Have you ever seen a more redneck sport than this? The race cars go around the track trying to be the first one to load onto the trailer being pulled by the truck. 🤣🤣🤣
You could buy 100 shares of $PLTR right now for $15,282.
Or you could buy the $150 call expiring January 2028 for roughly $50.00.
That's $5,000 for leveraged exposure to 100 shares of Palantir - 19 months out - for about 67% less capital.
Breakeven: $200.00
Why the setup is interesting:
- Q1 revenue $1.63B, up 85% YoY - strongest quarter as a public company
- U.S. Commercial revenue up 133% YoY, fastest growing segment
- Full-year 2026 guidance raised to $7.65B (71% growth), crushing the $7.27B consensus
- $10B U.S. Army enterprise agreement over a decade
- NATO acquired Palantir's Maven Smart System for allied operations
- Remaining deal value of $11.8B, up 98% YoY
- 88% gross margins, 60% operating margins, Rule of 40 score of 145%
If $PLTR hits $225 by expiration, the LEAP returns roughly 50% vs 47% on shares.
If $PLTR hits $250, the LEAP returns roughly 100% vs 64% on shares.
If $PLTR hits $300, the LEAP returns roughly 200% vs 96% on shares.
The max you can lose on a LEAP is the entire premium you paid. At ~$50/contract, that's a meaningful amount of capital at risk. If $PLTR drops or stays flat, this contract loses value every day.
The valuation is steep - roughly 80x forward earnings. This is a high-conviction play, not a casual position.
Not financial advice. I share these for education.