John Sides

Professor of political science at Vanderbilt University. Publisher of @goodauth. Co-author of THE BITTER END (

[Dan Hopkins @dhopkins1776]

Per the @PhillyInquirer, the Israeli-Palestinian issue loomed large in Tuesday's PA-3 primary. Does that mean that it is a top priority for Democrats or Democratic activists?

I use @YouGovAmerica data to show the answer is "no" in a new piece for @goodauth (link in the reply).

[Center for Effective Lawmaking @TheLawmakers]

On April 10th, CEL Co-Director Alan Wiseman, PhD, was a keynote speaker at CIVICS CON, a civics convention in Midwest City, Oklahoma. There, he presented on effective lawmaking in state legislatures, with a focus on Oklahoma.

[Brian Schaffner @b_schaffner]

earlier this month @TuftsUniversity senior Miles Kendrick and I fielded a survey with @YouGovAmerica to better understand what acts people think are political violence. there are some points of agreement & some clear differences of opinion. link to our @goodauth write-up below

[Arthur Spirling @arthur_spirling]

Structural model suggests the key is a Political Science PhD running things. But the PhD is from Rochester so no one cares about estimating the reduced form.

[John Sides @johnmsides]

Good to see continued pushback against this narrative. See also:

https://t.co/8S281Ddo2G

[Jerusalem @JerusalemDemsas]

That young men are sexist and hate women and are increasingly conservative has become one of those stylized facts of public debate.

But is it even true?

Maibritt Henkel looked into the question for @TheArgumentMag, using our original polling:

https://t.co/iZJ0wG5noa

[John Sides @johnmsides]

@DanRosenheck @mattyglesias @Robillard @DouthatNYT This is all really useful, Dan. I had completely forgotten about your earlier analysis. It's right on the nose.

[John Sides @johnmsides]

Once you account for education and income simultaneously, wealthier people are more likely to be *Republican* in almost every education group.

[Ryan Burge 📊 @ryanburge]

People with a high school diploma who make middle-class incomes are the most likely to be Republicans.

People with graduate degrees (regardless of income) are the least likely to align with the GOP.

[John Sides @johnmsides]

Yes, and I'll add that women candidates are actually more electable in this meta-analysis of conjoint experiments: https://t.co/2kLKhL34sd

(With some variation across countries, parties, etc.)

[Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17]

Data on this is highly questionable outside of an n=2 (Harris + Clinton). In the thousands of downballot and gubernatorial elections we have data for, there's no evidence women are less electable.

Female candidates do better with women and worse with men, but women vote more.

[Dan Rosenheck @DanRosenheck]

See chart & explanation from https://t.co/07JyHDq1dw.

[John Sides @johnmsides]

@mattyglesias @Robillard I wouldn't put much weight on those 1-point differences between income groups among post-grad and college grads.

[Yamil Ricardo Velez @YamilRVelez]

Trying my hand at the delicate genre of accessible, opinionated prognostication by launching a Substack. First up: deception, delegation, and what opinion research might look like in the not-too-distant future. https://t.co/TUmq4WdtIK

[Brian Schaffner @b_schaffner]

there's a new comprehensive report out from @YouGovAmerica using CES data to plot trends in partisanship over the past two decades. i've got a piece up today in @goodauth summarizing some key findings. links to both in the reply!

[Ryan Burge 📊 @ryanburge]

I found this fantastic new paper (link below) that asks some really detailed questions about abortion.

People seem to have some pretty nuanced views.

When the mother's life is threatened, 2/3 favor no limit.

If it's a sex selection abortion, 38% are fully opposed.

[Center for Effective Lawmaking @TheLawmakers]

The CEL is proud to announce the release of the 2023-2024 CO, HI, and DE legislative sessions SLES scores. For more information about the scores and to access them, please visit our website.

Link: https://t.co/RkqyFmaU4m

[Dan Hopkins @dhopkins1776]

1 thing about 2016 Trump supporters' foreign policy attitudes--I wrote about for 538 (URL 👇)--is that they weren't especially pro Iraq War back in 2007. But they were more likely to describe themselves as hawks.

They weren't so much isolationist as valuing shows of American 💪.

[Richard Tofel @dicktofel]

Why support for a free press may be less than we think— and what to do about it. This week’s Second Rough Draft newsletter

https://t.co/PXTR2aS3I6

[Chris Blattman @cblatts]

4w ago I was a Claude Code skeptic. I'm not a coder. None of the use cases were relevant. I managed teams & projects, drowning in email & overdue reminders. So I tried creating tools that would help me and... holy crap.

Now I'm sharing the tools I built:
https://t.co/5z9nDcwVno

[Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann]

The 5th edition of Campaigns & Elections (or 9th if you count the midterm updates) is out & ready for Fall course adoption:
https://t.co/KONWWm1CNr

[Erik Voeten @ErikVoeten]

This Guardian map suggests that Europe and others have started to vote more with China. A more careful look shows that the U.S. has changed; not the rest of the world. U.S. voting behavior has become so extreme that it practically breaks the scale of UN ideal point estimates.