized) vs $81B October ARR.
Reasons: holiday seasonality + distillation removal (10% → 7% → 2%) + Opus 5.5 ~40% cheaper.
That’s it. No $META / $MSFT pullback. No demand collapse.
Meanwhile:
> Training / R&D compute ~$90B in 2027… and rises sharply after that.
> Management is deliberately over-ordering capacity so they never hit another $SPCX style crunch. Fleet utilization will go down.
> ~3.5 GW already in the press. Multi-chip strategy ($NVDA + TPU + Trainium + $AMD) + Anthropic Direct = they’re cutting middlemen and buying more directly.
> Cash burn worsens next year by design.
As I see it, this is the opposite of a slowdown.
They’re building more compute than they need right now, locking in massive non-cancelable commitments, and preparing for the diffusion wave (Cowork adoption already faster than Claude Code from a bigger base).
Every dollar of that $90B+ training spend, every extra GW, every multi-chip order hits the same chokepoints: power, photonics, data centers, interconnect, packaging, cooling.
The “weak Q4” is seasonality + price cuts + one-time distillation cleanup.
The multi-year compute build is accelerating and locked in.
IMO if you still think this is bearish for AI Infra, you’re looking at the wrong line.
PS: Credits to @labubu_trader for sharing the report.
Who here BELIEVES that AI dies at the chatbot phase?
Didn’t think so….
In that case more POWER and COMPUTE needed.
Onward and upwards.
$IREN $CRWV $NBIS
@TheBigDegen Analyst targets mean nothing.
They are fluid and subject to change at any minute.
In 2025 they were continuously being raised as $IREN AND $CIFR continuously BLEW passed them.
This will happen again.
The AI revolution has been CANCELLED due to @JensenHuang extra marital affair.
AI will no longer dramatically impact and improve every market from finance to law to healthcare.
It will NO longer be the LARGEST deflationary force in history.
Thanks a lot Jensen
$NVDA $IREN