This week’s #CPI print is crucial!
The last several have been hotter-than expected with expectations for April here at 0.4% M/M.
Coming in above that figure would raise even more doubts about the Fed’s grip on #inflation.
MARK YOUR CALENDAR - Wednesday, May 15th 8:30am EST
Starbucks (SBUX) 17% drop this week is Wall Street's realization that the company has likely hit their ceiling on pricing power & customers are finally reacting.
This says it all:
Comp sales in NA fell -3.0% vs +2.1% est.
4% increase in avg ticket but 7% drop in transactions.
@davidorr_31 Understood. Let’s definitely circle back later this year. I keep tabs on $ENVX often but continue to remain on the sidelines over worries about delays in full-scale production
@davidorr_31 I model high growth companies myself & rarely ever use a perpetual growth rate above 4.5%.
2. 37% FCF Margins
Don't we feel this is a bit optimistic given the capital intensive nature of this business with capex/R&D? Also, any buffer/variance built in on the 50% GM long-term?
@davidorr_31 Hey David,
Thanks for sharing your model.
It looks solid but there are a couple areas I would like to challenge you on here.
1. Perpetual Growth rate at 6.5%
I see you're showing estimates for greater than that. Any chance you'd be wiling to show PTs in the 3.5-5% range?
St. Louis #Fed President Bullard announced he has stepped down to become the dean of the business school at Purdue.
Farewell to the most hawkish guy at the Fed.
Just how hawkish was he?
Rumor has it Bullard went a month without a shower because his wife bought Dove body wash
One way to close this gap is starting to set aside money early on and let compounding interest over the long haul work it’s magic (this is where CUBE can help!)
For the 70 yr olds who are short $800K, I guess they can sell their houses they’re up 10x on lol
#finance#investing
I'm happy to see inflation starts with a "4" now but it's hard to get excited over this figure. 0.4% M/M yet again is not what we want to see and core at 5.5% Y/Y is also an issue.
As it stands today, how are we thinking rate cuts are possible in as early as 3-4 months?
Glad the WS sheep are head over heels on #AAPL earnings beat on estimates that were revised so low it was damn near impossible to miss lol
Either way, got to be smart enough to avoid puts -simply too much love for the name.
30x P/E for contraction? - I wouldn't be a buyer here
Wish more people understood the damage stock-based compensation has on returns.
$TEAM is a great example.
$702M in SBC thru 9 mo is asinine (vs. $383M last year).
TEAM IPO Valuation 2015: ~$4B
Valuation today: $35B = ~9x
#Stock since IPO: +397%
Thank mgmt for the difference
Natural gas prices crossed $8.00 per mmbtu Tuesday, putting the fuel on pace for its highest close since 2008. An increase in export demand, mitigated US supply response, warm weather, and rising coal prices have all contributed to the rally.