This is how I'm currently guessing $BTC's price action will play out.
$BTC is in pretty oversold territory at the moment. It seems like some pretty methodical and consistent selling has been going on for the last week. Perhaps a large entity(-ies) unwinding their BTC position.
No one knows the exact place it will bounce, but the trajectory is getting *very* steep.
Such a sharp, extended drop, when it finally ends, may offer a V-shaped recovery bounce. This would be the relief rally everyone's been waiting for. Not new ATHs, but relief.
Shown are the 50 week MA, 100 week MA, 200 week moving averages.
PATH A: (bounce to ~$87k)
The 100 weekly MA seems the most likely place to re-test. It matches with the underside of the bear flag that BTC just broke down from. The 100 MA is around $87k.
PATH B: (bounce to ~$95k)
A month ago I had higher expectations that BTC would tag the 50 week MA again. It could still do so, but it seems less likely now that BTC's price has been pummeled to low levels. I am hopeful we can still revisit this MA. This target might be around $95k by the time BTC touches it.
So, it's looking to me like a bounce up to $87k-$95k is a good expectation over the coming 1-2 months.
Either way, I think BTC is very much due for a bounce, as soon as this selling is done.
@Folgers so Folgers lost a 60 year customer today. They have obviously taken advantage of the inflation narrative and the tariff narrative. Their prices are outrageous compared to comparable products. Maybe Iโll see you again someday if you regain some integrity.
FEDERAL RESERVE ๐จ The chairman overseeing U.S. Federal Housing, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac is calling on Congress to investigate Fed Chair Jerome Powell.