Bobby

PhD. mentored by the Late great Meyer Berman. 30 years trading FX and equities. Racehorse owner as hobby

[email protected]

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Not in my wildest dream did I think it would be Joe Kernan that topped the cycle . The Joe Kernan top will be an historic point in time.
The Kernan Top

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Nothing further to do then bet Furthur Ado in Derby today. Great works and peaking into cycle, and a value price. Fading best which is Renagade, can win but needs perfect lucky trip. I expect Furthur Ado to get good position and should get the extra distance

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Furthur Ado peaked for Derby. Value at price . Renegade best but needs perfect trip, hard from rail . Commandment used in exotics . But Furthur Ado best for Saturday

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Furthur Ado peaked for Derby. Value at price . Renegade best but needs perfect trip, hard from rail . Commandment used in exotics . But Furthur Ado best for Saturday

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Derby horse Furthur Ado peaking into run for the roses. Renegade tough post but best if gets position.

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

SP500 Dividend yield now lowest since 1800s. Great time to chase prices.

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Physical dated Brent $140 vs 100 for Paper Brent. Huge spread

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Data mining on CNBC showing a month to date graph of value vs growth. But not showing that growth has not beat value over a longer period like 3 months
Figures don't lie, but liars figure.
This is perhaps the most deranged rally since the nifty 50 era

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Dated physical Brent at $130

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Physical Dated Brent still at huge premium to paper futures
Dated Brent is still 135 or higher and has not budged . Futures paper is 83. Major arbitrage going on and serious money

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Dated physical Brent very detached from Paper oil future and at around $132 per barrel

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Dated physical Brent very detached from Paper futures at $132 per

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Dated physical Brent very detached from Paper futures at $132 per

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

We have initiated a very large short position on SPY today close to high print. We are a humble unknown group to many but not to a small other. We view this as a very low risk zone for a aggressive short . Will keep it on short leech. Stop around 6875 .51 close only

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

We have initiated a very large short position on SPY today close to high print. We are a humble unknown group to many but not to a small other. We view this as a very low risk zone for a aggressive short . Will keep it on short leech. Stop around 6875 .51 close only

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Silent Tactic in the Ark Derby and Nearly in the Fla Derby
Both have real shots based on this amateur handicapper.
Neither are favorites and need smooth trip

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

We are leaving X. Sad but true .too many fakes and fake news. Too bad as it could have been a great service . Now it's polluted.

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Buy the dip tests

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

Crude at par vs Brent.

[Bobby @Bobtrade]

We have moved to 50% 8 week T bills. We are still large short CVNA . We have no long exposure now. Very dangerous situation developing. We might short QQQ depending on our weekly and monthly technicals.
Despite the rough week there is no breakdown yet