Love that people seriously don’t see a Warsh trial balloon as just another insider trading affair. You really think Trump is gonna nominate a known hawk who’s potential nomination crashes stocks, bonds, bitcoin, and gold? Lol
Another labor supply dynamic that the Fed cannot do anything about with monetary policy is the labor force participation rate of 55+ workers.
Early retirement, possibly due to huge wealth gains, has made this plunge to 20 year lows.
These are excess retirements.
In all my years in this game I’ve never seen this many bullish traders on X.
Few of these same ‘traders’ were bullish at 3500 or even 4100 in Oct 22 and Oct 23 but they’re bullish at 6,000.
You can’t make it up.
Today we're highlighting 5 most popular episodes of 2024:
1. Professor Aswath Damodaran (@AswathDamodaran)
2. Brad Gerstner (@altcap)
3. Cliff Asness (@CliffordAsness)
4. Hendrik Bessembinder
5. Professor Ken French
Links 👇
@LukeGromen@TanamiRoad@Seawolfcap@INArteCarloDoss Then you waive in inflation, FED then does what? Can't raise rates or you are in the same position from a deficit standpoint? Seems like a mute point to cut the deficit, take a victory lap, and then things revert back or become worse.
@PeterBerezinBCA Ive heard Musk mention that employees will receive 2 years of severance. Do you think the bond market will look past this temporary rise in deficit?