Kevin Shields

Equity analyst/PM with a value perspective .... creating a paradigm for sustainable, competitive advantage.

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

My S&P 500 Target P/E mechanism is screaming DANGER !! IMO risk of an 8+% correction is immediate & could evolve at it breaks things $SPY If this plays out as I expect, $TSLA will be in a world of hurt as they need to raise capital sooner rather than later. $TSLAQ

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

If true, that makes China an enemy.

[Dr. Brahma Chellaney @Chellaney]

FBI director tells "60 Minutes" that America's biggest espionage threat is China which is targeting "our innovation, our trade secrets, our IP, on a scale that’s unprecedented in history." He said China’s hacking program is larger “than that of every other major nation combined.”

[Markets & Mayhem @Mayhem4Markets]

$AAPL

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

It seems they know what's coming.

[Markets & Mayhem @Mayhem4Markets]

Margin debt continues to track the market, which is best represented by the Wilshire 5000. It is often that meaningful declines in margin debt coincide with corrections or worse. This time appears to be no exception.

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

THE EU IS SEEKING TO PROVIDE AN ALTERNATIVE FOR INDIA TO DIVERSIFY AWAY FROM RUSSIA.

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Europe was waiting for the outcome from the French election to announce the full Russian oil embargo. So that's next, and then oil prices go vertical

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

@EcommunistForum That's NOT parody.

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

drugs with carte blanche liability waivers.

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

@elonmusk What do EV's have to do with "climate change" ?

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

As Mike Tyson suggested: "everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth". I suggest everyone get their MOUTH PUNCH plan ready. Banks in 20-Q1 described early DQ's as remaining at or near cycle lows. The punches will continue.

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

One of the things we knew about this year coming into it was that midterm years tend to be volatile and most of the gains take place later in the year.

Anything of course can happen, but history could be rhyming again in 2022.

Have a plan and stick to it.

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

The market isn't prepared for a non-US bank with Russian/Ukrainian exposures having a trading related SNAFU. This is the likely pathway for interest rate risk transmitting to credit risk via liquidity risk.

[Yardeni Research @yardeni]

YARDENI RESEARCH QUICKTAKES (April 24, 2022). Fear is showing up in the equity Put/Call Ratio and the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear Ratio, as I showed in my April 23 post. But there's not much fear in the VIX or the high-yield corporate bond spread. T…https://t.co/u17Sl0CKes

[Kevin Shields @BrewCrewShields]

Agreed. Slaughter is likely.

[Mac10 @SuburbanDrone]

Per this coming week, I see a lot of useless opinions few facts.

Here's what we KNOW:

Wave '1' Pre-FOMC was the biggest weekly decline in 2 years. The market bottomed Monday FOMC.

The Nasdaq is at critical support and is NOT oversold

Wave '3' IS ON TRACK for MAXIMUM PANIC

[Richard Christopher Whalen @rcwhalen]

Ditto...

[Ayesha Tariq, CFA @AyeshaTariq]

Merrill Lynch's Investment Clock for the Global Economic Cycle

Old one but, fun one...

[Win Smart, CFA @WinfieldSmart]

2 YEAR 😳

[steph pomboy @spomboy]

Paltry though it was, the reward ($1.3m) was worth the risk (0) in the world pre-sanctions. Now it is not only uncompelling but irresponsible. Which begs the ?: if cbk gold leasing is dead how long can the raiders keep holding the price down.

[Richard Dias @RichardDias_CFA]

Global Equity Market; Airlines, Travel, Casinos & Hotels relative to Broad Market

[Invariant Perspective @InvariantPersp1]

#recession ... #GFC2 US edition

The #UST #Bonds #YieldCurve doesn't lie... 📉

[Will @WClemente]

Despite the Nasdaq being down 18% from its peak, a record high 64% of Bitcoin supply hasn't moved in at least a year.

Beneath the surface, there is a group of convicted HODLers viewing BTC as their store of value amidst unprecedented uncertainty in markets. Pretty remarkable.

[Willem Middelkoop @wmiddelkoop]

Collapse Dutch Consumer Confidence