I'm suddenly getting the most engagement I've gotten in a year after this algorithm switch
It feels like the prior State penalized you if you weren't trying to post viral tweets
We are now past the 4th of July, an important milestone, the 250-year anniversary of the United States.
Bitcoin's technical indicators are flashing green.
The $58K wall held twice, forming a double bottom.
During this stress test, more physical Bitcoin changed hands than ever before. Positioning is now complete.
Good news is moving Bitcoin again. That's the first sign the suppression phase is ending.
Bad news is losing its ability to move the market.
The Saylor bears are running out of steam. The market has absorbed the idea that Strategy can sell Bitcoin when necessary, and that's okay. STRC is primed and ready. It just needs Bitcoin to recover. The rest will take care of itself.
The Trump empire is announcing Bitcoin purchases.
Bessent and Warsh are in control. They're preparing the narratives.
The yen is about to break out to the upside. Japan will be forced to raise rates, accelerating the unwind of the carry trade. That will create havoc across global markets and reinforce Warsh's argument.
The AI trade is beginning to weaken, and it will only get worse as the reverse carry trade unfolds. The U.S. government needs a reason to intervene, backstop the sector, print gobs of money, and deploy capital into AI at discounted valuations because it is now a national strategic asset. They want ownership without appearing too eager.
With the abundance trade on pause, capital will seek scarcity. Bitcoin is the destination, especially as U.S. debt approaches $40 trillion by the end of September. The number itself doesn't matter. The psychology does. Expect people to get loud, especially if we approach another government shutdown standoff.
The midterms only matter to the people. They hold no real ground. The ruling class is consolidating power. More importantly, it is consolidating military allegiance and institutional alignment.
The era of the American Caesar is approaching. Rome took many forms. I expect America will as well.
Geopolitical blocs are forming. Russia, China, and the United States are playing on the same team, even if only temporarily. The real enemy is the central banking cartel.
Iran is a distraction. The United States is ultimately leaving the Middle East and much of Europe. I also believe Iran was, in some way, part of the play against the cartel.
Just as the Bitcoin influencer class went dark in early 2025, the orders came down again a few weeks ago. It started with your favorite X Spaces mouthpieces. It's now moving through your favorite influencers. Soon, it will be all of them.
The "Architects" of this pivot used the lower bound of the Power Law and the four-year cycle to allow market participants to justify price suppression while key players positioned. Wall Street will use those same narratives to tell everyone it is finally safe to buy, after they have already accumulated. The Marketing Machine called Wallstreet will be given the Greenlight.
Bitcoin X has been turned back on. That's a big tell. Maybe it's bullshit. Maybe it's not. But it's certainly worth raising an eyebrow.
Everything is converging toward a validation event.
Clarity will arrive through a surprise vote. The government could announce a framework to capitalize the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve... possibly even make a strategic investment in MSTR designed to strengthen STRC inorder to realign market incentives, whether officials openly acknowledge that objective or not.
Over time, MSTR will effectively become additive to the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. That would not happen overnight. It would unfold gradually over the next decade as the world comes to understand Bitcoin’s value as pristine collateral and the government steadily increases its ownership.
MSTR shareholders will ultimately be rewarded for the volatility, dilution, and abuse they endured during the transition. MSTR will become the most valuable company in the world and Saylor will regain is stature among maxis.
MSTR’s role as a capital-markets conversion mechanism is too important to jeopardize through a 6102-style seizure that would damage Bitcoin’s economics and undermine confidence in the asset itself.
A gradual absorption through the rarely discussed U.S. Sovereign Wealth Fund makes far more strategic sense.
Things are about to move fast.
Soon.
BREAKING: 🇯🇵 Japan has officially passed a bill to legalize Bitcoin and crypto ETFs, and now on a path to reduce crypto taxes from 55% to 20%.
World’s 4th-largest economy is betting big on crypto.
Buffett is the greatest investor of all time - synonymous w the American Dream. He inspired me to start Invest America | @TrumpAccounts. So as he considers donating all of his Berkshire shares by 2034 - along w Howard, Susie & Peter - there could be no more fitting legacy on this 250th anniversary of America than sponsoring a Buffett dividend of Berkshire shares directly to 70 M American kids accounts to seed the next 250 yrs of American capitalism. @MichaelDell & I look forward to sharing our pitch. 🇺🇸🤍🚀
"We're not going anywhere. We're the largest identified holder of bitcoin. My objective would be [to remain] the largest buyer of bitcoin for the foreseeable future." $BTC
for clarity, all $ANSEM used in the raffle as tickets will be burned at the end of the raffle, if it sells out that's about $1M removed from the supply
An important piece from Demis. We need more of this kind of thinking. A good reminder that the goal is a frontier ecosystem that promotes innovation and choice, while avoiding any one model drop that breaks the world!
As usual, Demis is quite well reasoned and his framework is very reasonable.
Especially considering that the alternative seems to be the “Pull Up The Ladder Framework” from the other guys, I would suggest we adopt Demis’ version.
when you think about the average person in society this makes sense, people spend 4-6 hours a day on tik tok/instagram/X, how many hours a day do people spend in their banking app? maybe 5 minutes
dogecoin went so high because it attracted a set of buyers who were simply never going to buy stocks, but they would buy a memecoin attached to a person that they know and a meme that they can relate to, & it also attracted large funds who started trading it once it was large enough to make money on, once an asset reaches escape velocity it becomes tradable for a much larger set of individuals
boomers dont like memecoins because they dont understand how much the younger generation relates to memes/culture/content on the internet, but crypto is very unique in that tokenization is one of the only ways people can speculate on these societal trends, the next unlock will be how do you convert this kinetic energy of attention from retail speculators and turn it into something that also generates long term value outside of just the pure meme being popular
I loved Brian Armstrong from the moment he walked into my office, but I had already invested in CoinLab, so I didn’t invest at first. But my son, Adam did.
I decided Coinbase would have too long a road to success, so I passed.
Ouch.
I thought retail crypto was too far away, but my son Adam disagreed and wrote Brian his first check.
I followed suit shortly after and got in on the next round.
Coinbase has become a household name and dominates the world of cryptocurrency.
Coinbase now has over 120 million customers who use Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies for commerce, finance, trading, and value storage.
The return from Coinbase alone nearly doubled our entire Draper Associates Fund V.
Brian has been an unwavering north star in Bitcoin and crypto.
His innovation and creativity know no bounds.
The lesson for founders: If the first VC says no... try asking one of their sons or daughters... some call mine the new VC Scions.