New @BrightLineWatch report https://t.co/bp9rsPrY8p
Key findings:
-Experts view Trump immunity claim as profound threat to democracy, identify second term scenarios threatening democracy as likely.
-Public polarized on Trump legal claims and cases
Detailed findings in 🧵 (1/9)
New @BrightLineWatch survey https://t.co/uebjVmJRKf
Ratings of the performance of U.S. democracy overall are up slightly since last summer, but experts and the public both expect democratic decline in the future, especially if Donald Trump is re-elected. (9/9)
New @BrightLineWatch survey https://t.co/uebjVmKpzN
If Trump wins, experts expect him to fire Jack Smith, pardon Jan. 6 insurrectionists, suspend ongoing prosecutions, pardon himself, and open criminal investigations into opponents. Rs overwhelming approve of these actions (6/9)
New @BrightLineWatch survey https://t.co/uebjVmJRKf
Rs are confident that their own votes (79%) and votes in their state (77%) will be counted as intended in 2024. However, just 54% of Rs are confident in the national vote count in 2024. Democrats are much more confident. (8/9)
New @BrightLineWatch survey https://t.co/bp9rsPrY8p
A majority of the public believes Biden would have been prosecuted for his handling of classified documents if he’d been someone else, including 43% of Democrats and 88% of Republicans, but just one-fifth of experts agree (5/9)
New @BrightLineWatch report https://t.co/bp9rsPrY8p
Key findings:
-Experts view Trump immunity claim as profound threat to democracy, identify second term scenarios threatening democracy as likely.
-Public polarized on Trump legal claims and cases
Detailed findings in 🧵 (1/9)
New @BrightLineWatch survey https://t.co/bp9rsPrY8p
Fewer than half of Americans think the prosecutions of Trump are politically motivated (Rs ~80%, Ds ~25%). Experts generally don't agree – but more (40%) think the NY hush money case is. (4/9)
New @BrightLineWatch survey https://t.co/bp9rsPrY8p
54% of the public trusts the Supreme Court to make impartial decisions in Trump-related cases. Confidence higher among Republicans (69%) than among Democrats (44%). (3/9)
New @BrightLineWatch survey https://t.co/bp9rsPrY8p
Democrats and Republicans are polarized over disqualification from ballot and over Trump claim to criminal immunity. Overall support for immunity is lower. Experts regard immunity as a serious threat to democracy. (2/9)
NEW: @BrightLineWatch report featuring detailed public/expert survey data on Trump cases https://t.co/jG6IM5AYZL
-Few Rs think Trump broke law (unlike experts) but ↑ since docs charges
-Rs split on punishment for specific docs charges
-Experts still rate as benefit to democracy
NEW: @BrightLineWatch on state of US democracy https://t.co/YtUEPDqc3Q
-R acceptance of Biden win/trust in natl. vote ↑ vs '21, but vote confidence still ↓ vs '20
-Pervasive candidate denialism
-Experts: Trump run profound democratic threat, prosecution major benefit
🧵 below
NEW: @BrightLineWatch on state of US democracy https://t.co/YtUEPDqc3Q
-R acceptance of Biden win/trust in natl. vote ↑ vs '21, but vote confidence still ↓ vs '20
-Pervasive candidate denialism
-Experts: Trump run profound democratic threat, prosecution major benefit
🧵 below
Read the thread and the full report for this essential work from THE scholars studying the health and viability of US government. Mostly discouraging news, with a few bright elements of hope. Amazing work @BrightLineWatch!
Our new @BrightLineWatch report on the state of US democracy, including new findings on public confidence in the 2022 elections, perceptions of the opposition's commitment to democratic norms, and expert assessments of reforms to improve our democracy https://t.co/giHo0GKhZX
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