Nebraska (+11.0) vs. Michigan (156.0)
Injuries
Nebraska - Braden Frager
Michigan - none
Notes:
#12 Nebraska is 20-0 with strong wins over #5 Illinois & #4 Michigan State. Their other top 50 wins came over #46 New Mexico, #40 Wisconsin, #38 Ohio State, #35 Indiana, & #48 Washington. Nebraska has 5 road wins & the 45th ranked schedule.
#2 Michigan is 18-1 with their only loss coming against Wisconsin. They have strong wins over #25 Auburn & #9 Gonzaga, but none of their other wins are top 25. Michigan has top 50 wins over #49 TCU, #45 San Diego State, #28 Villanova, #48 Washington, #35 Indiana, & Ohio State. They are 7th in strength of schedule.
- Nebraska is 93rd in Height & 45th in Rebounding. Michigan is 12th in Height & 12th in Rebounding. Michigan outranks Nebraska 47 to 302 in offensive rebounding.
- Nebraska is 23rd in Effective FG%, 9th in 2pt%, & 89th in 3pt%. They are 11th in 3pt rate. Pryce Sandfort (41.7%), Sam Hoiberg (39.1%), Jamarques Lawrence (37.4%), & Braden Frager (37.3%) are all solid shooters. Frager & Rienk Mast also offer spacing. Berke Buyuktuncel is an elite rebounder. Nebraska has been elite inside. They succeed with pick/pop & high/low actions.
- Michigan’s only loss came to a Wisconsin team that effectively played this way. Michigan is 1st in total defense, 1st inside, & 37th on the perimeter. Yaxel Lendeborg, Aday Mara, & Morez Johnson are the top 3 defenders in the Big Ten. Elliot Cadeau is also solid on the perimeter.
- Michigan is 7th in Effective FG%, 1st in 2pt%, & 119th in 3pt%. They are 116th in 3pt rate. Elliot Cadeau (41.6%) & Nimari Burnett (39.2%) are solid shooters, but most of the offense flows through Yaxel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson, & Aday Mara inside.
- Nebraska is 7th in total defense, 47th inside, & 45th on the perimeter. Berke Buyuktuncel is solid enough inside & Sam Hoiberg is elite on the perimeter. Pryce Sandford & Rienk mast are decent too. Nebraska is solid defensively inside, but facing Michigan is a much tougher task than anything they’ve seen.
- Nebraska has a turnover advantage. They are 78th in turnovers forced while Michigan is 136th in turnovers committed. Michigan is 36th in fouls drawn, but Nebraska commits the sixth fewest fouls.
- Nebraska is 204th in tempo, while Michigan is 10th.
Model Prediction
Nebraska - 72.1
Michigan - 81.7
Bet: Nebraska +11.0
Acuña held back tears as he talked after tonight's game. He said he'll be further evaluated (likely MRI) tomorrow. He felt discomfort when he scored from first on Monday. He lobbied to play today because in his mind he had missed too much time already this season.