Margin debt in China is skyrocketing:
China's stock market margin debt is up to a record ~$431 billion.
This figure has DOUBLED over the last 2 years.
This now surpasses the 2015 Chinese stock market bubble peak of ~$354 billion by 22%.
Furthermore, margin trading volume in the Shanghai Stock Exchange has averaged $22 billion per day over the last 2 weeks, near the highest on record.
Margin trading volume has tripled over the last 12 months and is in-line with the 2015 peak levels.
Risk appetite in China is through the roof.
Closest thing you will find to a cheat code in the market is tracking RS and Earning gappers. Make a list and monitor closely for setups. These lists are gold and become my goto lists over the following quarter.
$OUST a bit kick to the face today but not super surprised to see it retest $30. Would've been better to see it orderly instead of one -15% day. This is why I do not chase stuff though. Saw a lot of people buying Thursday and Friday which I thought was irresponsible. Long from $27.90 and want to see it build properly here.
You want to know a secret that changed my mentality around money?
Scenario: April 1st your portfolio was 100k and we went on this magical run where it climbed up to 140k as of yesterdays close. Then a day like today comes along and you happened to get stopped on all your positions and you are now sitting at 130k. Did you lose 7.14% today or is your portfolio up 30% in a month?
Unrealized gains ARE NOT YOURS. They belong to the market! If you want to mitigate volatility, trim into extensions. But if you are going to stress out about every down day as if the money was yours on an open position, you'll never truly be able to scale up comfortably.
Treat every new buy or sell based on it's individual price action. And stop looking at your portfolio value every evening as if the money on open positions belongs to you. Checking portfolio value every 10min only leads to emotional and sloppy execution when you look at the whole and not the individual parts.
If stock A is still acting great then it shouldn't be sold just because you took a small loss on stock B. Exit stock B and continue to let stock A work for its own merits. The minute you start to make emotional decisions because of money is when you ruin your chances at real growth.
Ya está disponible Análisis Flash en Campus.
Varios temas por lo que hoy es un día que se espera mucha volatilidad.
En este chart de Nomura (McElligott) pueden ver cómo han estado "persiguiendo" antes de la presentación de earnings de los relacionados a IA y las 4 MAGS
BREAKING: Intel stock, $INTC, surges over +15% after reporting Q1 2026 earnings and officially surpasses its August 2000 record high.
The Trump Administration’s stake in the company is now up nearly +250%.
The risk of FX intervention is rising in Japan:
The Yen has briefly weakened past 160 per US Dollar for the first time since July 2024, the spot where Japan’s Ministry of Finance last intervened in the currency market.
Since April 2025, the US Dollar has strengthened against the Yen +14%.
Japan has already spent ~$150 billion on multiple interventions to support the Yen since 2022.
The largest round of interventions took place in April-July 2024, when the Ministry of Finance spent a combined ~$95 billion to support the Yen.
Meanwhile, Japan's Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs, Atsushi Mimura, said on Tuesday that "decisive action" may soon be necessary if speculative activity in the market continues.
Pressure on the Yen is intensifying.
BREAKING: Oil prices surge above $85/barrel on reports that US intelligence has begun to see indications that Iran is deploying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, per CBS.
Oil prices are now up +$10/barrel in 50 minutes.
BREAKING: Tokenized gold sees its highest volume on record amid US-Iran tensions, with February 28th volumes exceeding the previous record by +290%.
As the US launched strikes on Iran on February 28th, tokenized gold volume traded surged to 25.5 MILLION tokens on Solana, per Jupiter.
The previous record was seen on November 2nd, 2025, at 6.6 million tokens.
Amid rising weekend volatility, tokenized asset volumes are skyrocketing.
this morning's flush below 425 established another *higher low* for the uptrend in $TSLA that began last Summer.
the current uptrend would only be negated by multiple closes below 420. (long)