Between May 7–10, India and Pakistan fought an 88-hour war known as Operation Sindoor. What strategic and operational lessons did Indian planners learn from these four days in May?
My latest in @WarOnTheRocks with @splalwani and Shailender Arya.
« Cette guerre brève mais conséquente de l’Inde contre le Pakistan, connue sous le nom d’opération « Sindoor », pourrait s’élever au rang de creuset pour la pensée stratégique et opérationnelle indienne à long terme. »
Retrouvez l'analyse de Sameer Lalwani (@splalwani), conseiller auprès du Special Competitive Studies Project, chercheur non-résident senior au German Marshall Fund et affilié au programme d’études de sécurité du MIT, Shailender Arya, colonel retraité de l’armée indienne et conseiller chez The Asia Group et David Brostoff (@BrostoffDavid), chercheur contractuel au Stimson Cente, traduit en français sur #LeRubicon.
https://t.co/1Q7QDLLMeK
« L’Inde s’est montrée disposée à franchir de nouvelles lignes rouges, à prendre davantage de risques et, s’inspirant des leçons de l’Ukraine et du Moyen-Orient, à mener des frappes aériennes et de missiles sur des cibles en profondeur au sein du territoire adverse. »
Retrouvez l'analyse de Sameer Lalwani (@splalwani), conseiller auprès du Special Competitive Studies Project, chercheur non-résident senior au German Marshall Fund et affilié au programme d’études de sécurité du MIT, Shailender Arya, colonel retraité de l’armée indienne et conseiller chez The Asia Group et David Brostoff (@BrostoffDavid), chercheur contractuel au Stimson Cente, traduit en français sur #LeRubicon.
https://t.co/1Q7QDLMk4i
📖 | Les cinq leçons de l’opération « Sindoor »
Retrouvez l'analyse de Sameer Lalwani (@splalwani), conseiller auprès du Special Competitive Studies Project, chercheur non-résident senior au German Marshall Fund et affilié au programme d’études de sécurité du MIT, Shailender Arya, colonel retraité de l’armée indienne et conseiller chez The Asia Group et David Brostoff (@BrostoffDavid), chercheur contractuel au Stimson Cente, traduit en français sur #LeRubicon.
https://t.co/1Q7QDLLMeK
Coming in November: THE REALIST, the first book to tell the full story of Hans Morgenthau, the man who escaped Nazi Germany and pioneered realism—the approach to foreign policy that guided the United States through the Cold War and explains today’s world.
https://t.co/97zagIV7pN
“Each great power [🇺🇸🇨🇳] senses that new technologies will help it overcome the other’s comparative advantages, providing hope for a swift win at low cost. The more they indulge this prewar hope, the more likely they are to find themselves in a protracted conflict.”
“[Former U.S. Secretary of State] Henry Kissinger was concerned in the last years of his life that we were headed for a war with China on the current trajectory. And I think the same thing,” says Robert D. Blackwill, distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution, senior fellow at Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and former senior fellow at CFR.
🔗 Watch the full conversation: https://t.co/jn6nFUciRj
OUT IN NOVEMBER 🗓️
'The Realist' by David M. Sacks is the first biography of Hans Morgenthau, the theoretician who escaped Nazi Germany and pioneered the ‘realist’ approach to international relations, now resurgent in global politics.
Pre-order ➡️ https://t.co/eYbdQMq10V
The algebra of the war makers will have been flawless. But what they cannot read, they will not have reckoned with — and wars are made of resentment, dishonor, loyalty and grief as much as of algorithms and fire.
My Guest Essay in @nytimes: https://t.co/2g8dXJoe28
"Research requires patience, but it’s essential if you want to understand how foreign policy actually develops."
@JimGoldgeier shares how he became interested in foreign policy, how his career developed, and his advice to students just starting out. https://t.co/CxyXoKcwvE
Historical metaphors are seductive and every so often, U.S. strategists call for Washington to pursue rapprochement with Moscow against Beijing in a “reverse Kissinger.” The idea is intuitive, but — as I wrote last year — it’s based on bad history.
https://t.co/Hkcv4Bbd6j
Nixon (and Kissinger) seized the opportunity and opened relations with China, reshuffling the balance of power. The Kremlin faced two challenges: NATO on its Western front and China on its Eastern front.
As historians Danhui Li and Yafeng Xia note:
Eighty years ago today, US diplomat George Kennan sent his Long Telegram from Moscow.
“In summary, we have here a political force committed fanatically to the belief that with US there can be no permanent modus vivendi.”
.@splalwani: "Operation Sindoor was more than a four-day skirmish with Pakistan. It was a turning point in Indian strategic thinking." https://t.co/PIDT4lCgtu
Perhaps the clearest shift in Indian strategic thinking since the May war is that New Delhi is convinced that it faces a two-front “nightmare” of active cooperation between China and Pakistan.
https://t.co/vD1sJ7dOmo