Nicholas Sanders

Cofounder of The Political Law Group. California political and election law attorney. Dad. Davisite. Double Aggie.

[Nicholas Sanders @CAPoliticalLaw]

@rpyers @paulmitche11 @ASDem @KevinSabellico @KalshiPolitics I don’t know that it even needs to be that deep. If overall Democratic share of remaining ballots increases to 62% (from 58%) and Hilton’s share of GOP vote decreases to 64% (from 68%), then Steyer still needs to get a 56+% share of the entire Democratic vote to pass Hilton.

[Nicholas Sanders @CAPoliticalLaw]

Excited to announce the launch of The Political Law Group LLP. Looking forward to continuing to do the work I love: https://t.co/vaMQqOFU49

[John Gramlich @johngramlich]

% of Republican voters with confidence that absentee/mail-in ballots were counted as voters intended

November 2020: 19%
November 2024: 72%

https://t.co/kHuTVYlEVM

[Chris Micheli @ChrisMicheli]

Thank you, Speaker Robert Rivas, for lowering the bill limit in the State Assembly for the 2025-26 Session to 35 (down from the current 50)! Thank you, Pro Tem Mike McGuire, for lowering the bills limit in the State Senate for the 2025-26 Session to 35 (down from the current 40)!

[Raffi Melkonian @RMFifthCircuit]

This is law.

[Nicholas Sanders @CAPoliticalLaw]

The law now prohibits certification of results in California prior to the 28th day after the election so that voters have the opportunity to cure their signature mismatches. If California becomes a swing state any time soon we may need to revisit this one.

[Nicholas Sanders @CAPoliticalLaw]

Fun fact: this issue is the basis on which the California legislature recently mandated that election results cannot be certified until December 3, 2024.

[Yashar Ali 🐘 @yashar]

This was bound to happen…

Nevada’s Secretary of State says there’s a higher than normal of rejected mail-in ballots due to a signature matching issue.

He says one of the biggest issues is young voters whose signature does not match that on their driver’s license.

It’s mostly due to the fact that younger people don’t have a consistent signature.

Full Story: https://t.co/rbwS7Htcrw

[Nicholas Sanders @CAPoliticalLaw]

The registrars have been overworked for many cycles, but this was a lot. So this year the legislature passed a law letting registrars determine specific processes, but slowing everything else down so those processes gave voters sufficient time to cure signature mismatches.

[Dr. Arthur Brooks @arthurbrooks]

No matter who wins today—your side or the other side—remember that the “other side” are our family, friends, and fellow Americans.

[Ben Rhodes @brhodes]

As disconcerting as it can be, it is a high privilege to live in a country where you don't know who is going to win an election tomorrow. Highly unusual in human history.

[Megan McArdle @asymmetricinfo]

A friend sends a counterpoint to my puckish tweet about people who love election day:

I LOVE election day!
- Just 400 years ago (a tiny fraction of our 300,000 year history), if you were to tell everyone that every few years people vote for a new leader, and almost everyone votes, and the votes are tallied fairly, and mostly everyone accepts the results and the government changes hands peacefully - they would have thought you were NUTS.
- Also pretty incredible that at one point this was just an idea in the founder's heads ("what if everyone goes out to vote on the same day?") and now it happens...
- ...even as the US has become the most powerful country in the world (in history, most powerful countries become autocracies, right?)
- And it's SO COOL that no one can predict the results this time! We have two parties that appeal to two very different sensibilities. There's no tyranny of the majority, let alone a clear majority.
Election day is a MARVEL

[Nicholas Sanders @CAPoliticalLaw]

Looks like this was NOT about the Prop D mailer, and is instead about payments made by the ballot measure committee which supported the mayoral campaign's efforts.

[Nicholas Sanders @CAPoliticalLaw]

If this settlement has to do with the Prop D mailer, it - along with the recent Oakland Ethics Commission stipulations involving Libby Schaaf - are going to upend decades of normal understanding regarding candidate-control and permissible candidate activities.

[Gabriel Lorenzo Greschler @ggreschler]

Wow. Farrell to pay $108,000 in Ethics Commission settlement for election violations

https://t.co/wCck1hB4R1

[Yashar Ali 🐘 @yashar]

The Colorado Secretary of State’s Office inadvertently posted a spreadsheet to its website with a hidden tab that included voting system passwords.

In a statement to 9NEWS, a spokesperson for the Colorado Secretary of State’s Office said that “the Department is working to remedy this situation where necessary.”

Full Story: https://t.co/8KRhYTOu1m

[David Wright @DavidWright_7]

last week of the election

[Paul Mitchell @paulmitche11]

As someone who has for a decade tracked early voting, been a bit of a pioneer in providing data and analysis of early voting with @Political_Data, and featured in countless articles in print/tv/radio/podcasts on the early vote… I agree with @ForecasterEnten. 🧵