Andrew Stepner

Overthinking it.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

Useful sometimes to understand things outside your bubble…

[J.T. Alexander @JTAlexander]

99% of lawsuits, criminal or civil, resolve before trial. This leads to a notion that if a case goes to trial, it must be a close one.

In my experience, this is not true. Of the 1% that go to trial, 0.1%-0.2% is a close issue.

0.8%-0.9% is because the Defendant is delusional.

They are usually too stupid or self-centered to understand that their defense is complete nonsense that the law doesn’t recognize. Sometimes they refuse to take a plea deal because it’s “worse than the last one.”

They think the fact they claim couldn’t get a ride to Court lets them off the hook for Failure to Appear.

They think the fact the store has a company policy against using force to stop thieves makes them immune from a Robbery charge when they use force against the employees.

They think that because what they stole is worth only $5 that it cannot possibly be a felony that they stole that item at knifepoint.

They think that because they got 9 months on their last misdemeanor that the 2-4 year presumptive sentence on their felony is absurd.

They think that because their zero-prior juvenile co-defendant only got probation that it’s unreasonable for a career criminal on his third felony to get more than a year.

These are all examples of not only cases I have personally prosecuted, but have personally encountered *multiple times.*

Not “multiple times over a 20-year career.”

Multiple times *every single year.*

I absolutely do not doubt whatsoever that Karmelo genuinely believed that stabbing someone over violating the utterly nonsensical ‘hood honor code’ qualified as self-defense.

As you can see here, plenty of his co-ethnics genuinely believe this as well.

They are utterly delusional.

This entire case is a great example of how much time and money our society wastes offering delusional people an opportunity to present their utterly delusional defense.

And because it is so absurd and such a waste, most jurors come into trial with a preconceived notion that the case must be a close one. Surely we can’t be dragging them away from work, wages, family, school, and all manner of obligations just to waste their time with bullshit.

So it must be valid… right?

They will grant the utterly delusional defense far more weight than they would under any other circumstance.

And occasionally, if you don’t keep people like OP here off the jury, it will succeed.

Despite the law having absolutely no concern whatsoever about this ghetto honor system, our justice system ends up ratifying it every now and then.

And nobody ends up giving more free incorrect legal advice than someone that got off on a crime they shouldn’t have. This triggers a cascading effect of ratification of the delusional belief across the local criminal population.

Thus, how you have so many people believing the delusion.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@toucansam46 Do you happen to know why he listed it before but did not sell it? I think 2024 was the only other listing time per zillow? https://t.co/vPCOPWv0Ub

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@BobbyKrivitsky @NBCSCameraGuys Do you happen to know why he listed it before but did not sell it?

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@DanteOnDeck Do you happen to know why he listed it before but did not sell it?

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

The Spurs lost by 1 point! They led game 1 w/ 2 minutes remaining! If the ball had bounced the other way, people would be lauding the Spurs.

Instead the discourse has people talking like the Knicks are a dynasty

The degree to which people think in terms of "resulting" is absurd

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@Biohazard3737 @mikealfred lol, not so bullish?

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@haralabob Fair enough point, thanks.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@Savageboston See also: https://t.co/6gz26EBGFK

[Carlos A. Lopez @LosTalksPats]

.@AlbertBreer thinks the #Patriots wouldn’t carry Stefon Diggs and AJ Brown on the roster, citing their age, injury history, career trajectory, and contracts.

“I can certainly see having one aging star receiver… It’s just hard to see two of them on a team…”

(🎥 @NBCSPatriots)

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@Savageboston Too many WRs that they want to pay and play? Sign that they prefer AJ and Doubs?

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@given2tweet @Domahhhh Yeah a lot of bullshit on this stuff. This one sounds especially egregious.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@given2tweet For sure.

@Domahhhh has covered a lot of the weird dynamics on these sorts of rulings. Way more ends up being debatable than a reasonable person would have expected. And certainly seems like tons of biased interests shaping things on these.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@given2tweet Yep. Under the guise of “clarification”. Determination method and timing needs to be explicitly rock solid ahead of time.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@given2tweet Rules on prediction markets are sometimes so imprecise. It’s ridiculous.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@MikeReiss @Tim_McManus @DanGrazianoESPN @MikeClayNFL Boutte?

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

Resolution here, pending a physical. https://t.co/ekAvEkMks9

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

🚨🚨🚨

ESPN sources: The Eagles are trading Pro-Bowl WR A.J. Brown to the Patriots for a 2028 first-round pick and a 2027 fifth-round pick that is the better of New England’s two fifths. The deal that has been speculated on for weeks now finally is happening. Brown and Patriots HC Mike Vrabel are reuniting.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

I've accumulated a big position on A.J. Brown getting traded to the Patriots on Kalshi dating back to April.

(No longer much liquidity available and it is about to get settled so figured now safe to post on it. No real value left out there at this point.)

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@given2tweet Yep, $TRIP is a fat pitch.

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@ShaxNBA Who?

[Andrew Stepner @andrewstepner]

@SamQuinnCBS They would collude with each other