Amidst competing narratives over IS there's a risk of missing the danger it poses as a new & different phenomenon, that has radicalised some young men from communities that are historically anti Taliban
@Borhan: for now, "there is v little appetite in acknowledging this threat"
"successful negotiations will require not only patience but also a more hands-off approach from other governments than they are usually comfortable with." @Borhan#Afghanistan https://t.co/YGhYsKWcYU
“I have gleaned from conversations with Taliban officials recently that they have certain positions for the negotiations, but they have not nailed down a definitive vision of what they will agree to, leaving specifics to evolve during talks��
The astute, nuanced @Borhan — always.
Unfortunate this had to be written, but here goes: extended critique of Antonio Giustozzi article in 'Studies in Conflict and Terrorism'. I deal w/his response to me & discuss problems of outsourcing interviews & too many bizarre assertions in the article https://t.co/HYw5z2yty5
This is an exceptionally good report. The Taliban had carefully worked out internal positions for its talks with the US. It has not established similar positions for intra-Afghan negotiations. What can press them to adopt reasonable goals?
As intra-Afghan talks near, we are out with a major report assessing the Taliban’s positions based on extensive interviews with them 👇 https://t.co/WwUCgVcGte
Remember the inherent limits of the MT reports, which are based entirely on information from Member States - usually, the security apparatus of a Member State. So it’s a useful reflection of what intelligence officials are saying, but it’s not primary research.
AQ, ISIL and Foreign terrorists in Afghanistan.
A thread on UN's 26th Report on Al Qaeda and ISIL.
Thread only covers issues related to Afghanistan.
https://t.co/g73Xgsd8ZS
Also, as @Borhan and @KateClark66 reported, it is one of the few ‘truths’ of the Afghan insurgency that the Taleban hate arbaki. Taleban reactions suggest local forces do present a real threat. 7/19 https://t.co/DSHxoBqN37
New AAN-GPPi report out today, “Ghosts of the Past: Lessons from Local Force Mobilization in Afghanistan and prospects for the Future” with @KateClark66@Borhan@muzhary@AANAfgh@GPPi and brilliant photos by @andrewquilty (0/19)
https://t.co/GoE04hEFX0
He is reportedly a former mid-level TTP commander, Momand by tribe. He was formerly known simply as Dr Shahab. A first aider, hence Doctor. He added al-Muhajir to his name after joining ISKP in recent years.
A lot of confusion about the new ISKP leader.
The U.N. Monitoring Team has previously mentioned a Syrian as a candidate. Now, there are speculations he is an Iraqi. My sources say his name is 'Dr' Shahab al Muhajir, from Bajaur.
Hard to find a single Arab in ISKP ranks currently.
هذا الكتاب يؤشر ان قيادة داعش الجديدة لا تزال تتحكم بادارة مكتب الولايات البعيدة، وأن ولاية خراسان هي الاكثر اهمية�� د.شهاب المهاجر ربما يكون عراقيا وليس ابو سعيد السوري، وتوقيع الوثيقة جاء بكنية ابو عبد الرحمن اشارة للحجي معتز وبهذا يبطل خبر مقتله كما زعمت المصادر العراقية سابقا.
This confirms @Borhan‘s in-depth study & our assessment of the ISIS affiliates ISKP ambitions to continue to strike soft targets in a show of resilience despite military setbacks & mass surrenders.