Stef

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

@Bryvllo Appreciate the heads up ⚽️

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

@PinnacleHelp hi it looks like there are huge wait times to get thru to customer service currently. Something weird is going on with your World Cup spreads, they are extremely mispriced both from the USA vs Australia game and now the Moroccco vs Scotland game.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

@andrewstepner Thank you! Glad you enjoyed

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

Getting huge volume flow on micro cap #QH - looking higher.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

#SEZL up $34/share since first entry

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

#SEZL monthly chart currently presenting high R:R opportunity in the medium term. They also just reported strong earnings which should be a positive catalyst in the near-term. Just my swing trading take, nothing on here is financial advice.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

With that being said, some of the top value wagers for today across World Cup & MLB early on indicate: Paraguay to win or draw vs USA, Jonathan David anytime goal scorer (mid size risk), and then for MLB we have been seeing Mets moneyline (ML) & Giants ML with sharp inflows.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

With #FIFAWorldCup commencing yesterday, we have a high liquidity event where sports traders and recreational bettors collide. What we are wagering on matters less than the price we are getting it at. Of course we must aim for EV+ (expected value) positions.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

#CBRL Cracker Barrel hourly chart after earnings is showing a liquidity event for sellers taking advantage of the high relative volume. We entered a swing short with the gap up, walk down, and then confirmed rejection of VWAP reclaim.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

Swinging long some #BBCP with the theme of AI data center growth and #SPY giving discounts across the board.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

Took advantage of today's SPY capitulation to cover #NVTS short from blow-off earlier this week right into major support level

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

Sometimes swings work out overnight, other times they take weeks. Short swing entered at $2 per share yesterday into multi-day news/liquidity event and covered into $1.48 capitulation today. #RKTO

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

Adding some exposure to #MRNA stock as they are the leader in the Hantavirus vaccine space currently, for a medium term swing. Technicals are in place as well with monthly chart building pressure out of a bullish cup and handle.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

@Fortworthdude7 @0xSpivach Exactly, certainly not zero

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

@RealBragmania Mispricings are rare which is why I used live odds scanners such as OddsJam or the Unabated screener. Typically the largest mispricings would be driven by line-up changes or some type of new material info getting released and prices reacting violently across books.

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

@RealBragmania Appreciate the listen! Your instinct is correct, the key is to beat the vig, ideally by a large margin due to mispricing on one side (usually a soft/recreational book) and then hedging/closing the arb on a sharp book such as Pinnacle or https://t.co/xaEGevcJgp

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

@Benjaminsmith Thank you - going to post more often here and see if I can get a good flow going related to both sports market making as well as swing trading. Crazy times we live in with so much high quality opportunity presenting itself on a consistent basis.

[Chat With Traders @chatwithtraders]

NEW EPISODE 320📢
Sports Betting and Prediction Markets - Through a Trading Lens | @BronzeBeardd
Most people treat sports betting and prediction markets as gambling. Few trade them like traders. 🙏Ian Cox & @tessa_dao
https://t.co/fVN52WtTDA

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

This will be an amazing short when it's ready - still a few steps before the entry can be taken though. #CAR

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

All out from my NUCL swing into the rising corridor and rolling top

[Stef @BronzeBeardd]

NUCL moving in waves from the double bottom confirmation and entry at $6.5 per share