barry lyss

This account isn’t about gaining followers; I had another with 20k. This one is for me: documenting, trades and progress. Happy to share it BUT no advise!

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

I’m Barry, 51 (Born 1975), married with two children, and I’ve spent more than 25 years working in global financial markets.

I began my career as an FX trader in New York and later in Israel. Since 2010, I’ve worked as a macro broker, covering global rates, FX, commodities and listed derivatives for hedge funds, banks and institutional clients.

On X, I share my views on macro developments, market positioning, volatility, technical setups and trade ideas—especially across interest rates, gold, silver, oil and currencies. I try to separate genuine market signals from the daily noise. Markets constantly remind me that patience, discipline and risk management matter far more than being right about every move.

But this account is not only about markets.

Fitness and health have become a major part of my life. I run, lift weights and pay close attention to nutrition, recovery, sleep and longevity. My aim is not simply to look fit—it is to remain strong, energetic and capable as I get older.

I share my training, progress, mistakes and what I learn along the way. I’m not a professional athlete, coach or doctor—just someone over 50 trying to improve every day and show that age does not have to mean decline.

Markets and fitness have more in common than people think: there are no shortcuts, progress is rarely linear, and consistency beats motivation.

Patience pays in markets. Consistency pays in life.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

@heart_ISR When is this from? what date.... looks like a very old video i remember it from a few years back.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

@moninvestor Well done holding it in the sell-off, i have cut all my Stock positions till after the FOMC.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

GM, Another Yen intervention, let’s see how long this last....

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Coffee Futures, KC1 298 Last

Bullish setup in play. This pullback reaching mature stages, bullish reversal should send prices higher.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Crude Oil 91.06 Last

Keep an eye on Crude Oil, a sustain move above current levels would suggest Crude Oil heading back towards the highs near 120!

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Gold Update 4410 Last

The bounce off 4300 area continues and could potentially reach 4530 before possibly starting the next leg down towards 4120 which is a MEGA buy level for the next Bull Cycle.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Caught the Gold low at 4k, covered longs at 4500 area. Bought again 4300, mkt is now at 4400.

All you need is a road map for 1 asset to make money. Don't need to get the entire market right!

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

XAUUSD 4307 Last

Here is my road map

Bounce towards 4530
Sell Off towards 4120
Renewed uptrend towards all time highs

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Gold Update, 4300 Last!

Time for gold to produce a wave B bounce before wave C lower again

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Gold is trading at 4,445, back below its 200-day moving average at 4,530—an important technical development that deserves more attention.

The near-term level to watch is 4,408, around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move below it could shift attention toward the 4,121–4,231 zone, where the 61.8% and 76.4% retracement levels are located.

The path remains uncertain, and volatility may stay elevated ahead of the September 16 FOMC meeting. For now, I am watching developments from the sidelines.

Market commentary only—not investment advice.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Gold Sold off nearly 80 Bucks in a few hours after this post was published. Option setup is the most bullish it has been all year with the 25-delta Skew for December Futures nearly flat after being very bearish all year.

[Yuriy Matso @yuriymatso]

I remember noticing negative divergence between SPY and QQQ early 2022... we have it again.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

$NVDA VERA RUBIN SUPPLY CHAIN

Vera Rubin is much more than NVIDIA’s next GPU cycle.

It is a system-level AI infrastructure buildout combining six co-designed chips: the Vera CPU, Rubin GPU, NVLink 6 switch, ConnectX-9 SuperNIC, BlueField-4 DPU and Spectrum-6 Ethernet switch.

As Rubin moves into deployment, the opportunity extends across memory, foundry, packaging, networking, power, cooling and complete rack-scale systems.

• MEMORY

$MU, $SKHY and Samsung supply the HBM4 and DRAM required by Rubin’s compute architecture.

$SNDK provides adjacent exposure through enterprise SSDs and the expanding AI storage layer.

• FOUNDRY, PACKAGING & SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT

$TSM remains the critical manufacturing and advanced-packaging backbone.

$AMKR and other outsourced assembly and testing providers benefit as chip and packaging complexity rises.

$ASML, $AMAT, $LRCX and $KLAC supply the lithography, deposition, etch and process-control equipment required to expand leading-edge capacity.

$TER provides semiconductor testing exposure, while $INTC represents a more indirect foundry and advanced-packaging opportunity.

• NETWORKING & OPTICS

Rubin’s scale-up fabric remains centered on NVIDIA’s proprietary NVLink 6, while Spectrum-X and Quantum-X handle scale-out networking.

$AVGO and $MRVL provide exposure to switching, DSP and custom connectivity silicon.

$CRDO and $ALAB are positioned around high-speed SerDes, active electrical cables and data-center connectivity.

$COHR, $LITE and $AAOI provide optical-component and transceiver exposure.

$GLW, $CIEN, $NOK and $ANET participate across fiber, optical transport and AI-cluster networking.

$APH and $TEL add exposure to the connectors and high-speed cabling required as rack density and bandwidth increase.

• 800VDC POWER ARCHITECTURE

The transition toward 800VDC becomes increasingly important with Rubin Ultra and NVIDIA’s future megawatt-scale rack roadmap.

Confirmed NVIDIA ecosystem participants include $STM, $ON, $NVTS, $POWI, $MPWR, $ADI and $TXN, alongside ABB, Schneider Electric, Infineon and others.

These companies span power semiconductors, voltage conversion, power management and electrical protection.

• POWER, GRID & COOLING

$VRT and $ETN are among the clearest downstream beneficiaries, supplying power distribution, backup systems and liquid-cooling infrastructure for increasingly dense AI racks.

$GEV provides broader exposure to the grid-generation and electrical-infrastructure investment needed to support gigawatt-scale AI factories.

• SERVERS, RACKS & SYSTEM INTEGRATION

$DELL, $HPE and $SMCI bring the full platform together—integrating NVIDIA compute, networking, memory, power and liquid cooling into deployable AI systems.

$CLS adds exposure to design, manufacturing and supply-chain integration for hyperscale and AI data-center equipment.

The key point: Rubin shifts the investment story from GPUs alone toward the entire AI factory.

As compute density rises, more value moves into HBM, advanced packaging, networking, optics, power conversion, electrical infrastructure and liquid cooling.

$NVDA remains the platform owner—but the Rubin capex cycle will be monetized across a much broader supply chain.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

@Jake__Wujastyk Another way to look at ENPH

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

US stocks have never been this disconnected from each other:

The median 63-day correlation between individual S&P 500 stocks and the index itself is down to +0.10, the lowest on record.

This measures how closely individual stocks move with the broader index, with a reading this low meaning the index is being driven by a small group of stocks while most move independently.

This figure has dropped -71% over the last 5 months.

By comparison, during the March 2025 selloff, the median 63-day correlation surged to as much as +0.76.

To put this into perspective, the previous all-time low was +0.16 following the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble burst.

The market is more concentrated than ever.

[Yuriy Matso @yuriymatso]

The three-year average of the Moody's Baa corporate yield minus the 10-year Treasury sits at 1.65% — and the last month it was this low was October 1998.

Before a meaningful top can occur, this indicator needs to start going up again. Hasn't happened yet.

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

@EllieJoseph18 @hajiyev_rashad I see a pullback towards 4100/4150 area as possible In September before base and sharp rebound. Remain flexible we are all gamblers

[barry lyss @Blyss12345]

Covered my gold and silver longs ahead of NFP and the September 16 FOMC decision.

I think the key risk now is a breakdown in bonds, which could trigger a correction in equities and drag metals lower. I can see XAU revisiting the 4,125 area—that would be a meaningful pullback and a potential buy zone for me.