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🚨BREAKING: Polymarket shows a 76% probability that Trump’s tariffs will be ruled illegal.
The Supreme Court is expected to issue its decision on Friday.
If the Supreme Court rules against the tariffs, there are 2 big issues.
FIRST: REFUNDS.
Tariffs already collected may have to be returned to importers. That removes cash from the system and worsens government finances.
SECOND: THE DEFICIT.
These tariffs were projected to reduce the U.S. deficit by nearly $3 trillion over the next decade. If the ruling goes against them, that reduction disappears.
A ruling against Trump does not mean tariffs are permanently banned. It only blocks the current legal structure being used.
The President still has other legal tools to impose tariffs, but:
• they are slower
• more limited
• and less efficient than the current setup
This creates near term uncertainty.
Trump has repeatedly argued that tariffs are supporting economic strength and stock market performance.
If the Court rules against the tariffs, that will be affected badly.
Over time, removing tariffs would reduce government revenue, ease inflation pressure and increase the likelihood of rate cuts.
Doubting Your Analysis
✔ Unclear rules create hesitation
✔ Overanalysis weakens conviction
✔ Fear disguises itself as logic
✔ Lack of preparation invites doubt
✔ Risk not accepted fuels second-guessing
Market Reality:
Confidence comes from structure, not certainty.
When risk is defined, doubt loses its power.
Your Mindset Matters as Much as Your Chart Reading
✔ Charts reveal setups—mindset executes them
✔ Fear and ego distort clear signals
✔ Discipline turns analysis into consistency
✔ Emotional control protects good decisions
✔ Beliefs shape behavior under pressure
Market Reality:
You don’t trade charts alone.
You trade your mindset every time.
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$ETH Macro View and my macro idea
From a macro perspective, my view on Ethereum remains unchanged.
Unlike BTC, however, I view ETH through a different lens:
every significant dump is an opportunity for spot accumulation, not a reason to panic.
Ethereum is an asset that, over time, has always proven to reward those who think in the medium/long term, especially when sentiment is poor and the market is dominated by fear.
It is precisely in those phases that the best positions are built.
Can it fall further?
Yes.
Can it experience deep drawdowns?
Absolutely yes.
It can also collapse much more than most people imagine.
But I will be there to buy, calmly, without haste, without leverage, building a position in my mid/long-term portfolio.
Time, on ETH, has always been an ally of those with vision and patience.
From a trading perspective, however, nothing changes from what I have already explained in previous posts:
here, we do not anticipate, guess or force anything.
We analyse the chart, respect the levels, and only work where the risk is clear and invalidation is simple.
Macro and trading are two different worlds.
Confusing them is the most common mistake.
I continue to think this way:
macro view …reasoned accumulation
trading …discipline, low time frames, risk management
The rest is just noise.
ETH never takes off when everyone expects it to.
In fact, it usually does the opposite. It lags behind, disappoints, and appears weak just when the market is focused on something else. And that's when most people lose patience and give up.
Historically, this is how it works: at the beginning of the cycle, capital goes to Bitcoin. This is normal, it is the 'defensive' phase, when people seek security. Ethereum does not shine at that moment, it remains compressed, often underperforming, and in the ETH/BTC pair, it seems to be going nowhere.
But that slowness is not true weakness. It is time.
Time for the price to absorb, build, and tire those who want everything right away.
Then, when BTC slows down and ceases to be the centre of attention, capital begins to shift. And that is when ETH changes pace. It has always done so: after long, boring periods, rapid, decisive movements occur, often when few are still well positioned.
On the macro level, I can be calm and constructive.
When it comes to trading, I remain cool and selective, working only where the chart gives me clear levels and controlled risk.
BREAKING: The 10am manipulation is back.
Bitcoin dropped $2,000 in 35 minutes and wiped out $40 billion from its market cap.
$132 million worth of longs have been liquidated in the past 60 minutes.
This is getting ridiculous.
🚨 Why Bitcoin always dumps at 10 a.m. when the U.S. market opens ?
Today, Bitcoin erased 16 hours of gains in just 20 minutes after the US market opened.
Since early November, BTC has dumped most of the time after US market opens. The same thing happened in Q2 and Q3.
@zerohedge has been calling this out repeatedly, and he thinks Jane Street is the most likely entity doing this.
When you look at the chart, the pattern is too consistent to ignore: a clean wipeout within an hour of the market opening followed by slow recovery. That’s classic high-frequency execution.
And it fits their profile:
• Jane Street is one of the largest high-frequency trading firms in the world.
• They have the speed and liquidity to move markets for a few minutes.
The behavior looks simple:
1. Dump BTC at the open.
2. Push the price into liquidity pockets.
3. Re-enter lower.
4. Repeat daily.
And by doing this, they have accumulated billions in $BTC.
As of now, Jane Street holds $2.5B worth of BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, their 5th largest position.
This means most of the dump in BTC isn't due to macro weakness but due to manipulation by one major entity.
And once these big players are done with buying, BTC will continue its upward momentum.
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